US Dollar - "We are thus headed into another week of uncertainty for the US Dollar, S&P 500, and other key assets. It is worth noting that FX volatility expectations have fallen for the week ahead. Yet it’s likewise clear that a bumpy Sunday market open in China, Japan, and other key markets could change that in a hurry. A US holiday on Monday the 7th may make for relatively illiquid market conditions, and caution is advised on what could be another challenging week for FX traders." ...
US Dollar Ready to Turn to Haven or Feed on FOMC Rate View While there may be a lot of volatility for the Dollar moving forward, the medium-term fundamentals carry a positive slant whether general market conditions improve or deteriorate. Japanese Yen Unlikely to Break Out Until Greece Moves The Japanese Yen finished the week modestly higher versus the recently-downtrodden US Dollar, but the lack of a clear breakthrough from a highly-anticipated US Federal Reserve meeting ...
"USD: EM and G10 Divergence. Bullish. We remain USD bulls but recognize that USD could see some correction against EUR in the near term as European yields head higher on the back of reflationary signs. This could spill over to mild weakness against other G10, but we remain bullish against EM. Higher volatility will reduce the attraction of EM carry, particularly as core yields rise across the board, narrowing interest rate differentials. In the medium term, we still expect USD to be ...
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