Daily Market Forecast By Capitalcore

USDCAD Correction Phase Signals Trading Opportunity

USD/CAD, commonly known as the "Loonie," represents the US dollar against the Canadian dollar, reflecting trade relations between the United States and Canada. The pair's movements are significantly influenced by crude oil prices, given Canada's role as a major oil exporter. Today, the USD/CAD is anticipated to experience volatility due to multiple speeches by key policymakers including BOC Governor Tiff Macklem and Federal Reserve members. Hawkish sentiments from the Bank of Canada speakers, suggesting potential monetary tightening, could strengthen the Canadian dollar, whereas bullish remarks from Fed officials emphasizing rate stability or hikes would support the USD. Traders should closely monitor these events to anticipate short-term direction and price action volatility.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
From the provided H4 technical chart, USD/CAD is observed to have been moving upwards within a clear bullish channel, repeatedly testing a resistance zone above the upper band of this channel but facing breakout failures. Currently, the price action has reached the upper resistance level and appears to be initiating a corrective pullback towards the channel, signifying a short-term correction phase. The MACD indicator signals weakening bullish momentum, suggesting a potential consolidation or mild correction. Meanwhile, the Stochastic oscillator indicates an overbought scenario and is poised for a bearish crossover, aligning with the anticipated brief corrective period before potentially resuming the bullish trend.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

GOLD Trading Range Tightens as Ichimoku Cloud Narrows

Gold, commonly referred to by traders as the “yellow metal,” is one of the most traded safe-haven assets in the forex and commodities markets. The XAU/USD pair, also known as Gold vs US Dollar, reflects the relationship between the precious metal’s value and the strength of the greenback. Investors and traders closely monitor this pair as a barometer of risk sentiment, inflation expectations, and monetary policy shifts from the Federal Reserve. From a fundamental perspective, today’s focus is on several key Federal Reserve (FOMC) members’ speeches, including Waller, Paulson, Musalem, Williams, and Jefferson, as well as upcoming University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations data. The tone of these Fed speeches is expected to be hawkish, which typically strengthens the USD as policymakers may hint at maintaining higher interest rates for longer to combat inflation and support the economy’s balance. Stronger U.S. economic confidence and hawkish remarks could pressure Gold prices downward, as a firmer dollar and rising yields tend to weigh on non-yielding assets like Gold. However, any dovish comments emphasizing financial stability or slower inflation could revive bullish momentum in Gold as investors seek safe-haven alternatives amid uncertainty in global growth and payment systems reform.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the Gold-USD H4 chart, the price is currently moving sideways and consolidating after reaching its all-time high (ATH) near $4400 two weeks ago. A corrective bearish trend followed, bringing prices down to the $3900 level, where it found solid support. The market is now ranging between $3900 and $4000, trading below the Ichimoku red cloud, which indicates persistent short-term bearish pressure. The red cloud has become narrower and thinner, suggesting a possible upcoming breakout or volatility contraction. The Fibonacci retracement levels show the price fluctuating between the 0 (3900) and 0.236 (4013) zones, with the next significant resistance near the 0.382 level at 4083. The MACD (12,26,9) values of 3.31, -3.12, and -6.43 suggest weak bullish momentum but still within a consolidation phase. Meanwhile, the RSI (14) is neutral at 47.83, indicating equilibrium between buyers and sellers. The ascending trendline support near 3950 remains a key technical level — a break below it could open the way for a retest of 3900, while holding above it may signal a potential rebound toward 4013–4083. Price action shows indecision, and traders are watching for a decisive breakout aligned with today’s USD-driven fundamental catalysts.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

Bitcoin Price Prediction Using Regression Channel

The BTC/USD pair, also known as Bitcoin vs the US Dollar or “Digital Gold,” reflects the value of Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency, against the world’s reserve currency. Today, BTC-USD may face mixed sentiment as the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland’s inflation expectations survey and recent US Presidential remarks on economic strength and a potential $2000 dividend plan could drive volatility. A higher inflation outlook may strengthen the USD and pressure Bitcoin, while consumer optimism and fiscal support could lift risk appetite, giving Bitcoin short-term recovery potential despite its overall bearish bias.



Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the BTC/USD H4 chart, the price remains in a downtrend below the Ichimoku cloud, moving in the lower half of the regression channel. The recent green candles show a mild rebound toward the midline of the channel and passing it, as price crosses the conversion line and touches the base line, signaling early bullish correction. The MACD line has crossed above the signal line, showing fading bearish momentum, while the RSI (14) at 53.53 reflects neutral-to-bullish momentum with room for further upside. Unless Bitcoin breaks above the Ichimoku cloud, the move remains corrective within a broader bearish trend.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

UK100 Bullish Trend Confirmed by Ichimoku Analysis

The UK100, commonly known as the FTSE 100 or 'Footsie,' represents the top 100 UK companies by market capitalization listed on the London Stock Exchange, reflecting the economic health of the UK. Today, significant fundamental drivers include UK retail sales, employment data, and wage inflation. Positive British Retail Consortium (BRC) retail sales would strengthen the pound (GBP), indicating increased consumer spending, while lower-than-expected jobless claims and unemployment rates would signal robust economic conditions, further boosting GBP. Additionally, higher wage growth could lead to inflationary pressures, prompting the Bank of England (BOE) to adopt a more hawkish monetary policy stance, which would also support GBP appreciation.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the FTSE 100 chart (H4 timeframe), price action demonstrates a clear upward movement within an ascending price channel, currently trading above the Ichimoku cloud, suggesting bullish momentum. The conversion line is situated above the base line, both lines beneath the recent candles, indicating solid bullish momentum. Nevertheless, the Ichimoku cloud has narrowed significantly, with Leading Span A and B lines moving closely together, signaling potential volatility ahead. Price has advanced from the lower channel boundary towards the midline, potentially encountering resistance. Moreover, the %R indicator at -1.24 suggests the asset is currently in overbought territory, hinting at possible short-term retracements or consolidations.

DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

USDJPY Technical Signals and Fundamental Forecast

The USD/JPY forex pair, often known as the "Gopher," is a major currency pairing representing the U.S. dollar against the Japanese yen, reflecting economic conditions in both the United States and Japan. Today's fundamental outlook is significantly influenced by upcoming speeches from several key Federal Reserve officials, including Michael Barr, John Williams, Anna Paulson, Christopher Waller, Raphael Bostic, and Stephen Miran. Traders will closely monitor these discussions for hawkish signals, indicating potential interest rate adjustments, thereby influencing USD strength. Additionally, upcoming Japanese reports on Monetary Base and Machine Tool Orders will impact the yen's movement; positive readings might bolster JPY strength, while disappointing figures could further weaken the yen, supporting bullish momentum for USD/JPY.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Technically, the USD/JPY H4 chart indicates a steady bullish trend characterized by higher highs after each price correction. Recently, the candles have initiated a corrective move, with Fibonacci retracement levels suggesting a potential retracement toward the 0.236 level (150.976). Given the historical resistance encountered within the highlighted rectangular zone, this level is likely a significant short-term target, potentially prompting another bullish reversal. The MACD indicator at 0.023 (signal line), 0.149 (MACD line), and a histogram reading of 0.125 indicates mildly bullish momentum. Concurrently, the Williams %R at -23.88 suggests the pair is nearing overbought territory, reinforcing the potential for a corrective retracement before resuming the uptrend.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

AUDUSD H4 Chart Analysis Bearish Channel Holds Firm

The AUD/USD, commonly known as the "Aussie," is a popular forex currency pair that reflects the strength of the Australian economy relative to the US economy. Traders frequently analyze this pair for insights into global commodity prices and overall risk sentiment. Today’s fundamental outlook is significantly influenced by Australia's employment data, with expectations of strong job growth potentially supporting the Australian dollar. A positive employment report, characterized by increased employment numbers and a stable or reduced unemployment rate, could boost AUD due to anticipated consumer spending and economic activity. Meanwhile, several speeches from Federal Reserve members today could impact USD sentiment; a more hawkish stance by these members regarding monetary policy tightening would support a stronger US dollar, potentially offsetting gains by AUD.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Technically, examining the AUD/USD H4 chart, despite the previous bullish price action, the pair is currently trading within a bearish channel aligning with its long-term downtrend. Although recent candles have shown a breakout from the upper boundary of the bearish channel, early signs of red candles suggest a possible reversal back within the channel. Indicators further support a bearish outlook; the 9-period moving average stands at 0.65373, closely above the 22-period moving average at 0.65278, indicating possible weakening bullish momentum. The MACD (0.00020, 0.00085, 0.00065) indicates fading bullish momentum, and the RSI at 65.08 signals the pair might soon approach overbought conditions, supporting the expectation of a bearish reversal soon.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

US30 market structure and outlook

The US30, also known as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), is a major global index often treated as a forex-derived instrument when traded against the USD, reflecting the performance of 30 of the largest blue-chip companies in the United States. As one of the most actively traded indices, the US30 is highly sensitive to monetary policy expectations and macroeconomic sentiment. Today’s US30 fundamental analysis focuses on USD-driven catalysts, particularly remarks expected from Federal Reserve officials Jeffrey Schmid and Lorie Logan, both FOMC-linked policymakers whose speeches may provide subtle clues about future interest-rate direction. Any unexpectedly hawkish tone could strengthen the USD and apply downward pressure on equity indices like the US30, while natural-gas inventory data from the EIA may influence inflation-related sentiment if supply deviations trigger energy-price volatility. Together, these events heighten intraday macro sensitivity and may create sharp US30 price action volatility around the speech sessions.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the US30 H4 chart technical analysis, price action shows a clear upward-sloping regression channel, with the index recently dropping from the upper boundary into the mid-band after printing several sharp bearish candles. Despite this correction, the overall trend structure remains bullish, with the channel maintaining higher highs and higher lows. The Ichimoku Cloud remains green, indicating medium-term bullish sentiment; however, the candles have slipped below the baseline (Kijun-sen), signaling short-term weakness. The leading span B is horizontal, while leading span A shows a brief downward dip but has recently turned upward again, keeping the cloud bullish. The lower cloud boundary is flat, showing temporary consolidation pressure. Meanwhile, the %R (14) oscillator is deeply oversold at –87.54, indicating the market may be near short-term exhaustion and could be preparing for a rebound within the broader bullish channel. Overall, US30 price action remains structurally upward but is experiencing a corrective pullback inside the trend.


•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.


Capitalcore

EURUSD Market Momentum and Cloud Signals

EURUSD (Euro/US Dollar), often called the “Fiber,” is the world’s most traded forex pair and a benchmark for global currency strength. Today’s EUR USD fundamental outlook is shaped by a dense schedule of USD-related risk events, with multiple FOMC members—including Waller, Barr, and Barkin—set to speak on the U.S. economic outlook, monetary policy, and financial conditions. These speeches have the potential to inject volatility into the EUR-USD daily chart and overall price action, especially if policymakers sound more hawkish than markets expect. Additional USD-sensitive data such as the delayed U.S. Factory Orders report, NAHB Housing Market Index, and the Treasury Budget statement may further influence expectations for U.S. growth, inflation, and interest rates—factors that generally support the dollar when stronger-than-forecast. Combined, today’s fundamental drivers create a USD-centric environment where any hawkish tilt could pressure the Fiber lower, while softer tones may offer EUR/USD a short-term relief bounce.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the EURUSD H4 chart, the price action shows a broader bearish trend, with lower highs forming since the 1.19179 peak on September 17 and a decline reaching 1.14682 on November 5 before a corrective recovery toward 1.16000. The current price action trades slightly above the Ichimoku cloud, but bearish momentum remains visible as price is turning downward toward the green cloud, whose Leading Span B is flat indicating strong horizontal resistance and whose Leading Span A slopes gently downward. The 1.16000 zone aligns as immediate resistance, while 1.15500 serves as the nearest support, followed by 1.15000 and 1.14800. The %R(14) oscillator sits around -91, signaling deep oversold conditions on the EUR-USD H4 chart; however, in bearish environments, oversold readings can persist. The Ichimoku signals, cloud structure, and resistance confluence suggest that unless EUR/USD breaks decisively above 1.16000–1.16500, downside pressure and continuation of the dominant downtrend remain the higher-probability scenario in technical analysis.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

GBP USD Technical Indicators Hint Sideways Market

The GBP/USD, also popularly known as "Cable," is one of the most widely traded forex pairs, reflecting the exchange rate between the British Pound and the US Dollar. The Cable pair is particularly sensitive to macroeconomic events from both the United Kingdom and the United States. Today's upcoming news highlights significant events for the USD, including speeches from several FOMC members, the delayed release of Treasury International Capital data, and the Federal Reserve's economic outlook, all potentially influencing USD volatility. Concurrently, the UK's inflation metrics, including CPI and Producer Price Index, will critically influence GBP valuation, particularly given the Bank of England's inflation containment mandate.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Technically, analyzing the GBP/USD H4 chart reveals that the price action is currently consolidating around the historically significant 1.31522 level, an area known for triggering considerable bullish reactions whenever bearish momentum previously reached this zone. The indecision is apparent, reflected in neutral indicators: Williams %R at -78.31 indicates slight oversold conditions, while the RSI at 48.07 suggests balanced momentum. The Bollinger Bands (350) upper, mid, and lower bands at 1.36852, 1.33678, and 1.30504 respectively indicate potential price targets. If the bullish sentiment prevails, expect the price to move towards the Bollinger mid-band at 1.33678, suggesting a potential sideways market. Conversely, bearish momentum targeting the next significant support level at 1.29666 may resume if bearish sentiment strengthens.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

USDCAD regression channel trend continuation

USD/CAD (the “Loonie”) is a major forex pair that reflects the relationship between the US Dollar and the Canadian Dollar, heavily influenced by interest-rate expectations, commodity prices, and macroeconomic trends. With several high-impact FOMC speakers scheduled today, the pair is positioned for elevated volatility as traders gauge the next potential shift in US monetary policy. Fundamentally, the USD is likely to experience intraday support because today’s dense lineup of Federal Reserve speakers Miran, Paulson, Williams, Barr, Jefferson, and Logan, could collectively lean hawkish, especially if they emphasize inflation management or signal caution about early rate cuts. Additional US datasets such as PMI, Consumer Sentiment, Inflation Expectations, Wholesale Inventories, and the CB Leading Index further contribute to directional cues; stronger-than-forecast prints would reinforce USD demand. On the other side, Canada’s Retail Sales and New Housing Price Index may add some CAD strength if numbers beat expectations, but overall the balance of scheduled events today tilts toward USD-driven volatility. This mixture of fundamental macroeconomic forces, interest-rate expectations, and consumer-driven indicators will shape USD-CAD sentiment on the daily chart and influence broader forex price action.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the USD/CAD H4 technical chart, the price continues to respect a clear bullish regression channel, confirming an established uptrend in both the short and long term. As seen in the uploaded image, the pair recently climbed from the lower boundary of the channel toward the midline, attempting to break above it; however, this midline acts as the first structural resistance alongside 1.41000, while 1.40500 and 1.40000 serve as nearby support levels. The Ichimoku Cloud has turned green, reflecting improving bullish momentum and strengthening trend confirmation. Meanwhile, %R(14) sits near -4.94, indicating the market is in overbought territory and may face short-term pullbacks before any continuation of the broader bullish structure. Overall, the chart displays constructive price action, trend-following alignment, and momentum indicators supportive of further upside; provided the pair holds above key support and receives fundamental tailwinds from the upcoming USD events.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore