Daily Market Forecast By Capitalcore

Technical Triangle Signals Bullish Momentum for S&P500

The S&P 500 Index, widely known as "SPX" or simply the "S&P," represents the 500 leading publicly traded companies in the U.S., and is a primary benchmark for U.S. equities. Fundamental analysis indicates that today's release of significant U.S. economic data, including the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and initial jobless claims, may impact market sentiment. A stronger-than-forecast CPI, particularly the Core CPI excluding food and energy, could signal potential tightening of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve, leading to increased volatility and influencing investor behavior in equities, especially the S&P500. Conversely, if jobless claims come in below expectations, it would reflect economic strength, possibly bolstering confidence and investor risk appetite, positively affecting the S&P500's price action.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the uploaded S&P500 H4 chart, the candles recently have created a classic triangle pattern with ascending lows, indicating a positive pulse in its current bullish trend. Now that the candles have broken the upper resistance line of the triangle, the next anticipated target for this bullish momentum could be around the resistance level at 6770.12. However, should the price action reverse, the support level at 6400.44, where candles previously found strong buying pressure, could become a key target. Examining the indicators, the Stochastic oscillator shows the K% line at 69.91 and the D% line at 68.85, suggesting room for further upward momentum before reaching an overbought territory. The MACD histogram at 0.67, with the MACD line at 15.05 above the signal line at 14.37, corroborates the bullish scenario. Additionally, the recent candles are trading above the moving average, reinforcing the bullish bias.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

XAU/USD chart trend and forex analysis

XAU/USD, also known as “Gold” or “GOLDUSD,” is one of the most traded safe-haven assets in the forex and commodities market. Gold is highly sensitive to US Dollar movements, inflation expectations, and overall market sentiment, making it a crucial pair for daily chart technical and fundamental analysis. From a fundamental perspective, traders today are closely watching the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index and Inflation Expectations data, which historically have a strong influence on USD price action. Higher-than-expected confidence or inflation readings would strengthen the US Dollar and put pressure on Gold prices, while weaker results could support bullish momentum for XAU/USD. Since consumer confidence drives household spending and inflation expectations guide future wage and monetary policy dynamics, today’s news release has the potential to create notable volatility in Gold’s short-term price action.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the XAU/USD H4 chart, the price is consolidating inside a rectangle with a flat lower boundary after recording a new all-time high on September 9th. The asset has shifted from the upper regression channel to the lower zone, with a Pearson’s R of 0.9767, confirming the strength of the trend correlation. After touching the lower band of the regression channel and the rectangle’s flat base, Gold has shown signs of recovery, forming three green candles out of the last four. Currently, the candles remain above the Ichimoku Cloud, with the last three candles moving along the conversion line, while the green cloud continues its upward slope, signaling bullish momentum. The candles are trading between the Ichimoku baseline (below price) and the lagging span (above price), reinforcing a supportive technical structure. Meanwhile, the %R oscillator sits at -49.92, reflecting neutral momentum with potential for continuation either side, though the price action leans slightly bullish after the recent corrective move.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

Bitcoin versus US Dollar chart forecast

Bitcoin, often referred to as "digital gold" or simply BTC, paired with the US Dollar (BTC/USD), is one of the most traded and analyzed currency pairs in the forex and crypto markets. This pair reflects the performance of the world’s leading cryptocurrency against the world’s reserve currency, making it a key benchmark for traders tracking both digital assets and traditional markets.
From a fundamental perspective, today’s upcoming release of the New York Manufacturing Index could weigh on USD sentiment. A stronger-than-expected reading would support the US Dollar, potentially applying downside pressure on BTC/USD as dollar demand rises. Conversely, weaker data would signal economic softness, prompting traders to price in more dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve, which may boost Bitcoin’s appeal as an alternative store of value. Given the anticipation around today’s release, traders should watch for heightened volatility in the BTC/USD pair as fundamental forces interact with current technical positioning.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
From a technical perspective on the BTC/USD H4 chart, the price is currently moving in an ascending trendline after previous corrections and a sharp descending phase that retraced to the 0.236 Fibonacci level. Since then, Bitcoin has established bullish momentum, with price action now trading above the Ichimoku green cloud and recently testing the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level as the new week opens. The latest candles are forming above both the base line (Kijun-sen) and conversion line (Tenkan-sen), with the new candle opening strongly above both indicators and the cloud, reinforcing bullish bias. On the MACD indicator, the MACD line (1003.55) is positioned above the signal line (876.86), showing continued momentum in favor of buyers. Together, these signals indicate that BTC/USD maintains a bullish setup in the short term, but traders should remain cautious around key Fibonacci resistance levels and incoming USD data that could trigger short-lived volatility.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

EURGBP H4 Trading Strategy and Price Action Forecast

The EUR/GBP forex pair, also popularly known as "Chunnel," represents the Euro against the British Pound and is a significant indicator of the economic relationship between the Eurozone and the United Kingdom. Today's upcoming economic news highlights the ZEW Economic Sentiment from Germany and Eurozone industrial production figures, providing critical insights into investor confidence and manufacturing health in the Euro area. Positive outcomes in these reports could potentially strengthen the Euro against the Pound. Meanwhile, the British Pound faces pivotal labor market data releases, including average earnings, claimant count, and unemployment rate figures from the Office for National Statistics. Favorable UK labor statistics could lend strength to GBP, making today's session highly volatile and pivotal for EUR/GBP price action.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the EUR GBP H4 chart, the price is currently in an uptrend movement, testing a crucial support level. If bullish momentum sustains, the immediate resistance line ahead is likely the first target, followed by the latest swing high as the second target. The Bollinger Bands indicate the price is currently wrestling with the middle band, which serves as a dynamic moving average, placing the pair slightly below it—an indicator of potential consolidation or downward pressure. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering around the neutral 50 mark, indicating market indecision. Meanwhile, the MACD indicator currently shows a weakening bearish sentiment, suggesting the possibility of a bullish crossover soon if the price maintains support levels. Traders should closely monitor price action at these critical levels to confirm potential breakout or reversal signals.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

AUD/CAD Consolidates Near Key Levels

The AUD/CAD forex pair represents the Australian Dollar against the Canadian Dollar, reflecting the economic interplay between two resource-driven economies heavily influenced by commodities and global demand. On the Australian side, traders are watching the Melbourne Institute’s Leading Index, which tracks shifts in consumer confidence, housing, and commodity prices, though its muted impact stems from reliance on previously released data. More attention, however, is on RBA Assistant Governor Brad Jones, who is scheduled to participate in a fireside chat on "The Future of Money," where any hawkish signals could support the Aussie. Meanwhile, Canada’s focus lies on foreign securities purchases data, a key measure of international capital inflows, and upcoming Bank of Canada events, including its interest rate decision and policy statement later this month. With both central banks in the spotlight and commodities driving sentiment, today’s session could see heightened volatility in AUD-CAD as traders weigh shifts in economic outlook and monetary policy direction.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the AUD/CAD H4 chart, the pair recently pulled back from its highs around 0.9220 and is now consolidating near the 0.9180 level. The Ichimoku Cloud shows that price is still trading above the Kumo, reflecting an overall bullish structure, though momentum is being tested as candles hover close to the conversion and base lines. A sustained move above the blue Tenkan-sen could reignite bullish momentum, with resistance at the 0.9200–0.9220 zone as the immediate upside target. On the downside, a break below the red Kijun-sen may expose the top of the cloud around 0.9150 as the next key support. The RSI is sitting near 52, just above the neutral 50 level, highlighting market indecision and signaling that neither bulls nor bears have firm control. Traders should monitor whether AUDCAD holds above the Ichimoku support zone for a potential continuation higher, or whether weakening momentum leads to a deeper correction into the cloud.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

Technical Indicators Suggest Gold Price Correction Incoming

XAU/USD, commonly known as Gold, is among the most traded forex pairs in the financial markets, renowned as a safe-haven asset especially during periods of economic uncertainty. Today, traders are closely watching several key economic indicators from the United States, including Initial Jobless Claims, the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, the Conference Board Leading Index, EIA Natural Gas Storage, and TIC Net Long-term Transactions. Stronger-than-expected data in these areas could bolster the USD, potentially weighing on gold prices. Conversely, weaker economic indicators could enhance Gold's appeal as a safe haven, pushing XAU/USD higher.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the XAU/USD 4-hour chart, the pair has been trending bullishly, consistently setting higher highs and higher lows. However, a negative regular divergence has emerged in recent candles, signaling a potential reversal which has already begun. With key support identified at the level of 3634.52, the price action could see a pullback to this area. Conversely, bullish momentum recovery might lead prices toward the resistance level at 3699.04. The MACD indicator currently shows a bearish sentiment with the histogram at -2.05, the MACD line at -0.98, and the signal line at 1.08, suggesting weakening bullish momentum. The Stochastic indicator with K% at 35.07 and D% at 44.19 indicates an oversold market condition, possibly foreshadowing a near-term reversal upward. Bollinger Bands have expanded, reflecting increased market volatility, implying potential sharp price movements ahead.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore