ForeCastle

US Dollar Forecast – USDollar Range to Extend Unless CPI or Fed Speakers Shift Rate Timing
Conditions are extraordinarily quiet across the financial market, and the Dollar is certainly not escaping the lethargy.



Japanese Yen Forecast – Yen Runs to Resistance as Stimulus Bets Continue to Price-Out
The Japanese Yen has been quite the volatile currency of recent. After the Brexit referendum drove the Yen to fresh highs as risk aversion permeated through global markets, a two-week bout of weakness in the currency threatened to pose a longer-term reversal on the prospect of an even more enhanced stimulus package coming out of the Bank of Japan.



Australian Dollar Forecast – Australian Dollar May Fall as RBA Rate Cut Bets Rebuild
The Australian Dollar may decline amid rebuilding near-term RBA rate cut speculation following minutes from Augusts’ policy meeting and July’s employment data.



Canadian Dollar Forecast - CAD to Pare 2016 Losses on Sticky Inflation, Strong Retail Sales
The recent string of lower highs & lows in USD/CAD accompanied by the mixed data prints coming out of the U.S. raises the risk for a further decline in the exchange rate especially as economic developments coming out of Canada are anticipated to show sticky price growth paired with a pickup in private-sector consumption.



New Zealand Dollar Forecast - RBNZ Rate Cut Fails To Derail New Zealand Dollar Trend
The New Zealand Dollar is the little (regarding relative G10 GDP) currency that could. Despite the 25bp rate cut by the RBNZ on Thursday morning, the New Zealand Dollar continues to be pushing higher.



Chinese Yuan Forecast - Yuan Holds the Range While Hopes of PBoC Rate Cuts Diminish
This Thursday marks the one-year anniversary of the PBOC de-pegging the Yuan from the US Dollar.



Gold Forecast – Gold Prices in Holding Pattern- Fed, Inflation Outlook in Focus
Gold prices ended the week fractionally higher with the precious metal advancing just 0.1% to trade at 1337 ahead of the New York close on Friday.




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