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Friday chaos – Nonfarm Payrolls to shake up Gold (XAUUSD) again
A decline in US Nonfarm Payrolls may boost XAUUSD quotes towards 3,160 USD. Discover more in our analysis for 4 April 2025.
XAUUSD forecast: key trading points
- US Nonfarm Payrolls: previously at 151 thousand, projected at 137 thousand
- US unemployment rate: previously at 4.1%, projected at 4.1%
- Current trend: moving upwards
- XAUUSD forecast for 4 April 2025: 3,160 and 3,075
Fundamental analysis
According to the XAUUSD forecast for 4 April 2025, US Nonfarm Payrolls may decline to 137 thousand from the previous 151 thousand. If the actual figure aligns with expectations, the market may see heightened volatility and a temporary weakening of the US dollar.
The Nonfarm Payrolls release consistently generates strong market reactions and can either support the US dollar or make it lose ground.
Today’s XAUUSD analysis also considers that the US unemployment rate for March is expected to remain unchanged at 4.1%. The lack of changes from the previous period would be a neutral factor for the USD.
RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts
Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.
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The RoboForex Team
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USDCAD: monetary policy pivot – one report could change everything for the CAD
Following the release of the Bank of Canada's Business Outlook Survey, the USDCAD pair could continue its decline towards the 1.4150 support level. Discover more in our analysis for 7 April 2025.
USDCAD technical analysis
On the H4 chart, the USDCAD pair has formed a Hammer reversal pattern near the lower Bollinger band. At this stage, it continues to correct following the pattern signal. Since the price remains within the descending channel, a correction to the nearest resistance at 1.4265 is likely. A rebound from this level may open the door for further downside momentum.
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The upcoming release of the Bank of Canada’s Business Outlook Survey and the CB Employment Trends Index could heighten volatility in the USDCAD pair.
Read more - USDCAD Forecast
Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.
Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team
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Strong data from Japan keeps USDJPY from rising further
The USDJPY pair is slightly declining, currently trading at 147.70. Find more details in our analysis for 8 April 2025.
USDJPY forecast: key trading points
- Donald Trump announces readiness to begin trade talks with Japan
- Japan posts a record current account surplus in February 2025
- USDJPY forecast for 8 April 2025: 146.25
Fundamental analysis
The USDJPY rate is retreating after Monday’s sharp rally, where the pair tested the key resistance level at 148.00. The Japanese yen temporarily weakened against the US dollar amid growing uncertainty around global trade — typically a driver of safe-haven demand.
On the political front, Donald Trump confirmed his readiness to start trade negotiations with Japan following a phone call with Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba. The upcoming talks will address a wide range of issues, including tariffs, currency policy, and state subsidies.
Robust economic data keeps the yen from further weakening. In February 2025, Japan recorded a record current account surplus of 4.0607 trillion yen, driven by strong export growth amid high external demand and a decline in imports due to lower energy prices and subdued domestic consumption.
RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts
Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.
Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team
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GBPUSD surges on US economic worries
The GBPUSD rate is correcting after rebounding from the 1.2855 resistance level. Find more details in our analysis for 9 April 2025.
GBPUSD technical analysis
The GBPUSD rate is rising despite persisting pressure from sellers. Today’s GBPUSD forecast suggests a continued upward correction, with the potential to reach 1.2945. The Stochastic Oscillator supports the bullish outlook, rebounding from the ascending support line, indicating buyers may be ready to push further.
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The GBPUSD rate is strengthening amid trade risks and expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts.
Read more - GBPUSD Forecast
Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.
Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team
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Brent remains highly volatile: new stress ahead?
Brent crude prices are falling again, sliding towards 64.90 USD after a 4% rally in the previous session. Find more details in our analysis for 10 April 2025.
Brent forecast: key trading points
- Brent gained 4% in the previous session but has now stalled
- Trump’s temporary tariff compromise supported prices, but the outlook remains uncertain, potentially curbing growth
- Brent forecast for 10 April 2025: 64.80 and 64.00
Fundamental analysis
Brent prices are hovering around 64.90 USD. On Wednesday, prices rose by over 4% as investor sentiment improved following the US decision to pause tariff hikes for most countries.
US President Donald Trump announced a 90-day period during which import tariffs would be lowered to 10% in an effort to support ongoing trade talks. The move helped reduce fears of a full-blown trade war, which could trigger a global recession and suppress oil demand.
However, markets remain cautious as China was excluded from this deal, and its tariff rate was raised to 125%.
The latest data from the US Department of Energy showed a larger-than-expected drop in gasoline and distillate inventories, helping offset a moderate rise in crude oil stockpiles.
RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts
Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.
Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team
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Today is AUDUSD’s moment – sentiment slump does not stop the rally
Australia’s PCSI decline and a potential increase in the US PPI may become a trigger for the AUDUSD rate, with quotes likely to continue their ascent to 0.6260 after a correction. Discover more in our analysis for 11 April 2025.
AUDUSD technical analysis
Having tested the upper Bollinger band, the AUDUSD price has formed a Shooting Star reversal pattern on the H4 chart. It is initiating a corrective wave following the received signal. Given strong gains in recent trading sessions, the pair will likely continue its upward trajectory to the next resistance level at 0.6260.
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Despite a dip in Australian consumer confidence to 49.30, fundamental drivers, including a potentially stronger US PPI, create a favourable backdrop for the AUDUSD pair.
Read more - AUDUSD Forecast
Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.
Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team
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USDJPY falls sharply – yen takes centre stage as safe-haven asset
The USDJPY pair plummeted to 142.41, with chances to reach new lows being high. Find more details in our analysis for 14 April 2025.
USDJPY forecast: key trading points
- The USDJPY pair is testing six-month lows and may go lower
- The market is focused on the upcoming US-Japan tariff negotiations
- The Japanese yen is performing strongly as a safe-haven asset
- USDJPY forecast for 14 April 2025: 142.06
Fundamental analysis
The USDJPY rate fell to 142.41 on Monday, approaching its lowest level in six months. Escalating global uncertainty driven by trade conflicts has increased demand for safe-haven assets.
Markets are closely watching the upcoming trade talks between Washington and Tokyo. Japan’s chief negotiator, Akazawa Ryosei, is set to meet this week with US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer.
Japan currently benefits from a reduced 10% tariff rate and aims to secure more favourable terms in ongoing discussions.
The USDJPY forecast is negative.
RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts
Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.
Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team
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Trump and Chinese data hold Brent above water — but pressure remains
Brent crude is strengthening but remains capped below key resistance at 65.60 USD. Full outlook in our analysis for 15 April 2025.
Brent technical analysis
Brent continues to consolidate below strong resistance at 65.60 USD. Today’s forecast anticipates a test of this resistance, followed by a possible pullback toward 61.40 USD.
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Brent prices remain under pressure from the 65.60 USD resistance level, despite temporary support from US trade concessions and stronger crude demand from China.
Read more - Brent Forecast
Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.
Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team
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EURUSD is poised for growth: the market awaits weak US sales
The EURUSD pair is rising aggressively, currently trading around 1.1370. Find out more in our analysis for 16 April 2025.
EURUSD forecast: key trading points
- The US dollar is declining amid market caution ahead of the Fed chair’s speech
- US March retail sales data is expected today
- Weak data may support further EURUSD upside
- EURUSD forecast for 16 April 2025: 1.1565
Fundamental analysis
The EURUSD rate is gaining momentum following yesterday’s bearish correction. Buyers are actively pushing towards the 1.1380 resistance level – a breakout here could open the way to new local highs.
The US dollar is weakening as markets turn cautious ahead of today’s speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. Traders are waiting for signals regarding the Fed’s next steps amid an economic slowdown and persistent inflation concerns.
All eyes are also on today’s US retail sales data for March. The consensus forecast suggests a 0.2% decline, which may add to pressure on the US dollar and further strengthen the ongoing bullish trend in the EURUSD pair.
RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts
Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.
Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team
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USDJPY: correction complete? The yen loses ground under Fed pressure
The USDJPY rate has risen to 142.77 after weak Japanese data and hawkish remarks from Jerome Powell. Discover more in our analysis for 17 April 2025.
USDJPY technical analysis
The USDJPY rate has climbed after rebounding from the lower boundary of a bearish channel. Today’s USDJPY forecast suggests the current recovery could stall near 142.75, followed by bearish momentum and decline towards 140.20.
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The yen is under pressure from hawkish Fed signals and weak Japanese export data.
Read more - USDJPY Forecast
Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.
Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team
