Daily Market Forecast By Capitalcore

Ethereum Forex Analysis and USD Economic Indicators Impact

The ETHUSD pair, commonly known as Ethereum against the US Dollar, is one of the leading cryptocurrency pairs traded globally, often referred to by its nickname "Ether." It is closely monitored by traders and investors due to its volatility and significant market capitalization. Today's upcoming news involves multiple critical speeches from FOMC voting members, including Federal Reserve Bank Presidents and Governors, notably Austan Goolsbee, John Williams, and Michelle Bowman. These discussions are likely to provide insights into future monetary policy and potential shifts in interest rates, directly impacting USD strength. Additionally, economic indicators such as GDP, unemployment claims, durable goods orders, and trade balance reports are set to influence market sentiment, potentially increasing USD volatility and consequently affecting the ETH/USD forex pair.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the ETH/USD H4 chart, the candles are currently exhibiting a repeated pattern of initiating a bullish trend followed by a sideways market, as observed between the 0.236 and 0.5 Fibonacci extension levels along the Bollinger Bands channel. The recent candlestick momentum indicates the possibility of a bearish correction toward the support at the 3871.29 price level, a previously significant reaction point. However, the presence of hidden divergence in the price action suggests a long-term continuation of the bullish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering around the oversold area at 30.96, implying potential bullish reversal opportunities in the short term, while the Williams %R indicator at -46.02 indicates moderate selling pressure, confirming the ongoing corrective sentiment.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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USDCAD chart shows bullish continuation

The USD/CAD currency pair, also known as the “Loonie,” is one of the most traded forex pairs, reflecting the strength of the US Dollar against the Canadian Dollar. Traders closely monitor this pair due to its sensitivity to economic releases from both the US and Canada, particularly those tied to inflation, GDP, and central bank outlooks. From a fundamental perspective, today’s upcoming US data such as the PCE price index, personal income, and consumer spending reports will be in focus as they serve as key inflation and growth indicators for the Federal Reserve’s policy stance. A stronger-than-expected PCE reading would likely bolster the USD as it strengthens expectations for higher interest rates, while weak income or spending data could weigh on sentiment. In addition, speeches from Fed officials including Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin and Governor Michelle Bowman may provide further insight into monetary policy direction. On the Canadian side, GDP data remains a critical driver, with stronger growth supporting CAD demand. Overall, fundamentals today tilt toward higher volatility in USD-CAD, with bias leaning bullish if US data signals resilient inflation and spending trends.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the USD/CAD H4 chart, the price has recently shown sharp bullish candles, moving in a clear ascending trend above the Ichimoku green cloud. The cloud itself is sloping upward, with both its boundaries also pointing higher, confirming strong bullish momentum. Price has decisively broken above resistance and is consolidating above the 1.3900 zone, turning it into short-term support. Two support zones are visible in the chart: the first in the 1.3860–1.3880 range and the second broader support area around 1.3720–1.3740. As long as USD CAD holds above the Ichimoku cloud and maintains higher highs, the bullish trend remains intact, with further upside potential toward 1.3960 and possibly the psychological 1.4000 level.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

Ripple USD chart bearish trend forecast

XRP, also known as Ripple, is one of the most widely traded cryptocurrencies in the forex and crypto market, paired frequently against the US Dollar (USD). Often called the “banker’s coin” because of its use in cross-border payments, XRP/USD is a popular pair for traders looking at both fundamental drivers and price action signals. From a fundamental perspective, today’s USD-related events carry high importance. Several Federal Reserve officials, including Governor Christopher Waller, Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem, and New York Fed President John Williams, are scheduled to speak at global financial conferences. Given their FOMC voting status, any hawkish tone could strengthen the USD, pressuring XRP/USD lower. Additionally, the pending home sales data from the National Association of Realtors will be released, serving as a forward-looking indicator of economic health. Stronger-than-expected figures would further boost the USD. Consequently, Ripple’s price action against the dollar could remain under pressure in the short term if policymakers highlight restrictive monetary policy or if US housing data exceeds forecasts.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the technical side of the XRPUSD H4 chart, the price is moving in a long-term bearish trend. After testing the strong support zone near 2.73 – 2.70, XRP/USD has so far failed to break below, creating a flat bottom formation. Following this support test, the pair has corrected higher with three consecutive large bullish green candles, reflecting a temporary recovery. However, the short-term trend angle tool highlights a -47° bearish slope, confirming the dominant downside momentum. The price also remains below the Ichimoku red cloud, where the top line of the cloud is flat, and the cloud itself has expanded with a downward-moving leading span A, signaling continued bearish sentiment. At the same time, the MACD indicator shows weak bullish momentum: the histogram is slightly positive, but the signal lines remain close to zero, suggesting limited strength in the rebound. Overall, while the price is holding above support, bearish pressure persists, and traders should watch whether XRP-USD can maintain above 2.73 or resume its broader downtrend.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

Technical Indicators Signal USDJPY Potential Reversal Levels

The USD/JPY pair, popularly known as the "Gopher," is one of the most actively traded forex pairs globally, representing the US dollar versus the Japanese yen. Traders often favor this pair for its liquidity and volatility, especially during periods of significant economic news. Today's scheduled releases include crucial data from both the US and Japan, such as Japan’s Industrial Production, Retail Sales, and Housing Starts, alongside several key speeches from Federal Reserve officials. Market participants should watch closely for hawkish tones from the Bank of Japan's economic projections and potential signals from Fed policymakers regarding future monetary policy shifts, as these will significantly influence USD/JPY's fundamental direction.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the USD/JPY H4 chart reveals that price action has been moving within a bullish channel characterized by multiple breakout failures, reflecting strong resistance and support interactions. Currently, the candles are experiencing a bearish correction and have retraced to the support line. Given the existing momentum, the current position might either confirm another breakout failure or lead to a genuine breakout to the downside. The RSI (14) at 45.57 suggests neutral momentum with slight bearish bias, while the Stochastic oscillator's K% line at 8.37 and D% line at 8.04 signal an oversold market condition, indicating potential bullish reversal opportunities. Additionally, candles remain below the 9-period Moving Average, further underscoring short-term bearish pressure.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

USD/CHF Outlook Ahead of Key Fundamental Data

The USD/CHF pair, often called the “Swissie,” represents the US dollar versus the Swiss franc and is widely traded for its safe-haven dynamics and sensitivity to monetary policy divergence. Today’s calendar is packed with influential US releases, including the ADP employment report, ISM manufacturing surveys, construction spending, and crude oil inventories from both the API and EIA. Key Fed voices are also in focus, with Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan and Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin scheduled to speak, events that could provide subtle cues on the central bank’s policy stance. For Switzerland, attention is on upcoming retail sales data from the Federal Statistical Office and the quarterly Swiss National Bank update, both critical in shaping expectations for domestic demand and monetary policy. Market participants should closely monitor hawkish tones from Fed officials alongside any surprise in Swiss data, as these will likely guide USD/CHF’s near-term momentum.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
A review of the USD/CHF 4‑hour chart shows price moving inside a well‑drawn bullish channel, where repeated tests of both the channel’s top and bottom validate the structure. Price recently bounced off the lower trendline around 0.7940—a level that also overlaps with the lower edge of the Ichimoku cloud—underscoring its role as meaningful support. The Ichimoku cloud itself appears relatively flat, pointing to sideways consolidation, and candles dipping into the cloud reflect short‑term uncertainty. The RSI (14) is near 48–50, indicating neutral momentum with a slight bearish bend. With these observations, USD/CHF might either resume an upward move from this support zone and stay inside the channel, or lose the cloud floor support and break downward, shifting the trend lower.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

BTC USD Trading Analysis Based on RSI and Bollinger Bands

BTC/USD, commonly known as "Bitcoin," is one of the most influential cryptocurrency pairs traded in forex markets, often referred to as "Digital Gold." Today, traders should closely monitor key economic data from the United States, including initial jobless claims, factory orders, and speeches from FOMC members Austan Goolsbee and Lorie Logan. Hawkish comments from these Federal Reserve representatives, signaling tighter monetary policies or fewer-than-expected jobless claims, would likely strengthen the USD, applying downward pressure on the BTC/USD pair. Conversely, weaker-than-forecasted economic indicators might prompt traders to seek refuge in Bitcoin, thus positively impacting BTC/USD prices.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Technically analyzing the BTC/USD H4 chart, after a sharp bullish trend, the candles have transitioned into a range-bound market and, having reached the upper Bollinger Band (150), we could anticipate a retracement toward the midline of the band. Currently, the RSI (14) indicator is hovering around the 72.32 level, suggesting an overbought scenario that aligns with a possible short-term decline. Similarly, the Williams %R indicator is at -12.14, further supporting the likelihood of downward price movement. Although a breakout from the range market is unlikely at this point, if bullish momentum resumes, the BTC/USD pair could aim for Fibonacci extension levels at either 0.236 or 0.382.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

Nikkei 225 Technical Analysis Bullish Momentum Targets 46400

The Nikkei 225 Index, commonly referred to as JAP225, is a key indicator for the Japanese stock market, representing the largest 225 companies listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. Today's fundamental outlook for JAP225 is influenced by significant economic data releases from Japan. The release of Japan’s Jobless Rate could affect the index modestly since a lower-than-expected unemployment rate typically signals economic health, potentially boosting investor confidence and supporting JAP225 bullish momentum. Additionally, market participants will closely watch Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda’s speech in Osaka for hints about future monetary policy, with a more hawkish stance potentially strengthening JPY and impacting the index negatively due to currency appreciation.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the provided H4 chart for JAP225, the index is trading within an ascending channel, currently struggling near the channel’s midline. The 44-period EMA is positioned below the current price action, providing dynamic support and indicating bullish sentiment. MACD is signaling upward momentum with a bullish crossover recently formed, reinforcing potential bullish continuation. Additionally, the Parabolic SAR indicator displays recent points below the price, supporting a short-term bullish scenario. Based on these technical signals and price action, a likely target for JAP225 would be approximately 46400.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

Eurozone Data Drives Today's GOLDEUR Fundamental Outlook

The GOLDEUR forex pair, known commonly as "Gold Euro," represents the value of gold priced in euros. As a significant indicator of both market risk appetite and currency strength, GOLDEUR attracts traders focusing on metals, forex, and commodities. Today's fundamental analysis is closely tied to several high-impact news events for the Euro. Investor sentiment from the Sentix survey will be key; a higher-than-forecasted figure could enhance Euro strength and thus pressure GOLDEUR downward. Retail sales data will also be closely watched, with better-than-expected figures providing bullish support to the Euro, potentially suppressing gold's value in euro terms. Additionally, ECB President Christine Lagarde's testimony could induce volatility, as traders seek clues regarding future ECB monetary policy and interest rate outlooks, potentially affecting short-term GOLDEUR price action.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Technical analysis of the GOLDEUR H4 chart indicates that the price is currently experiencing a sharp upward movement but is struggling at the upper boundary of its ascending channel, signaling resistance at current levels. Fibonacci extension levels at 1.0 and 1.68 are projected as the next potential targets if bullish momentum persists. The Linear Regression Curve confirms an established bullish trend, illustrating consistent upward momentum. The Parabolic SAR is positioned below the price candles, reaffirming the current bullish sentiment. Meanwhile, the MACD indicator suggests bullish strength, though the slight convergence hints at possible weakening momentum, warranting caution near resistance zones.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore