ForeCastle

Talking Points:

• ADX can pinpoint strong currency trends
• RSI can be used to enter with market momentum
• Risk Management can use previous market highs and lows

ADX 50 trend trading strategy.

EURUSD 4Hour with ADX



ADX and the Trend

Finding a strong directional move is the first priority of any trend trader. However, when having to select a currency pair to trade, it can be difficult to identify the best trends. For the “ADX 50“strategy we will be using the ADX (Average Directional Index) indicator for this process. First, add a 14 period ADX to the 4Hour chart, using Daily periods. This can be accomplished through the data source options found in the properties menu. Ultimately, this will show us a Daily ADX reading on the 4Hour graph as depicted above.

Remember, ADX is not identifying the direction of the trend, only its intensity. If a currency pair’s trend is weak or if the pair is consolidating, ADX will read significantly lower than a strong directional market. For the “ADX 50” strategy, we will only be looking for currency pairs with an ADX value of over 50! If Daily ADX reads over 50, you can then begin to move to the execution phase of the strategy.

EURUSD with ADX and RSI for Entries



Trending Entries with RSI

Once a strong trend is found, it is time to plan an entry into the market. The “ADX 50” trend trading strategy uses an RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator signal for this task. For today’s entry signal we will be using an RSI with a 14 period setting on a 4Hour chart. In a downtrend, new sell positions should be entered only when ADX reads over 50 and RSI closes below 30 (oversold). Conversely buy positions will be initiates when ADX reads over 50 and RSI closes above 70.

Below we see a sample EURUSD chart, which has been filtered for ADX. As ADX rises above50, traders can begin executing sell signals as RSI closes below 30. So far, during the highlighted period, RSI has signaled 3 sample entries for the graph. As ADX is now below 50, no new trading signals should be considered.

Stop and Limit Placement

Traders should always have a plan for managing their position. Eventually trends will come to an end and any existing trades should be exited. When initiating a buy order, stop orders should be placed at a 14 period low on the 4Hour chart. That way if a new low is created, all existing buy trades will be closed. Conversely if a trader is selling in a downtrend, stops can be placed at a 14 period high again using the 4Hour chart.

When it comes to profit targets, the “ADX 50” trend trading strategy will use a standard 1-2 Risk:Reward ratio. This means that your limit placement should look for twice the amount of pips relative to your stop. For example, if a sample trade has a 100 pip stop loss, a minimum 200 pip profit target is suggested.

---Written by Walker England, Trading Instructor


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