5 Attachment(s)
Weekly Trading Forecast: US Politics May Trump Economics Again
US Dollar Forecast: Politics to Overshadow Yellen Speech, FOMC Minutes
The US Dollar is likely to remain at the mercy of politics-driven volatility as inflationary fiscal stimulus prospects remain the central object of speculation.
Attachment 29684
Australian Dollar Forecast:Australian Dollar Likely Stuck, But Watch For RBA Speakers
The Australian Dollar is caught between some reasonably perky domestic economic data and a central bank in no obvious hurry to lift interest rates from record lows
Attachment 29685
Chinese Yuan Forecast: Yuan Likely to Consolidate as PBOC Maintains Neutral Monetary Policy
China’s Central Bank released the 3Q report. It reveals the regulator’s strategy on monetary policy and financial markets over the following periods.
Attachment 29686
Equities Forecast: Will the S&P 500 Keep Hanging Tough, or Join the DAX & Nikkei Lower?
U.S. stocks continue to hang tough despite sellers hitting markets from Asia to Europe, can they hold on or will they succumb to selling, too?
Attachment 29687
Gold Forecast: The Battle Between the Bulls and the Bears Continues
Gold has been stuck in a $25 range for the last month with strong arguments from both buyers and sellers for a range break.
Attachment 29688
more...
Weekly Trading Forecast: How Will Markets Position to End 2017?
US Dollar Forecast: US Dollar Looks Vulnerable Through the End of 2017
The US Dollar plunged despite a seemingly hawkish lead from the Federal Reserve. It will probably struggle to find a lifeline before the calendar turns to 2018.
Japanese Yen Forecast: BoJ Discusses Reversal Rate as The Quest Continues Towards the Elusive 2%
Next week brings the final Bank of Japan rate decision for 2017, and while inflation remains well-below the bank’s 2% target, the BoJ appear steadfast and determined to drive-in higher prices.
Australian Dollar Forecast: Australian Dollar May Have Risen As Far As It's Going This Year
The Australian Dollar got unexpected lift from both local and international factors last week. It can’t rely on more of the same in the coming sessions however.
Canadian Dollar Forecast: USD/CAD Resilience Vulnerable to Strong Canada Inflation Figures
A marked pickup in Canada’s headline reading for inflation may rattle the near-term resilience in USD/CAD as it puts pressure on the BoC to further normalize monetary policy.
Crude Oil Forecast: Slew of Bearish Data Fails To Reverse Price
In light of recent bad news in the crude oil market failing to significantly reverse the trend, oil traders are holding onto their optimistic views.
Equities Forecast: S&P 500, DAX & FTSE Outlook; Markets Looking to Close Year Strong
This past week we had three major central bank meetings, the week ahead quiets down as the year quickly draws to a close; markets looking to close out year on a strong note.
Gold Forecast: Gold Prices Off Key Support- FOMC Rally Eyes Initial Resistance Hurdles
Gold prices rebounded off critical support this week with the Fed inspired rally now eyeing initial targets. Here are the updated targets & invalidation levels that matter.
more...
Dollar Risks Three-Year Low as Rate Expectations Lose Sway
US Dollar Forecast: Dollar Risks Three-Year Low as Rate Expectations Lose Sway
NFPs underwhelmed an increasingly anesthetized Dollar crowd, but would the currency even responded more definitively to a more dramatic surprise? The Greenback’s bullish options seem to be thinning out.
British Pound Forecast: Positive Tailwinds Continue to Boost Sterling
Sterling’s recent rally is likely to continue against both the US dollar and the euro as the UK’s economic backdrop starts to improve, while Brexit headwinds recede for now.
Australian Dollar Forecast: Australian Dollar Needs A Reflective Time
The Australian Dollar has joined in fully in the greenback-bashing which has characterized the change from old year to new. However some pause for consideration is now in order.
Chinese Yuan Forecast: Yuan May Extend Gains on New Policies, China-France Summit Adds Uncertainties
Chinese regulators’ newly-introduced policies may support the Yuan; Xi-Macron meetings are likely to both touch on controversial issues and reach deals.
Crude Oil Forecast: Crude Oil Price Falls From 3-Year High On Swelling US Supplies
Crude Oil has closed to the highest level in three years as global demand picture is looking bright, but doubters are pointing to swelling US refined product inventories.
Equities Forecast: Global Stock Markets Start Year Strong; Follow-through in Week 2?
This past week global markets got off to a strong start, and will look to try and build on this momentum in week 2; a little digestion of recent gains would be a healthy development.
more...
7 Attachment(s)
Weekly Trading Forecast: Can FOMC, Jobs Data Lift the US Dollar?
US Dollar Forecast: US Dollar to Focus on External News Flow, Look Past FOMC and NFP
The US Dollar is more likely to find a lifeline from external news-flow rather than the upcoming FOMC policy announcement and January’s employment report.
Attachment 30406
British Pound Forecast: Remain Bullish But Don't Chase Trades Too Hard
A fair few bullish tailwinds have pushed GBP to multi- month and year highs and the backdrop remains positive. However with current levels elevated, don’t force trades, be patient.
Attachment 30411
Japanese Yen Forecast: USD/JPY Rate Eyes 2017-Low Ahead of FOMC Meeting, NFP Report
Key developments coming out of the U.S. economy may curb the recent decline in USD/JPY should Fed officials show a greater willingness to deliver a March rate-hike.
Attachment 30412
Australian Dollar Forecast: Australian Dollar Could Give Ground if US Data Prompt Rethink
The Australian Dollar could be somewhat less a prisoner of the US Administration this week, which may leave it looking a little weaker than it has been.
Attachment 30410
Crude Oil Forecast: Oil Prices Climb to Three-Year Highs as US Supplies Continue to Tighten
Oil prices continued to rise this week, as another hit to the U.S. Dollar combined with a tenth consecutive week of drawdown in U.S. supplies helped to keep prices elevated.
Attachment 30409
Gold Forecast: Gold Prices Fly as USD Slides- FOMC, NFP to Drive February Open
Gold prices marched higher this week as the dollar slump continues - but how long can this last? Here are the updated targets & invalidation levels that matter.
Attachment 30408
Equities Forecast: S&P 500 Faces FOMC, NFPs; DAX, FTSE Sell-offs Bring Trends into Question
The big events next week will be the FOMC and U.S. jobs report; several key Euro-zone/German numbers could impact the DAX, FTSE tries to stem last week’s tumble.
Attachment 30407
more...
6 Attachment(s)
Weekly Trading Forecast: Politics in Focus for Global Markets
US Dollar Forecast: Dollar Strength Tempered by Tariff Talk: Powell Hints of Four-Hike Potential
The US Dollar wiped-out early week gains after talk of tariffs on Chinese steel and aluminum gripped markets’ attention. This obscured the earlier testimony from new Fed Chair Jerome Powell, when he talked down the ‘Fed Put’ while hinting towards the possibility of four hikes out of the US this year.
Attachment 30771
British Pound Forecast: The Song Remains The Same – Brexit
Sterling got an early uplift this week from hawkish central bank commentary but the ongoing stalemate in the Brexit negotiations continues to weigh on the British Pound.
Attachment 30767
Japanese Yen Forecast: Yen Looks Attractive on Italian Election, US Jobs Data and More
The Japanese Yen seems like an attractive bid for next week given the upcoming Italian election and US jobs report. Don’t dismiss the possibility of more US tariff retaliation too.
Attachment 30770
Australian Dollar Forecast: Australian Dollar Could Struggle With RBA Rate Call, Lowe Speech
The Australian Dollar market can look forward to two key local economic events this week. Neither may be very comforting for the bulls.
Attachment 30769
Equities Forecast: Global Indices Undergoing 'Stress Test'; More Losses Could Be in Store
Next week stock markets could be under further fire as risk aversion hits once again; several key events on the docket.
Attachment 30772
Gold Forecast: Gold Prices Buoyed by Trump Tariff Talks- Is a Bottom In Place?
Gold prices reversed off key support this week over concerns regarding a looming global trade war.
Attachment 30768
more...
6 Attachment(s)
Weekly Trading Forecast: Fed Policy Announcement
US Dollar Forecast: US Dollar on Offensive Before Fed Rate Decision. Will it Last?
The US Dollar is on the offensive as traders brace for what could be a major hawkish policy pivot at the Federal Reserve. Will Jerome Powell and company deliver?
Attachment 30977
British Pound Forecast: From Famine to Feast - BOE, Hard Data and Brexit
Sterling traders will be happy to see a raft of potentially market moving releases and events next week after a week of twiddling their thumbs.
Attachment 30978
Australian Dollar Forecast: Australian Dollar Pressured, Fed Hawkishness Will Be Decisive
The Australian Dollar will be as in thrall to the week’s Federal Reserve monetary policy meeting as the rest of the currency complex.
Attachment 30979
Crude Oil Forecast: Crude Oil Bulls Turn Spotlight To Demand Ahead of Trade War Clarification
Crude oil is set for a second weekly gain despite a sharp rise in US output that shows little signs of slowing thanks to rising demand forecasts and geopolitical concerns as the market’s focus.
Attachment 30980
Equities Forecast: S&P 500 & FTSE Face FOMC, BoE; DAX Still Trying to Mend Itself
The coming week holds key events by way of the FOMC and BoE meetings; markets are still searching for sustainable buying pressure after the February plunge.
Attachment 30981
Gold Forecast: Gold Prices At Risk if Fed Echoes Jerome Powell Outlook At Hike
Gold prices could be at risk next week if the Federal Reserve echoes Chair Jerome Powell’s favorable outlook on the economy when they presumably hike rates again.
Attachment 30982
more...
7 Attachment(s)
Weekly Trading Forecast: White House Eyed
US Dollar Forecast: US Dollar Outlook Hinges on the Severity of Coming Market Turmoil
The US Dollar has been of two minds about its response to brutal market turmoil. The severity of further bloodletting will be decisive from here.
Attachment 31106
Japanese Yen Forecast: Japanese Yen Looks to US PCE and Continuing Trade Developments
The Japanese Yen rose amidst aggressive risk aversion last week which, fueled by white house developments. Next one could be a wildcard depending on the responses and US PCE.
Attachment 31108
British Pound Forecast: Foundations in Place for Further Sterling Gains
Sterling traders received a batch of positive news this week leaving GBP underpinned and ready to push higher.
Attachment 31111
Australian Dollar Forecast: Australian Dollar Looks Mired In Growing Trade-War Worries
The Australian Dollar is sensitive to the global growth cycle so a backdrop of trade-war worries and a lack of domestic numbers probably don’t make for a strong week.
Attachment 31107
Crude Oil Forecast: Oil Bulls Back in a Big Way as Prices Thrust Towards Three-Year Highs
Oil prices put in a strong week of performance as a plethora of factors helped to push prices higher.
Attachment 31109
Equities Forecast: The Scene is Likely to Get Uglier for Global Equity Markets
Last week saw aggressive selling in global equities, conditions look headed to get worse in the week ahead.
Attachment 31110
Gold Forecast: Gold Prices Bid as Markets Sell-off, Trump Tariffs Stoke Haven Demand
Gold prices broke through the March highs this week amid concerns of a looming global trade war. Here are the updated targets & invalidation levels that matter from here.
Attachment 31112
more...
7 Attachment(s)
Weekly Trading Forecast: Trade Wars Rise Again
US Dollar Forecast: US Dollar Gives Back Gains After NFP: Inflation Numbers on the Horizon
The US Dollar started Q2 on a bright note, but a disappointing NFP report reversed a large portion of this week’s gains, and DXY remains near the 90.00 level as we approach the release of March inflation numbers.
Attachment 31311
British Pound Forecast: Lack of Data Leaves Sterling Adrift
Sterling traders will need to cognizant of developments in other markets as the UK data calendar is thin and will provide no direction.
Attachment 31306
Australian Dollar Forecast: Australian Dollar Still Vulnerable To Global Trade Headlines
The Australian economy is not doing badly, but its currency remains mired thanks to low interest rates and –fairly or not- US/China trade worries.
Attachment 31307
Chinese Yuan Forecast: Yuan at Risk amid US-China Tariff Attacks, Multilateral Trade Disputes
The US-China trade war will continue to drive Yuan moves. In addition, it seems that more countries have joined the battles.
Attachment 31323
Crude Oil Forecast: Oil Looks to OPEC Monthly Report, US CPI and Trade Developments
Crude oil prices are in for a week loaded with event risk. We have the International Energy Forum, OPEC’s monthly oil report and ongoing developments on US/China trade relations.
Attachment 31308
Equities Forecast: S&P 500, DAX & FTSE - Global Markets at Risk of Another Swoon
Last week was a volatile week, expect more of the same in the week ahead; how the S&P 500handles major support will dictate whether we see another swoon soon set in.
Attachment 31309
Gold Forecast: Gold Prices Bid as Weak NFPs, Trade War Concerns Stoke Haven Demand
Gold nudged higher this week but the jury is still out on whether a near-term low is in. Here are the updated targets & invalidation levels that matter from here.
Attachment 31310
more...
7 Attachment(s)
Weekly Trading Forecast: Key Events like China GDP
US Dollar Forecast: US Dollar Range Continues as Inflation Prints at One-Year Highs
The US Dollar continued to hold the range that’s been present for the past two months, and another strong inflation report may keep bears at bay for a while longer.
Attachment 31395
British Pound Forecast: Heavyweight UK Data Will Steer Sterling Next Week
Sterling traders will be on their toes on Tuesday and Wednesday next week, waiting for the latest UK jobs, wages and inflation releases. Will they underpin the recent GBP rally?
Attachment 31396
Australian Dollar Forecast: Australian Dollar Rides Out Broadly Stronger China Trade Data
The Australian Dollar market was clearly focused elsewhere Friday and didn’t react much to news of a Chinese import surge, and a rise in its trade surplus with the US
Attachment 31397
Chinese Yuan Forecast: Yuan Risk Remains Elevated amid US, China Seeking Trade Allies, 1Q GDP
US-China tariffs attacks may be on hold, but each party has begun to bring in allies. Also, China will release the first quarter GDP, having the Yuan at risk from home.
Attachment 31398
Crude Oil Forecast: Crude Oil Bulls Have a Banner Week As Reasons To Be Long Multiply
Crude oil traded to the highest level since 2014 this week on escalating geopolitical tensions that could lead to supply shocks while IEA says demand remains robust.
Attachment 31399
Equities Forecast: S&P 500, DAX & FTSE - Can the Bounce Sustain?
Last week risk appetite continue to firm up, but sustainability remains questionable; economic calendar on the light side, but there are other headline risks to watch.
Attachment 31400
Gold Forecast: Gold Prices Look to Fed Commentary, Beige Book and Risk Trends
Gold prices face US retail sales, Fed commentary and the central bank’s beige book. The anti-fiat asset could be vulnerable to swings in sentiment on geopolitical and trade developments.
Attachment 31401
more...
6 Attachment(s)
Weekly Forecast: heavy-duty scheduled event
US Dollar Forecast: US Dollar Rally Poised to Continue as Market Sentiment Sours
The US Dollar may continue to push higher as haven demand amid deteriorating market sentiment takes over from Fed policy bets as the catalyst du jour.
Attachment 31903
British Pound Forecast: Oversold or Still in a Downtrend?
There is an argument to be made that Sterling has suffered enough and that most, if not all, of the bad economic backdrop has been priced in. But is next week the week to have that argument?
Attachment 31904
Australian Dollar Forecast: Australian Dollar's Fall Could Resume If US Numbers Hold Up
The Australian Dollar faces a week full of US economic data, but much shorter of domestic numbers. This could see USD back in the ascendant, if only for lack of AUD-specific impetus.
Attachment 31905
Chinese Yuan Forecast: Yuan May Benefit from Capital Inflows, Trade Talks and Chinese PMI
Capital inflows could remain high around June 1, when A shares are officially included in MSCI indices; trade talks may solve some discrepancies; PMI gauges could boost the outlook of a sustainable recovery.
Attachment 31906
Crude Oil Forecast: Crude Spills on Saudi's Proposed Increase, Short-Term Top Likely
Crude oil hit a wall as OPEC and its allies are said to increase production while total US inventories swelled by the most since February.
Attachment 31907
Equities Forecast: S&P, Dow, DAX & FTSE - A Cautionary Pause Begins to Show
While US equities remain in a state of consolidation, matters are a bit more worrisome across the Atlantic, as both the DAX and the FTSE have put in bearish reversal formations.
Attachment 31908
more...
