Daily Market Forecast By Capitalcore

GBP/USD Elliott Wave Completion Signals Bullish Trend

The GBP-USD forex pair, often called "Cable," reflects the exchange rate between the British Pound (GBP) and the US Dollar (USD), two of the most influential global currencies. Today's upcoming news for GBP includes the Halifax Bank of Scotland's House Price Index (HBOS HPI), which, if higher than anticipated, may positively affect the Pound by indicating strength in the UK housing sector. Additionally, traders await the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Report and MPC vote data, which provide critical insights into future UK monetary policy and economic conditions. From the US, the focus is on weekly jobless claims, labor productivity, and wholesale inventories, which will indicate economic health and impact USD valuation. Hawkish statements from Federal Reserve speakers or better-than-expected employment data may strengthen USD in the short term.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the GBP/USD H4 chart, price action currently struggles within the daily cluster zone, now forming a "three soldier" bullish candlestick pattern aimed at testing the descending resistance trend line. Market momentum clearly indicates a bullish bias, supported by the apparent completion of a 5-wave Elliott pattern, signaling potential short-term bullish breakout opportunities. The RSI indicator, trending above 60 with evident bullish divergence, further backs the strength of this bullish outlook. Additionally, the Stochastic oscillator, with both lines above 80, indicates overbought conditions, suggesting strong buying momentum that could sustain upward movement temporarily. Meanwhile, the Bollinger Bands show price currently near the upper band, suggesting continued bullish volatility and potential short-term upside.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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JAP225 Nikkei 225 H4 bullish continuation

JAP225—better known as the Nikkei 225 or simply “Nikkei”/N225—is Japan’s blue‑chip equity benchmark and a popular index CFD alongside JPY forex pairs. Because exporters dominate the index, the price action often moves inversely to the Japanese yen. Fundamental outlook today: traders will watch Statistics Bureau Household Spending, BoJ Bank Lending, the Ministry of Finance Current Account, and the Cabinet Office Eco Watchers Index. Stronger‑than‑forecast readings typically boost JPY, which can weigh on JAP225 as a firmer yen pressures exporters, while softer spending and lending or a subdued Eco Watchers print (below 50) tend to weaken JPY and support the Nikkei 225. A wider Current Account surplus would also favor the yen; conversely, any hint of policy caution from the BoJ would keep yields suppressed and bolster risk appetite. In short, upbeat data risks a pullback in the JAP225 daily chart; softer data keep the uptrend intact toward resistance. This blends fundamental analysis with the price action bias for today’s session.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
After hitting the lower boundary of the ascending channel in H4 timeframe, price rebounded and is now pressing the upper Bollinger Band near 41,200–41,400, signaling strong momentum but also proximity to resistance. The chart shows a mild bullish RSI divergence between recent swing lows; RSI is 62, consistent with a constructive trend that is not yet overbought. Stochastic has both lines above 80, so short‑term overbought conditions may cause brief pauses, but momentum remains positive while price holds above the rising trendline around 40,800–40,400 and the prior demand zone near 40,000. A clean push through 41,800–42,000 targets the previous high zone at ~41,950, with a secondary objective at the channel midline higher up (roughly 42,200–42,400 depending on slope). Failure to hold the 40,800 area would expose 40,000 and the deeper support near 38,799. This JAP225 H4 technical analysis supports a buy‑the‑dip bias within trend while respecting overbought signals.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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EUR/USD Chart Price Action analysis

The EUR/USD, often referred to as the “Fiber,” is the most traded currency pair in the forex market, representing the exchange rate between the Euro and the US Dollar. Known for its high liquidity and tight spreads, it serves as a benchmark for global currency movements and is heavily influenced by macroeconomic data, central bank policies, and geopolitical events. Today’s fundamental outlook is shaped by two key economic releases: the US Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland’s Survey of Firms’ Inflation Expectations, which can strengthen the USD if results surpass forecasts, and Italy’s monthly Trade Balance from Istat, which can support the Euro if exports outweigh imports. Should US inflation expectations rise, the USD may gain, exerting downside pressure on EUR/USD, while a strong Eurozone trade surplus could counteract this effect, leading to short-term volatility and potential price whipsaws.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the EUR/USD H4 chart, the price is showing a bullish movement hovering above the Ichimoku Cloud, supported by a green cloud with a lower flat base and slightly expanded formation, signaling a modest bullish bias. The price remains compressed between a long-term bullish trendline in green and two bearish trendlines—one lighter, connecting two significant peaks, and another steeper red line originating from early July. These converging trendlines meet near the 1.16000 level, forming a symmetrical triangle pattern. Key support lies at 1.16231, while the %R indicator at -59.29 suggests the pair is in neutral-to-slightly-bullish territory, with momentum not yet at overbought levels. A breakout above the red bearish trendline around 1.17086 could trigger stronger bullish continuation, while a drop below the green ascending trendline may invite further downside pressure.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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GBPAUD Technical and Fundamental Forecast H4

The GBP/AUD forex pair, often referred to as the “Pound Aussie,” represents the exchange rate between the British Pound Sterling and the Australian Dollar. This cross-currency pair is influenced by the economic policies, trade dynamics, and macroeconomic data from both the UK and Australia, making it popular among traders who look for volatility and trend-driven opportunities. Its price action reflects a blend of the UK’s financial strength and Australia’s commodity-linked economy, creating diverse trading setups for both short-term and long-term strategies. Fundamentally, today’s GBP/AUD outlook is shaped by upcoming UK data releases, including the British Retail Consortium (BRC) like-for-like retail sales, average earnings, jobless claims, and unemployment rate, alongside Australia’s NAB business confidence report. Stronger-than-expected UK retail and labor market data could boost GBP, signaling a healthier consumer environment and increased inflationary pressure, potentially supporting a more hawkish Bank of England stance. Conversely, upbeat Australian business confidence, backed by stable or optimistic Reserve Bank of Australia policy expectations, could strengthen the AUD. With both economies facing key macroeconomic reports, volatility is likely to increase, and traders will be closely watching for shifts in interest rate expectations and economic momentum to guide GBP/AUD direction in the short term.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Technically, the GBP/AUD H4 chart shows that the pair remains in a long-term upward movement, with candles recently approaching the long-term green support line — a likely reason for the recent sideways consolidation within the purple range. If bullish momentum continues, the first target lies at 2.07359, a level where price has reacted repeatedly before. A break above that could see price testing the second target zone around 2.10071, an area previously broken and retested, and which has recently acted as strong resistance. A clear breakout above this zone would signal a continuation of the uptrend. The MACD histogram is hovering near -0.00002, with the MACD line at 0.00237 and the signal line at 0.00239, indicating a slightly bullish bias but still lacking strong momentum. The RSI is at 56.72, suggesting moderate bullish strength without overbought conditions, leaving room for further upside if fundamental catalysts align.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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USD/JPY Steadies Ahead of Key Fed Speeches

The USD/JPY forex pair, representing the exchange rate between the US Dollar and the Japanese Yen, is a major currency pair widely followed for its sensitivity to both US monetary policy developments and Japan’s economic performance. It reflects the interplay between the Federal Reserve’s interest rate trajectory and the Bank of Japan’s inflation and growth outlook, making it a popular choice for traders seeking macro-driven opportunities. Today’s USD/JPY outlook is shaped by a heavy lineup of US events, including speeches from multiple Federal Reserve officials—Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, and Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic—each capable of signaling shifts in policy tone ahead of future FOMC decisions. Weekly US crude oil inventory data from both the American Petroleum Institute (API) and the Energy Information Administration (EIA) may also influence broader market sentiment and the dollar via risk appetite and inflation expectations. On the Japanese side, the latest Corporate Goods Price Index (CGPI) and preliminary machine tool orders data will be in focus as leading indicators of inflation and industrial momentum. Stronger-than-expected US Fed commentary paired with supportive oil market dynamics could lift the dollar, while upbeat Japanese pricing and manufacturing data might bolster the yen, setting the stage for potential volatility in USD/JPY as traders gauge interest rate differentials and economic resilience on both sides of the Pacific.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Technically, the uploaded USD/JPY H4 chart shows the pair recovering modestly from a recent bearish wave, with price testing the flat Kijun-sen of the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a potential support area around 147. The RSI indicator reflects a shift from bearish momentum to bullish, currently hovering near the 50 neutral level, suggesting cautious optimism for upward price action. Key support zones lie near 147 and 146.2, while resistance levels are positioned at 148.5 and 149.3, highlighting critical areas to watch for potential breakouts or reversals. This aligns well with price action patterns on related pairs like USDJPY, where technical setups and fundamental catalysts combine to drive market sentiment.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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S&P 500 H4 Chart Bullish Channel Analysis

The S&P 500 Index, often referred to as the “SPX” or simply “the S&P,” is one of the most widely followed equity benchmarks in the world, tracking the performance of 500 leading publicly traded companies in the United States. It serves as a key barometer of U.S. economic health and investor sentiment, making it a cornerstone for global market participants. Today’s focus is on its 4-hour chart price action and fundamental catalysts. On the fundamental side, markets are awaiting a cluster of high-impact U.S. data releases, including the Producer Price Index (PPI) and Core PPI, which will provide insight into wholesale inflation trends and potential future consumer price pressures. Alongside these, weekly jobless claims will shed light on labor market resilience, while speeches from FOMC members Alberto Musalem and Thomas Barkin may influence rate expectations. Traders will also watch for mortgage delinquency data and natural gas storage figures for broader economic signals. Stronger-than-expected PPI or hawkish Fed commentary could strengthen the USD and weigh on equities, while softer readings or dovish tones may support continued bullish momentum in the S&P 500.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the technical side, the S&P 500 H4 chart shows that after a sharp and sudden bearish trend, the market has entered a steady bullish momentum, moving within an ascending price channel. If the bulls maintain control, price could push toward the upper band of the channel; however, the visible divergence in the MACD indicators signals a potential shift in trend. If a pullback occurs, the first key support is at 6453.96, a level that has seen repeated price reactions, followed by the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement at 6433.37. MACD readings show the histogram at 4.74, the MACD line at 26.64, and the signal line at 21.90, indicating waning bullish momentum. The Williams %R is at -15.57, placing the market near overbought territory, which further supports the possibility of a short-term correction before any sustained upward move.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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Kiwi Short Term Price Action Outlook

The New Zealand Dollar versus the US Dollar (NZDUSD), commonly nicknamed the “Kiwi,” is a major forex pair that reflects the relative strength of New Zealand’s economy against the US. Today, the NZD is influenced by a combination of domestic economic data and US macroeconomic indicators. On the fundamental side, New Zealand’s Performance of Manufacturing Index and Food Price Index releases are expected to provide insights into local economic activity and inflation trends, while US Retail Sales, New York Manufacturing Index, Import Price Index, and other consumer spending and production reports will heavily impact USD strength. Positive US data may boost the dollar, applying downward pressure on NZD-USD, whereas stronger-than-expected NZ data could support Kiwi gains. Traders should closely monitor these releases, as shifts in consumer confidence, inflation expectations, and manufacturing output will likely drive short-term volatility in the NZD/USD daily chart and H4 price action.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the NZD USD H4 chart, the pair is currently moving in a short-term bearish trend, trading below a well-defined red descending trend line that has been tested three times. The Kiwi price has reached the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level, which aligns with the long-term bullish blue trend line, creating a strong support zone. After touching this level, a green candle formed, suggesting a short-term correction. Price action is currently interacting with the Ichimoku Cloud, moving along its lower band, which has acted as additional support. The cloud itself is green, indicating potential bullish momentum if buyers step in. The %R indicator is at -89.9, recently turning upward but still in the oversold territory below -80%, signaling a possible rebound. Overall, this H4 setup suggests that while bearish momentum dominates short-term moves, the support confluence at the 0.236 Fibonacci level and lower cloud band could trigger corrective upward movement, offering traders potential buy opportunities within the context of the overall downtrend.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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BTCUSD Chart Key Levels and Price Action

Bitcoin (BTC), often nicknamed “digital gold”, is the most traded cryptocurrency against the US Dollar (USD) and remains a major focus for both retail and institutional traders. Today, upcoming USD news from the NAHB Housing Market Index could influence BTC/USD sentiment, as stronger-than-expected home builder confidence often strengthens the USD and may put short-term pressure on BTC/USD. Investors should watch for this monthly release, as it signals economic health in the US housing sector and can impact crypto-to-fiat price action, especially during periods of high volatility and retracement from all-time highs.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the H4 chart, BTC/USD recently corrected after reaching a new all-time high (ATH) near $124,500. The long-term bullish trend line has acted as dynamic support near the lower Bollinger Band (~$116,000), aligning closely with the horizontal support at $116,934. Following this, the price has started a rebound toward the middle Bollinger Band and is forming a fresh green candle. Immediate resistance is observed around $119,259–$120,000, which has historically acted as a strong reversal zone. The Williams %R at -85.17 shows oversold conditions with a slight corrective move toward -80, indicating potential upward momentum. Overall, BTC/USD shows a bullish retracement within a long-term uptrend, with key levels to watch for breakout or reversal near $120,000 and $124,500.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

EURUSD Chart Technical Setup and Price Action Outlook

The EUR/USD, often referred to as the “Fiber”, is the world’s most traded currency pair, representing the Euro against the US Dollar. Known for its high liquidity and volatility, it is heavily influenced by macroeconomic indicators, central bank policies, and geopolitical developments. Today’s focus for traders is on the Eurozone’s Producer Price Index (PPI), CPI reports, and a speech from ECB President Christine Lagarde, all of which could provide crucial clues about inflationary pressures and monetary policy direction. Meanwhile, from the US side, markets are awaiting Federal Reserve speeches and energy data that could influence USD sentiment. Stronger Eurozone inflation data or hawkish ECB remarks may provide support to the Euro, while a hawkish Fed tone or safe-haven demand for the Dollar amid geopolitical headlines could weigh on the pair. This tug-of-war sets the stage for heightened volatility in the EUR/USD daily chart technical and fundamental analysis.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
From a technical perspective on the EUR/USD H4 chart, the price is currently consolidating between the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level near 1.1708 and the 0.618 Fibonacci support around 1.1643, trapped between two converging trend lines. A long-term bullish trendline starting from February 2025 has provided consistent support, showing that the pair has been in a general uptrend throughout 2025, albeit with several corrections. On the other hand, a bearish descending trendline from July 2025 continues to act as resistance, preventing a breakout to the upside. The pair is ranging within these opposing pressures, and traders must watch closely which boundary will break first. Currently, the price action is leaning towards the lower half of the Bollinger Bands, with the 0.618 Fibonacci level and the lower band acting as short-term support. Additionally, the Williams %R indicator at -88.46 signals oversold conditions, suggesting that a potential technical rebound may occur unless fundamental catalysts push the pair lower. For now, the EUR/USD price action outlook remains neutral-to-cautiously bullish, pending confirmation from upcoming news events.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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Dow Jones Daily Chart Fundamentals and Indicators Review

The Dow Jones Industrial Average, widely recognized as the "US30" and affectionately nicknamed "the Dow," is one of the most prominent equity indices, comprising 30 significant publicly traded companies in the United States. It serves as a vital indicator of the U.S. economic landscape. Fundamentally, today's focus is directed toward several key economic events, including a speech by Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic, anticipated jobless claims data, manufacturing and services PMI figures, Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, existing home sales, and changes in natural gas inventories. Investors will closely monitor President Bostic's commentary on monetary policy, alongside employment and purchasing managers' indices data, as positive outcomes here are expected to bolster market confidence and support bullish sentiment for the US30.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
From a technical perspective, analyzing the Dow Jones US30 4-hour chart, the candles have been consistently aligning with a bullish trendline, despite a single unsuccessful breakout attempt, suggesting strong bullish dominance. Currently, price action has entered a corrective phase and trades sideways around the Fibonacci retracement level of 0.236. A breakout below the support seems improbable given the prevailing bullish momentum; however, continued corrective movements could lead the index toward the Fibonacci level 0.382. Conversely, bullish continuation would likely target the previous resistance high around 45341. Bollinger Bands indicate consolidation with bands narrowing, signaling an imminent expansion and potential volatility. The middle band currently aligns with the latest candle, suggesting near-term equilibrium. The MACD histogram is positioned at -20, the MACD line at 18, below the signal line at 37, indicating mild bearish sentiment in the short term. RSI is hovering at approximately 49.85, reflecting a neutral momentum stance.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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