Daily Market Forecast By Capitalcore

Bearish Momentum Builds On ND100_NASDAQ

ND100_NASDAQ, commonly referred to by traders as “NQ,” is a premier benchmark for US technology stocks, reflecting market sentiment toward major tech giants. With a series of high-impact US economic events on the horizon, including speeches by US President Donald Trump about auto tariffs, quarterly GDP figures, Jobless Claims, and other key data points such as Trade in Goods and Pending Home Sales, the ND100_NASDAQ daily chart technical and fundamental analysis is poised for heightened volatility. Investors will be closely monitoring how these announcements shape risk appetite and price action, as GDP and labor-market indicators can significantly shift market sentiment, while any unexpected policy comments from the White House could further influence the overall outlook for this tech-heavy index.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the ND100_NASDAQ H4 chart, the last seven candles have been decisively bearish, all printing in red and pushing the price action down to the 0.236 Fibonacci level. This move appears to be breaking below that Fib support and heading toward the 0 Fib area, aligning with the Ichimoku cloud. Although the candles remain above the cloud for now, the current bearish momentum is driving them closer to a potential retest of this zone, signaling a possible trend shift. Both the MACD and RSI also reflect weakening momentum, reinforcing the bearish tone in the ND100 daily chart technical and fundamental analysis.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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BTCUSD Market Reaction to USD Data

Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold,” is the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, and its pairing with the US dollar (BTCUSD) remains a pivotal benchmark in both cryptocurrency and forex markets. With several major US economic events scheduled today—including Federal Reserve speeches by Thomas Barkin, Michael Barr, and Raphael Bostic, as well as key data releases such as the Core PCE Price Index, Personal Income, and Personal Spending—the US dollar may experience notable volatility that could influence BTCUSD daily chart technical and fundamental analysis. Hawkish signals regarding interest rates, or shifts in inflation and consumer spending, may drive significant price action in this cryptocurrency pair as traders weigh the potential for tighter monetary policy and broader market sentiment.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
n the BTCUSD H4 chart, the price is exhibiting slightly bullish momentum, moving above the Ichimoku cloud between the 0.786 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels and heading toward the 0.618 level, which could serve as the first resistance. A stronger resistance appears at the 0.5 Fib level, while the green Ichimoku cloud’s upper and lower boundaries are moving horizontally, suggesting caution. Meanwhile, MACD and RSI indicators point to ongoing bullish potential, though traders should monitor any break above these resistance zones to confirm further upward price action in BTCUSD daily chart technical analysis.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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UK100 Technical Analysis Before Breakout

The UK100, commonly referred to as the FTSE 100 Index or simply the "Footsie", represents the 100 largest companies listed on the London Stock Exchange by market capitalization. It serves as a key benchmark for the performance of major UK equities and is often influenced by both domestic economic indicators and global market trends. In today's fundamental outlook, attention turns to three key economic metrics released by the Bank of England: money supply, mortgage approvals, and consumer credit. All three are forward-looking indicators tied closely to consumer and business confidence. If today's figures surpass expectations, it would suggest improved economic momentum, supporting the GBP and potentially fueling further upside in the FTSE 100 through stronger corporate earnings expectations. However, any disappointment in these data points may pressure sentiment and dampen near-term price action on the UK100 daily chart.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
From a technical perspective, the UK100 H4 chart reveals a classic symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating a period of consolidation following an earlier bullish move. Currently, the price is hovering near the ascending trendline support, suggesting a potential bounce—especially if it holds. A breakout above the descending resistance line could signal a continuation of the prior uptrend. The Parabolic SAR shows the last four dots forming below the candles, a bullish signal indicating potential upward momentum. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) sits at around 45.71, showing a neutral to slightly bearish stance, yet not oversold, leaving room for a rebound. Meanwhile, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) shows a slight bearish crossover, indicating weakened momentum but not an aggressive downtrend. Traders should closely monitor the price reaction around the triangle's lower trendline and watch for a breakout confirmation in either direction on this UK100 H4 price action setup.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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USD/JPY Daily Chart Analysis

The USDJPY forex pair, often referred to as the “Gopher” in trading circles, is a major currency pair representing the US dollar (USD) versus the Japanese yen (JPY). Known for its high liquidity and sensitivity to monetary policy and geopolitical developments, this pair offers rich opportunities for both technical and fundamental traders. Fundamentally, the USD-JPY is in focus today as markets await key comments from Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Thomas Barkin, which could shed light on future US interest rate moves. His tone—whether hawkish or dovish—may significantly impact the dollar. On the Japanese side, economic data like the Jobless Rate and the Tankan survey suggest subdued employment concerns but mixed industrial sentiment. While Japan's Tankan index indicates potential stagnation in manufacturing and services, upcoming US data such as ISM Manufacturing PMI, Construction Spending, and Consumer Confidence are expected to underscore a resilient US economy. Overall, expectations of stronger US macro data and possible hawkish Fed rhetoric give the greenback a fundamental edge in today’s USD JPY outlook, favoring a bullish bias unless data disappoints sharply.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Technically, the USD/JPY 4-hour chart shows a complex battle between bullish and bearish forces. The pair is gradually breaking downtrend lines one by one, and only one major descending trendline remains to be cleared for a full bullish breakout confirmation. Although the price recently dipped below a key support zone and pulled back—suggesting a potential bearish continuation—the bounce strongly hints at a BOF (Breakout Failure), which aligns with the emergence of a possible bullish trend. This idea is supported by bullish divergence on the RSI, where price made lower lows while RSI printed higher lows, indicating waning bearish momentum. RSI is hovering near 50, signaling neutrality with potential for upward momentum. The MACD histogram is shrinking its bearish bars, and lines are close to a bullish crossover, reinforcing the upward scenario. Meanwhile, the Parabolic SAR still prints above the candles, indicating short-term bearish bias, but this can flip quickly if momentum continues. Watch for a breakout above the final trendline for confirmation of a sustained uptrend continuation in the USDJPY daily chart technical analysis.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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EURUSD H4 Chart Forecast and Outlook

The EURUSD, often referred to as the "Fiber" in the forex market, represents the most heavily traded currency pair in the world, symbolizing the euro versus the U.S. dollar. As of today, market sentiment around EURUSD is highly sensitive to economic updates from both the Eurozone and the United States. European data releases, including a worse-than-expected French Government Budget Balance (-30.2B vs. -17.3B) and moderate improvement in Spanish Unemployment, slightly weigh on the euro. However, eyes are keenly on the U.S. session, with key market movers like the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change and Factory Orders in focus. If U.S. data continues to show mixed signals, especially weaker job numbers and declining factory orders, the dollar may face selling pressure, favoring a bullish continuation for EURUSD. Additionally, bond auction yields and evening speeches from U.S. policymakers, including former President Trump and FOMC member Kugler, could inject volatility into late trading sessions

https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u...04/EURUSD.webp

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
From a technical standpoint, the EURUSD H4 chart indicates a bullish structure. After a notable correction, the pair successfully broke above a descending trendline, signaling a potential shift back to the upside. Currently, the price is consolidating above a strong static support zone around 1.07500. RSI is bouncing from near-oversold levels, now heading upward around 44.65, suggesting growing bullish momentum. While the MACD histogram shows a slight bearish divergence, the signal lines are close to a potential crossover. Should MACD turn bullish and align with RSI’s direction, a fresh ascending wave on the EURUSD H4 chart would be strongly probable. This technical setup, combined with weaker U.S. fundamentals, sets the stage for a bullish price action scenario.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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SP-500 Struggles To Break Ichimoku Cloud

The US500 (S&P 500), often called the “500,” serves as a benchmark for top-performing U.S. stocks and is pivotal for gauging market sentiment in Futures Indices (CFDs). As traders monitor price action, today’s high-impact events—including a White House briefing on tariff policies, Federal Reserve speeches on inflation expectations, OPEC deliberations on oil output, and fresh jobless claims data—add layers of volatility to the US500 (S&P 500) daily chart technical and fundamental analysis. These developments could signal shifts in global trade relationships, future interest rate trajectories, and broader economic stability, making this session especially critical for short-term and long-term positioning.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the H4 chart, the US500 (S&P 500) has maintained a bearish trend below the Ichimoku Cloud, reflecting weaker price action in recent sessions. Although the index briefly tested the Cloud, it failed to break through and has since pulled back, with the Cloud itself remaining red but gradually thinning. The Cloud’s upper boundary is relatively flat, suggesting limited upward momentum, while MACD and Williams %R both point toward cautious sentiment. Taken together, this US500 (S&P 500) daily chart technical and fundamental analysis indicates that sellers still exert near-term control, though any bullish catalyst from today’s news could challenge the prevailing downward bias.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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USDCAD H4 Price Action Analysis and Trading Strategy

The USD/CAD, often referred to by traders as the "Loonie", is a major forex pair that represents the exchange rate between the US Dollar and the Canadian Dollar. It is heavily influenced by oil prices, economic data from both the US and Canada, and monetary policy expectations.
Fundamentally, today's focus for the USDCAD forex pair is on key employment data from both countries. Canada is releasing its Employment Change and Unemployment Rate, crucial indicators of labor market health and consumer spending strength. Better-than-expected Canadian job data typically strengthens the CAD, putting pressure on USD CAD. On the US side, markets are closely watching the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) and Unemployment Rate, which are among the most impactful economic indicators for the USD. Additionally, several speeches from Federal Reserve officials, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell, could introduce volatility depending on the tone—hawkish commentary may strengthen the USD, while dovish remarks could weaken it. With both countries releasing critical labor data today, heightened volatility and strong directional moves are likely for the USD-CAD pair.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Technically, as seen in the attached USDCAD H4 chart, the price has been in a clear bearish trend, with 9 out of the last 15 candles being red, confirming downward momentum. However, recent bullish candles show signs of a potential correction or reversal after the pair reached a key support zone highlighted in red. The price touched this support near 1.3993 and is now attempting a bounce. It's still in the lower half of the Bollinger Bands, indicating bearish pressure, but the latest candle shows a push toward the middle band, which may act as a near-term resistance. On the MACD, both the main line and the histogram are still in negative territory, but the histogram bars are fading in color (light red), which suggests decreasing bearish momentum. The Connor RSI (CRSI) is also pointing higher and currently sits above 60, signaling that short-term bullish pressure is building. If today's fundamental releases support the CAD, this bounce might be short-lived; otherwise, a breakout above the middle Bollinger Band could confirm a stronger corrective move.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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ND100 Daily Chart Technical Analysis

The Nasdaq 100 Index, often known by its nickname ND100, represents the top 100 non-financial companies traded on the NASDAQ exchange and is traded against the USD in forex markets. Fundamentally, today, traders' attention is focused on significant upcoming USD news involving the Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler's speech on inflation dynamics and consumer credit figures. Hawkish comments from Governor Kugler, reflecting tighter monetary policy or indicating further rate hikes, would likely strengthen the USD, potentially exerting downward pressure on ND100. Conversely, a positive report on consumer credit could signal robust consumer spending, providing mild support for equities and potentially cushioning ND100's fall.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
From the technical perspective of the ND100 H4 chart, the price action clearly indicates bearish momentum. The price strongly broke its previous H4 support line, retested it briefly, and continued aggressively downward, effortlessly penetrating daily support. This sharp bearish movement is supported by multiple large-bodied red candles and a notable price gap between recent candles, underscoring traders' urgency to sell. Bollinger Bands are widening, suggesting heightened volatility and continuation of the bearish trend. The RSI, currently at an oversold extreme of 8.88, indicates strong bearish momentum but also hints at a potential short-term bounce due to overselling. MACD remains bearish, showing expanding negative histograms, confirming downward pressure. Stochastic indicators are deeply oversold, reinforcing the downward trend's strength but again cautioning of potential minor retracements. EMA 14 further emphasizes bearish sentiment as prices remain significantly below the moving average line.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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USD/JPY Forex Pair Price Action Targeting Fibonacci Levels

The USDJPY, widely known as the "Gopher," represents the currency pair of the United States Dollar (USD) against the Japanese Yen (JPY). As a highly liquid forex pair, it is closely monitored by traders globally due to its sensitivity to interest rate decisions, geopolitical events, and economic data releases. Today, traders will closely watch the Adjusted Current Account from Japan's Ministry of Finance and the Eco Watchers Current Index, both of which significantly impact market sentiment towards the Yen. A better-than-expected Current Account surplus or higher Eco Watchers Index could strengthen the JPY by signaling improved domestic economic conditions. Conversely, the USD faces potential volatility due to the NFIB Small Business Index and Fed President Mary Daly's discussion on the economic outlook and monetary policy, where any hawkish commentary could boost the USD.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Technical analysis of the USD-JPY H4 chart indicates that the price action recently broke through two critical support lines and is currently retesting the second broken support, now acting as resistance at approximately 147.929. Should price action continue its bearish momentum, traders could anticipate targets at Fibonacci retracement levels of 1.618 at 144.065 and potentially 2.618 at 139.738. Parabolic SAR indicates bearish sentiment as the dots remain above the candlesticks, signifying downward pressure. MACD is showing diminishing bullish momentum, potentially signaling a bearish crossover, while the RSI is approaching overbought levels, suggesting possible exhaustion in the recent upward correction and supporting the likelihood of a reversal to the downside.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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US30 Technical Analysis H4 Chart Today

The US30, also known as the Dow Jones Industrial Average or simply "Dow," represents 30 significant publicly traded US companies and is a critical indicator for overall US economic health. Today’s US fundamental outlook is shaped by several significant releases including the Core CPI and CPI, which are crucial indicators for inflation and monetary policy. A higher-than-forecasted CPI would likely strengthen the USD as markets anticipate further interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve to control inflation. Additional attention will be on the Initial Jobless Claims and multiple Federal Reserve speakers, whose hawkish remarks could add further support for the USD. Overall, today's economic events could significantly impact US30 volatility and price action, especially if inflation data deviates from expectations or Fed speakers signal clear policy adjustments.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Technical analysis of the US30 H4 chart indicates that the price has successfully broken the recent downtrend and experienced a pullback, confirming the transition into a new uptrend with two robust bullish candles. However, a corrective movement is likely necessary before continuing upwards. The immediate bullish target stands at approximately 42525, with potential correction support near 39450. Bollinger Bands are widening, suggesting increased volatility and potential upward continuation. The Parabolic SAR dots below the current candles confirm bullish momentum. The RSI at 62.95 points to upward momentum but remains below the overbought threshold, suggesting further upside potential. MACD shows increasing bullish momentum as indicated by the expanding histogram, and the Stochastic oscillator is currently in the overbought territory, signaling potential short-term correction before further advancement.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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GBPUSD daily chart analysis and key resistance zones

The GBPUSD forex pair, commonly referred to by its nickname "Cable," represents the exchange rate between the British Pound Sterling and the US Dollar. It is one of the most liquid and widely traded currency pairs in the forex market, driven by key macroeconomic indicators and central bank policies from both the United Kingdom and the United States. On April 11, 2025, the GBPUSD is positioned ahead of several impactful fundamental events. For the USD, speeches from influential FOMC members such as John Williams and Alberto Musalem are expected to influence market sentiment, especially if the tone is more hawkish, hinting at future interest rate hikes. Additionally, the release of the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations, along with the PPI and Core PPI, will offer insight into inflationary trends and consumer outlook—key considerations for future Fed decisions. On the UK side, a slate of economic data including monthly GDP, manufacturing production, trade balance, and construction output is set to be released. These will provide a broader view of the UK economy’s performance. A stronger-than-expected showing could support further gains for the pound, especially if the US data signals slowing inflation or dovish undertones from Fed officials.
https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u...4_11.2025.webp
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Technically, the GBPUSD H4 chart shows strong bullish price action within a well-defined ascending channel. The last eight candlesticks have been consecutively bullish, pushing the price above the 1.29500 level and testing the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. With the current candle opening at this level, a successful breakout could target the 0.382 Fibonacci level near 1.30160. The Bollinger Bands indicate upward momentum, with the GBPUSD price hugging the upper band—a classic signal of bullish strength. The MACD shows growing bullish momentum, as both the MACD line and histogram rise above the signal line. Additionally, the Connors RSI (CRSI) is above 88, signaling strong buying pressure but also approaching potential overbought conditions. Overall, the technical outlook remains bullish in the short term, with 1.30160 and potentially 1.30890 as the next key resistance levels if fundamentals align.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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EURUSD H4 Upward Trend Momentum

EURUSD, often called “Fiber,” is the most liquid forex pair on the planet, dominating daily chart technical and fundamental analysis discussions. Traders are keeping a close eye on upcoming FOMC speeches by Fed officials Thomas Barkin and Christopher Waller, as their comments could trigger fresh price action if they hint at tighter monetary policy. Meanwhile, the ECOFIN meeting in the Eurozone may influence the EUR’s outlook if any new economic support measures or budgetary directives are announced, potentially shifting the short-term bias for this major currency pair.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the EURUSD H4 chart, price action appears to have entered an upward trend after a relatively steady phase, reaching the 1.0 Fibonacci level and upper Bollinger Band before retreating back toward the middle band. Despite this pullback, the pair remains closer to the upper band and near the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement, suggesting bullish momentum is still in play. The MACD shows rising momentum, while the OHLC Volatility indicator signals increased price fluctuations, underscoring the market’s heightened sensitivity to both technical and fundamental developments.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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NZDUSD H4 Chart Indicators Overview

The NZDUSD currency pair, commonly known as the "Kiwi," pairs the New Zealand Dollar against the US Dollar, reflecting the economic relationship between New Zealand and the United States. Today, the NZD-USD daily chart technical and fundamental analysis highlights potential volatility driven by key economic events. Upcoming speeches by Federal Reserve officials, Patrick Harker and Raphael Bostic, will closely be watched for insights into future monetary policy direction, potentially affecting USD strength. Additionally, traders will monitor the release of the New York Manufacturing Index and the US Import Price Index, indicators crucial for gauging economic health and inflationary pressures. From New Zealand's side, data on the Food Price Index (FPI) and Global Dairy Trade (GDT) outcomes may influence the NZD, given their significance to inflation expectations and export income.

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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.

Analyzing the NZD/USD H4 chart, the recent price action shows a strong bullish momentum, breaking the resistance level at 0.58260 convincingly with robust candles, suggesting continuation in the current uptrend. If price action begins correcting downward, potential retracement levels include the previously broken resistance at 0.58260, followed by support levels at 0.57270 and then 0.56624. The Parabolic SAR indicator aligns with this bullish sentiment, displaying dots below the candles, indicating upward momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggests a bullish bias but is nearing overbought territory, signaling potential near-term exhaustion and the possibility of a corrective pullback. The Momentum oscillator supports the bullish trend but is starting to flatten, hinting at decreasing bullish momentum and cautioning traders to watch for possible reversals.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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USDCAD Price Action Bearish Trend Continues

The USD/CAD forex pair, often referred to by traders as the "Loonie," represents the exchange rate between the US Dollar and the Canadian Dollar. As a commodity-linked currency, the Canadian Dollar is heavily influenced by crude oil prices, while the US Dollar reacts to broader macroeconomic data and Fed policy. Together, this pair is highly sensitive to economic divergence and central bank developments.
Today’s economic calendar is packed with high-impact events that could shape the short-term outlook of the USDCAD daily chart. From the U.S. side, stronger-than-expected Retail Sales data (1.3% vs. 0.2% forecast) may provide a short-term bullish impulse to the greenback. However, disappointing figures in Industrial Production (-0.2% vs. 0.7%) and a slight dip in Capacity Utilization Rate could cap gains. More importantly, speeches from Fed Chair Powell and FOMC members later in the day could influence USD volatility significantly. On the Canadian front, the BOC Rate Statement and Monetary Policy Report, followed by the BOC Press Conference, will be key. With no rate change expected (2.75%), traders will focus on forward guidance. Hawkish signals may support CAD strength, adding pressure to USDCAD. In the broader context of price action and fundamental analysis, the balance of today's news favors high volatility with potential bearish continuation on the H4 chart if the BOC leans hawkish while the Fed remains cautious.
https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u...04/USDCAD.webp
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the 4-hour timeframe of the USDCAD chart, the recent market structure reflects a strong and sustained bearish trend, which emerged following a brief but noticeable bullish retracement. This upward correction, though short-lived, was met with heavy resistance, causing the price to stall and eventually resume its downward trajectory. After testing and rebounding from a key support zone around the 1.38300 mark, the pair made an attempt to regain higher levels. However, this move appears to have lost steam, and current candlestick behavior indicates a likely continuation of the broader bearish momentum. Looking at technical indicators, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently sitting near 47, which is a neutral level that typically signals market indecision. This reading suggests that the pair lacks the bullish strength required for a meaningful reversal, as the RSI is neither oversold nor overbought. It remains caught in a range, offering little confirmation of bullish divergence. Simultaneously, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator paints a similar picture: the MACD line remains below the signal line, while the histogram bars are diminishing in size, further reinforcing the presence of bearish momentum and a lack of buying pressure. In terms of key price levels, the most immediate support lies at 1.39000, which has acted as a minor pivot point in recent sessions. Should selling pressure intensify—particularly in response to today’s fundamental developments favoring the Canadian Dollar—this level may come under renewed threat. A break below it could expose the next major support at 1.38250, a level that previously acted as a strong demand zone. On the flip side, short-term resistance is seen at 1.39800, with a more significant ceiling at 1.40000. Any bullish push toward these zones would need to be backed by strong economic catalysts or a notable shift in sentiment to disrupt the current bearish trend. Until such a move materializes, the overall bias on the USDCAD daily chart remains tilted toward further downside, supported by both price action and technical indicators.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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BTCUSD Daily Chart Analysis and Trading Opportunities

BTC/USD, commonly referred to as "Bitcoin," is one of the most actively traded cryptocurrency pairs in the forex and cryptocurrency markets. Known for its volatility, Bitcoin attracts traders focusing on price action, fundamental factors, and daily technical analysis. Today's fundamental outlook is particularly influenced by significant upcoming USD news events, including the Treasury International Capital (TIC) report, which reflects foreign investment flows into US securities, and speeches from FOMC members Jeffrey Schmid and Michael Barr, which may signal monetary policy shifts. Additionally, traders should closely watch initial jobless claims and housing sector data (building permits and housing starts), as these can heavily impact the strength of the USD, indirectly influencing BTC/USD movements. Generally, a more hawkish tone from FOMC speakers or positive economic indicators will strengthen the USD, potentially pressuring BTC/USD lower, whereas weaker US data could provide bullish support to Bitcoin.

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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the provided BTC/USD H4 chart reveals mixed signals. Although the overall longer-term trend remains bearish, recent price action has been trending upward within a bullish parallel channel. Currently, BTC/USD is navigating between the 0.786 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels, closely aligned with the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, which are tightening, signaling a potential upcoming breakout or strong price movement. The MACD histogram shows decreased momentum and possible convergence, indicating weakening bullish pressure, and the Volatility OHLC indicator suggests decreasing volatility. Traders should closely monitor these indicators, as tightened Bollinger Bands alongside decreasing volatility and MACD convergence often precede substantial price movements, making the next sessions critical for BTC/USD price action.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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Daily JAP225 H4 Chart Analysis Before CPI Release

The JAP225, also known as the Nikkei 225 Index, is a leading benchmark for the Japanese equity market, often dubbed the "Nikkei." It tracks the performance of 225 top-rated companies listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, reflecting investor sentiment around the Japanese economy. As traders gear up for today's economic data, all eyes are on Japan's Consumer Price Index (CPI) excluding fresh food, a key inflation gauge. The upcoming release holds weight, as stronger-than-expected figures could strengthen the JPY, potentially creating downward pressure on the Nikkei due to increased speculation around future monetary tightening by the Bank of Japan. Investors should closely monitor this data as it may influence capital flows and short-term movements in JAP225 price action, especially if the actual CPI surpasses forecasts.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the JAP225 (Nikkei 225) H4 chart, the price appears to be making a bullish correction following a strong bearish trend, forming a rising channel. The chart shows the price action shifting from the lower half of the Bollinger Bands to the upper half, currently trading between the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level (34,264) and the middle Bollinger Band, which is aligning closely with the 0.382 level — acting as a key pivot zone. Bollinger Bands are tightening, indicating a potential breakout in momentum. The MACD histogram is turning green with a narrowing signal line, suggesting the possibility of a bullish crossover. Additionally, the Williams %R is climbing toward the midpoint, moving out of oversold territory, further supporting short-term bullish sentiment. However, caution is warranted as price is still testing resistance levels, and the reaction to CPI news could determine the next leg in this recovery trend.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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GBPUSD Forex Trading Strategy with Key Technical Indicators

The GBP/USD forex pair, commonly known as "Cable," represents the exchange rate between the British Pound Sterling and the US Dollar. It is one of the most liquid and actively traded currency pairs globally. Fundamental analysis for GBPUSD today highlights key market-moving events related to the US Dollar: Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee's CNBC interview, which may provide insights into future monetary policy and interest rate directions, influencing USD strength. Additionally, the Conference Board Leading Indicators and the IMF meetings in Washington discussing global financial stability, monetary policies, and geopolitical risks could also impact USD volatility significantly, thus indirectly affecting the GBP-USD exchange rate through changes in market sentiment.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The technical analysis of the GBP USD H4 chart shows the pair is trading within the upper half of the Bollinger Bands, close to the upper band, indicating bullish price action momentum. Price is currently hovering near the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting possible short-term resistance or continuation points. The latest fractal is an upward fractal, placed above recent candles, hinting at a potential bearish reversal signal, cautioning traders of a possible retracement. MACD indicator currently shows declining bullish momentum as histogram bars shrink, suggesting weakening buying pressure, while the Stochastic RSI is in the overbought region, which might indicate an upcoming corrective move downward.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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NZDUSD Price Action Signals Bullish Continuation

The NZD-USD, known commonly as the "Kiwi" pair, represents the forex exchange rate between the New Zealand dollar and the US dollar. Traders closely follow NZD/USD due to its sensitivity to commodity markets and the economic performance of New Zealand and the United States. Fundamentally, today's focus for NZDUSD traders revolves around New Zealand's Overseas Merchandise Trade balance, which directly influences currency demand; a positive trade balance (exports exceeding imports) typically strengthens the Kiwi. Conversely, significant volatility could emerge from the U.S. as Federal Reserve officials Philip Jefferson, Patrick Harker, and Neel Kashkari speak about economic mobility, monetary policy, and global economic outlook. Hawkish tones from Fed speakers usually favor USD strength, potentially adding bearish pressure on NZD/USD.
https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u....22.2025-.webp
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the NZD USD H4 chart, the pair has exhibited bullish price action since breaking the significant resistance level at 0.58260. After retesting this level successfully, the price continues creating higher highs and higher lows, confirming an ongoing bullish trend. The price action currently remains supported by the 9-period SMA, indicating sustained upward momentum. However, traders should remain cautious as the RSI is close to the overbought region, signaling potential short-term corrective moves or consolidation phases. The Momentum (MOM) oscillator suggests positive momentum persists but is slightly waning, hinting that traders should be alert for potential momentum shifts or pullbacks before further bullish continuation.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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AUDUSD H4 Fundamental Analysis and Price Action

The AUDUSD forex pair, also known as the Aussie, represents the exchange rate between the Australian dollar and the US dollar and ranks among the most traded currency crosses globally, favored by price action traders tracking commodity-linked flows. Known colloquially as the Aussie, AUDUSD routinely features in EURUSD daily chart technical analysis discussions due to its sensitivity to global risk sentiment. With today’s Flash Manufacturing PMI (52.1) and Flash Services PMI (51.6) for AUD at 2:00 am, FOMC member Waller speaking at 4:35 pm, US Flash Manufacturing PMI (49.0 vs. 50.2) and Flash Services PMI (52.8 vs. 54.4) at 4:45 pm, plus US Crude Oil Inventories at 5:30 pm, the fundamental backdrop suggests that resilient Australian PMI prints could support the Aussie, yet any hawkish tilt from Waller or a surprise draw in oil stocks may bolster the US dollar and reshape the EURUSD daily chart fundamental analysis.
https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u...AUDUSD-H4.webp
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the AUDUSD H4 chart technical analysis, the price line has recently surged through a bullish wave and now confronts a strong resistance level coinciding with the flat Span B of the Ichimoku cloud. While the price sits above the cloud—an overall bullish signal—the flat cloud resistance implies a barrier to further gains. Moreover, volume has declined during the ascent, indicating weakening market conviction in the rally and pointing to a high probability of a bearish wave forming. Traders should watch for price action rejection at this resistance zone to confirm a potential reversal.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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US500 Price Action Near Upper Band

The US500 CFD, more widely known as the S&P 500 Index and nicknamed “the Spoos” in futures pits, is the marquee gauge of U.S. equity performance and is quoted in forex platforms against the U.S. dollar. Heading into today’s session, sentiment hinges on a heavy U.S. macro docket: Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack’s balance-sheet remarks, weekly Initial Jobless Claims, and the twin Durable Goods Orders prints will test the economy’s resilience, while Existing Home Sales, IMF meetings in Washington and the EIA’s natural-gas inventory update round out the risks. A hawkish tone from Hammack or upbeat orders data could strengthen the USD, lift Treasury yields and curb stock-market enthusiasm, whereas softer prints or dovish rhetoric may revive risk appetite—so traders should brace for volatility in US500 price action as technical and fundamental forces collide on the daily chart.
https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u...04.24.205.webp
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the H4 timeframe, the US500 remains in a short-term bullish trend: price punched through the mid-Bollinger Band, tagged the upper band near 5450, then pulled back with two modest red candles before today’s green bar reclaimed higher ground around 5420. The bands have started to widen, signalling expanding volatility, and the most recent fractal highs sit just above price, flagging nearby resistance. Beneath the candles, the MACD histogram has crossed back above zero and the signal lines are tilting positive, while RSI hovers at 60—bullish but shy of overbought territory. Collectively, this technical setup supports a cautiously constructive bias toward the 5500 area, provided the index holds above the 20-period moving average (mid-band) near 5310; a failure there would expose deeper retracement toward 5150.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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GOLDUSD H4 Bollinger Band Price Action Outlook

GOLDUSD —quoted on trading platforms as XAU / USD and nicknamed the “yellow metal”—tracks the value of one troy ounce of gold against the U.S. dollar, making it a premier barometer for global risk sentiment and dollar liquidity. Today’s fundamental landscape is dominated by three USD-centric events: Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari’s Q&A, the final April University of Michigan consumer-sentiment and 1-year inflation-expectation releases, and wide-ranging IMF meetings in Washington. A hawkish tilt from Kashkari or stronger-than-forecast sentiment/inflation prints would likely firm Treasury yields and the greenback, pressuring XAU/USD; conversely, any dovish hints or soft data could revive safe-haven demand for gold ahead of weekend IMF headlines. Traders eyeing XAUUSD daily chart technical and fundamental analysis should therefore brace for headline-driven volatility in today’s price action.

https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u...4.25.2025.webp

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the GOLD/USD H4 chart, price rebounded from the lower Bollinger Band near $3,280 after a swift pullback from the upper band record around $3,480. The latest candles show a mild bullish correction toward the 20-period middle band (~$3,350), which aligns with the rising 20-SMA and may act as immediate resistance. Momentum signals are stabilizing: the MACD histogram is contracting toward zero with its signal lines curling upward, hinting at a potential bullish crossover, while the RSI has recovered to 52, indicating improving—but still neutral—bullish momentum. A sustained close above the middle band and the recent swing high at $3,365 would expose the $3,420–$3,480 resistance zone; failure to clear that area could invite renewed selling back to $3,300 and the lower Bollinger Band. Watch how the upcoming USD news flow shapes this GOLD USD price action narrative on the four-hour timeframe.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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UK100 H4 faces key resistance test

The UK100, also commonly known as the FTSE 100 Index or "Footsie", is a benchmark index that represents the 100 largest companies listed on the London Stock Exchange. It is heavily influenced by both the GBP (British Pound) and global risk sentiment, making it a key player in UK100 daily chart technical and fundamental analysis as well as in broader price action studies. Today, fundamental factors center around the Confederation of British Industry’s (CBI) Distributive Trades Survey, a leading indicator of consumer spending. Should the CBI report a stronger-than-forecast sales level, it would bolster GBP strength and potentially weigh on the UK100, as a stronger currency often pressures export-heavy companies listed in the index. Conversely, a weaker result could weaken the pound and support the UK100 via improved exporter competitiveness. Traders should pay close attention to the actual release compared to forecasts, as surprises here can trigger volatility and sharp price action moves in UK100 daily chart technical analysis.
https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u...4.28.2025.webp
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Turning to the UK100 H4 chart analysis, after breaking the uptrend line, the price reacted to the middle line of the Bollinger Bands and is currently heading toward the upper band and retesting the broken trend line, with a significant horizontal resistance at the 8482.38 level ahead. The Stochastic Oscillator shows a slight bearish crossover around the 70 zone, suggesting a potential loss of bullish momentum in the short term. Meanwhile, the RSI is sitting at around 63, indicating that the asset is not yet overbought but is approaching elevated levels. In the context of UK100 daily chart technical and fundamental analysis, if the price fails to break above the resistance and the broken trend line, a correction might be expected. Otherwise, a successful break could signal a continuation of the bullish price action.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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EUR/CHF H4 Chart Price Action Signals Bullish Reversal

The EUR-CHF, often referred to as the "Swissie," is a significant forex pair reflecting the economic relationship between the Eurozone and Switzerland. Traders frequently monitor this pair due to its reputation as a safe-haven currency pair, particularly during periods of market uncertainty. Fundamental analysis for today indicates potential volatility for EURCHF as multiple key economic data points from the Eurozone are due, including Consumer Sentiment, Consumer Price Index (CPI), Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Money Supply, and private sector loans. Positive results from these indicators, especially higher-than-forecast CPI and GDP, could bolster the Euro, indicating economic strength and leading to potential bullish momentum for EURCHF. Conversely, traders should closely monitor statements from Swiss National Bank (SNB) Vice-Chairman Antoine Martin, as a more hawkish stance may support CHF strength, creating downward pressure on the EURCHF.
https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u...4.29.2025.webp
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The EURCHF H4 technical analysis shows that the price has broken above a previous downtrend line and initiated a robust upward trend, now approaching its uptrend support line. The multiple divergences observed between the price action and the stochastic oscillator confirm the bullish strength of this new trend. If the EURCHF price retests the ascending support line, it is likely to find support and rebound rather than breaking below, given the bullish signals from divergence. Additionally, the Stochastic indicator is oversold and poised for a bullish reversal, reinforcing the expectation of price support at current levels. The Williams %R indicator also indicates an oversold market condition, suggesting potential bullish price action in the near term, aligning with the overall upward trend sentiment. The Bollinger Bands suggest a volatility contraction, which could precede a strong price breakout. Currently, the price is near the lower band, indicating potential support at this level. Additionally, the Parabolic SAR has shifted below the price, signaling bullish momentum and supporting the potential continuation of the upward trend.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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EURUSD Tests Key Resistance

The EURUSD forex pair, representing the exchange rate between the euro and US dollar, remains closely watched as traders assess recent economic developments and central bank signals. Currently trading near key resistance at 1.1420, EURUSD has gained roughly 10% since March due to rising fiscal spending in Germany and heightened global trade tensions, posing headwinds for Eurozone exporters. Conversely, the US dollar recently saw its worst monthly decline in two years, pressured by fears of stagflation and ongoing tariff concerns. Upcoming US economic data, alongside ECB monetary policy adjustments, will be critical in shaping near-term direction for EURUSD.
https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u.../EURUSD-2.webp
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the EURUSD H4 chart technical analysis, the price has entered an extended period of consolidation, fluctuating within a significant support zone between approximately 1.13100 and 1.13000, clearly indicated by the Ichimoku cloud's lower boundary. Despite currently trading above the cloud—traditionally interpreted as bullish—the flatness of both the Span A and Span B lines within the cloud suggests weakening bullish momentum and reflects market indecision. The recent price action has struggled to establish clear directional momentum, repeatedly encountering resistance at intermediate levels. Additionally, trading volume has notably decreased throughout this sideways movement, underscoring diminishing market conviction and hinting at potential exhaustion among bullish traders. Given these indicators, there is an increasing probability that bearish pressure may strengthen, particularly if the price fails to sustain its current support. Traders should remain cautious and closely observe volume shifts alongside clear rejection or breakout patterns near the established support at around 1.13000 and the critical resistance zones at approximately 1.15000 and 1.15800 to determine the forthcoming directional bias.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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BTCUSD Riding Bullish Momentum on H4

BTCUSD, often referred to as “Digital Gold,” is a key bridge between the cryptocurrency market and traditional currencies, attracting both retail and institutional interest. In light of today’s USD labor-market releases—including Non-Farm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate, and Labor Inflation figures—BTCUSD daily chart technical and fundamental analysis suggests heightened volatility ahead as job creation, unemployment data, and factory orders can significantly influence USD strength, thus impacting BTC USD price action by either reinforcing the current bullish momentum or triggering profit-taking if the actual figures deviate from forecasts.
https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u...5.02.2025.webp
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the H4 chart, BTCUSD appears to be riding a strong bullish trend, currently trading in the upper half of the Bollinger Bands near the upper band. Even though the bands were initially tight, they have slightly expanded, yet remain relatively narrow compared to previous periods. The upper Bollinger Band aligns with a key resistance level just above the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement, and price action has repeatedly tested and reacted to this zone without a decisive break so far. Nonetheless, buyers are still attempting to push BTC-USD higher, targeting new resistance levels if a breakout occurs. The MACD, RSI, and MACD histogram all lean toward continued bullish pressure, suggesting that if the price can overcome the upper Bollinger Band and this fib-based resistance, BTC/USD daily chart technical and fundamental analysis favors potential upside continuation in the near term.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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US500 Price Action Faces Key Resistance

The US500, commonly referred to as the S&P 500, is a key equity market index representing the performance of the top 500 publicly traded companies in the U.S. economy, making it a crucial indicator for investors worldwide. Fundamentally, today's market movements will be significantly influenced by critical U.S. economic data, particularly the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) reports from S&P Global and the Institute for Supply Management (ISM), along with the Federal Reserve’s quarterly lending report. An above-forecast PMI, indicative of robust growth in the service sectors, could positively affect investor sentiment, leading to increased buying pressure and potentially supporting further bullish price action. Conversely, signs of contraction in these reports could trigger bearish movements, increasing market volatility and downward pressure on the US500.
https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u...025-main-.webp
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the US500 H4 technical chart reveals that after an extended upward trend, the price has recently hit resistance at the upper boundary of the Bollinger Bands. Price action is currently indicating a retracement towards the first significant support level represented by the ascending trend line. If this trend line fails to hold, price action could further decline towards the previously established support zone, marking a deeper correction. The Bollinger Bands indicate that the market is currently overextended to the upside, implying potential downward momentum. The RSI indicator is currently at 62, suggesting that while bullish sentiment still prevails, it is losing strength and hinting towards potential bearish divergence. The Stochastic Oscillator also signals overbought conditions, reinforcing the expectation of an imminent pullback or consolidation period.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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XAG/USD Forex Pair Analysis for Today's Trading Session

SILVER, often referred to by traders as "XAG/USD," pairs Silver against the US Dollar, combining a precious metal with a key fiat currency. Silver is notably sensitive to economic shifts, industrial demand, and currency movements, making it a crucial commodity for forex and commodity traders alike. Today's fundamental outlook centers around crucial upcoming US economic releases, including the US Trade Balance, RCM/TIPP Consumer Confidence, and Treasury Auction yields. A higher-than-expected trade balance number, indicating stronger exports, would strengthen the USD, thereby negatively impacting silver prices. Similarly, robust consumer confidence and stable or rising bond yields can also boost the USD, putting downward pressure on Silver prices.
https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u....06.2025-.webp
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the XAG/USD H4 chart provided, the price action reveals a clear pullback to a previously broken ascending trend line, indicating the beginning of a potential downtrend. Currently, the price sits at a critical support level of approximately 32.1, with pin bars signifying price instability in this area. The multiple recent Parabolic SAR dots positioned below the current price level suggest a short-term bullish correction or consolidation might be underway, potentially slowing down the downtrend momentum. The Stochastic oscillator shows signs of bullish divergence, hinting at weakening bearish momentum, while the %R indicator indicates an oversold scenario that may support a short-term reversal or a consolidation phase. Traders should closely watch these indicators and price action around the key support at 32.1 for further confirmations.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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UK100 Price Action and Technical Analysis Today

The UK100, commonly referred to as the FTSE 100, is a prominent financial instrument tracking the top 100 companies listed on the London Stock Exchange, reflecting economic health in the UK market. Known colloquially as "Footsie," the UK100 often reacts strongly to economic indicators and monetary policy decisions. Today's fundamental analysis highlights significant upcoming news including the RICS House Price Balance, HBOS HPI, and reports from the Bank of England. Positive outcomes from these reports, such as higher than forecast house price indexes and hawkish tones in monetary policy summaries and MPC minutes, could strengthen the GBP, reflecting positively on the UK100 by boosting investor confidence and attracting capital flows into UK equities. Investors should closely monitor these economic indicators for cues on future price movements and market sentiment.
https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u....08.2025-.webp
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the UK100 H4 chart provided, the price is clearly exhibiting an upward trend, currently being supported by the middle Bollinger Band, suggesting potential continuation of the bullish momentum. The price action might soon retest and surpass the established upward trendline again. Additionally, the Stoch-RSI oscillator is showing a divergence, signaling potential weakening of the current bullish momentum and cautioning about possible corrective movements ahead. Bollinger Bands appear to be narrowing slightly, indicating a possible period of lower volatility or consolidation soon. The Parabolic SAR remains below the current candlesticks, supporting the ongoing bullish sentiment. Furthermore, %R is moderately placed, indicating there's still some buying potential left, though cautious optimism is advised given the divergence seen in Stoch-RSI. Traders should watch closely for the price action around the current support levels for confirmation of continued bullishness or signs of reversal.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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Price Action Signals for GBPUSD H4 Chart Today

The GBPUSD currency pair, commonly known as "Cable," is one of the most actively traded forex pairs globally, combining the British Pound Sterling (GBP) with the U.S. Dollar (USD). Today's upcoming fundamental news reveals critical monetary policy discussions from both sides. The Federal Reserve speakers, including Thomas Barkin and Adriana Kugler, are likely to hint at the future direction of U.S. monetary policy, potentially influencing USD strength. Additionally, inflation expectations and treasury budget reports will offer further insight into the U.S. economy's health. On the GBP side, Bank of England members Clare Lombardelli, Megan Greene, Catherine Mann, and Alan Taylor are scheduled to speak, with any hawkish signals potentially boosting the Pound's value significantly against the dollar.
https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u....12.2025-.webp
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the GBP/USD H4 chart, the price action currently exhibits bearish pressure. The red Ichimoku cloud positioned above the price candles indicates strong downward momentum, suggesting a bearish market sentiment. The latest candles approached the cloud’s lower boundary but faced resistance, notably failing to surpass the crucial 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, confirming its strength as a robust resistance zone. Price has shown a corrective attempt upwards but now demonstrates renewed bearish intent, retreating from the 0.618 Fibonacci level and turning towards 0.786. The MACD histogram also signals bearishness, and the RSI remains below 50, indicating that sellers currently dominate market momentum. Traders should watch closely for today's economic news, which could create volatility and decisively influence the GBP USD trend direction in the short term.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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USD/JPY Technical Outlook and Price Action

The USD-JPY forex pair, commonly known as the "Gopher," represents the exchange rate between the US Dollar and the Japanese Yen, reflecting economic strength comparisons and central bank policies between the United States and Japan. Fundamental analysis for today highlights the upcoming key economic indicators for both USD and JPY, including the US NFIB Small Business Index and Consumer Price Index (CPI). Positive outcomes in these indices, particularly the Core CPI, can strengthen the USD by signaling potential Federal Reserve interest rate hikes to combat inflation. Conversely, Japan's monetary base and government bond auction results (JGB) will provide insight into the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy outlook, significantly impacting JPY strength or weakness against USD.
https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u...5.13.2025.webp
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The technical analysis of the USD/JPY H4 chart illustrates price action within an ascending channel, currently testing its upper boundary, indicating potential initiation of a corrective phase before the continuation of the prevailing bullish trend. The recently breached resistance at approximately 147.789 may now function as a support level, with the next possible correction target being the channel’s lower boundary around 145.000 to 146.000. The Parabolic SAR supports a bullish trend but hints at cautiousness given the proximity to the channel’s upper limit. Stochastic is displaying overbought conditions, suggesting an imminent price correction. The RSI indicator similarly confirms this scenario by being near the overbought zone, enhancing the likelihood of a short-term bearish retracement within the broader bullish trend.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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EUR/USD Sensitive to Fundamentals and Technical Resistance

EUR/USD, the currency pair representing the Euro against the US Dollar, remains sensitive today to key economic indicators and central bank commentary from both sides of the Atlantic. From the US, market attention is focused on speeches by FOMC members Jefferson and Waller, whose remarks could provide crucial insights into the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy trajectory. Additionally, US Crude Oil Inventories came in line with expectations at -2.0 million barrels, maintaining pressure on oil prices and indirectly influencing inflation expectations and USD strength. On the European front, German Final CPI month-over-month met expectations at 0.4%, indicating stable inflationary pressures in Europe's largest economy. Meanwhile, remarks from Bundesbank President Nagel and outcomes from the German 30-year bond auction, yielding 2.90% versus the prior 1.7%, hint at evolving investor sentiment and economic outlook in the Eurozone. Overall, these developments, combined with cautious tones from both central banks, are likely to keep EUR/USD traders vigilant for further directional signals.
https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u...D-H4-main.webp
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the EUR/USD H4 chart, the price is currently encountering significant resistance around the 1.1250–1.1300 area, a zone that previously acted as strong support and has now become a critical resistance level after the recent bearish breakout. A descending trendline further emphasizes bearish sentiment, suggesting potential downward pressure ahead. The RSI is gradually rising but remains below the neutral level of 50, indicating limited bullish strength at this moment. Simultaneously, the MACD histogram is shrinking with a potential bullish crossover on the horizon, signaling weakening bearish momentum. Traders should closely monitor the price reaction at the resistance area around 1.1300; a confirmed breakout above this level and the descending trendline could lead to renewed bullish momentum. However, a rejection here may reinforce bearish sentiment, pushing the pair towards recent lows.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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S&P 500 Price Action and Technical Indicators Analysis

The US500, also known as the S&P 500, is a widely-followed index reflecting the performance of 500 major U.S. companies and serves as a benchmark for the overall health of the U.S. stock market. Today's fundamental analysis highlights significant upcoming events, including speeches from key Federal Reserve officials, particularly Chair Jerome Powell and San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, whose comments often provide critical insights into future monetary policy direction. Important economic releases today, such as Retail Sales, Producer Price Index (PPI), and unemployment claims data, are closely monitored as they offer crucial signals regarding consumer spending trends, inflationary pressures, and overall economic health, potentially affecting volatility in the US500.
https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u...5.15.2025.webp
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Technically, examining the 4-hour chart for the US500, we see a bullish price action sustained above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating strong upward momentum. The lower band of the Ichimoku green cloud is moving horizontally, aligning with the current resistance at the 0 Fibonacci retracement level. Recent candlestick formations have alternated between bullish and bearish, suggesting indecision at this resistance level as the price has yet to decisively break through the Fibonacci resistance. Additionally, technical indicators including MACD and its histogram exhibit decreasing bullish momentum, hinting at potential exhaustion. The RSI, hovering near overbought levels, and %R also suggest caution for traders, as the market might face a potential retracement or consolidation if bullish momentum weakens further.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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Dow Jones Price Action Analysis and Trading Insights

US30, commonly known as Dow Jones or DJIA, is a significant index representing the top 30 industrial companies listed in the United States, acting as a crucial indicator of overall market health. Traders often refer to this index as "Wall Street 30". Today's fundamental analysis for US30 highlights critical economic events including Residential Building Permits, Housing Starts, Import Price Index, and Consumer Sentiment data from the University of Michigan, along with an important speech by Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin. Stronger-than-expected building permits and housing starts can indicate robust economic growth and higher investor confidence, potentially driving bullish momentum in the US30. Simultaneously, improvements in import price data and higher consumer sentiment readings could reinforce expectations of sustained economic growth, further supporting an upward trend. Market participants will also closely monitor President Barkin's comments for clues about future monetary policy direction, which could introduce volatility into the market depending on the tone adopted.
https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u...5.16.2025.webp
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the US30 Dow Jones H4 chart, the price is clearly in a bullish trend, moving between the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level towards the critical 0 level, indicating a strong buying momentum. Price action is currently positioned above the Ichimoku green cloud, though the cloud has slightly narrowed, suggesting a minor reduction in bullish strength; however, the lower cloud boundary has flattened horizontally, offering solid support. The MACD indicator and its histogram are exhibiting bullish signals, with the MACD line remaining above the signal line and positive histogram bars gaining strength. Concurrently, the RSI indicator at 64.64 suggests room for continued upward movement before reaching an overbought zone. The Williams %R indicator positioned near -1.52 also confirms bullish sentiment, reflecting strong buying pressure.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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UK100 Price Action Targets Crucial Fibonacci Resistance Level

The UK100, often called the FTSE 100 or simply "Footsie," represents the 100 most capitalized companies listed on the London Stock Exchange and serves as a key indicator of the UK's economic health, directly influencing the British Pound (GBP). Fundamental analysis today highlights significant events: public sector borrowing data from the Office for National Statistics and several high-profile speeches by BOE officials, including Deputy Governor Sarah Breeden and Chief Economist Huw Pill. Hawkish statements indicating possible monetary tightening and positive PMI data from manufacturing and services sectors would strengthen GBP, potentially boosting UK100. Conversely, a larger-than-expected budget deficit could create bearish pressure, raising caution among traders.
https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u...5_22_2025.webp
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the provided UK100 H4 chart, price action indicates a steady bullish momentum, moving towards a crucial resistance near the previous high around 8865, which coincides with the critical 0.786 Fibonacci expansion level. A successful breakout could propel prices towards the next significant Fibonacci expansion at level 1, marking a stronger bullish run. Bollinger Bands currently display widening volatility, suggesting potential price acceleration. However, stochastic indicators are approaching the overbought area, hinting at a potential short-term pullback before resuming upward momentum, thus emphasizing caution and vigilance among traders.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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GBP vs NZD Trading Opportunities Forecast

The British Pound versus the New Zealand Dollar (GBPNZD), also known among traders as the "Kiwi Cross," combines the strength of the British economy with the commodity-driven dynamics of New Zealand. Today's fundamental analysis for GBP/NZD is shaped by important economic indicators. For GBP, market participants await consumer confidence and retail sales data, essential for assessing economic health. A better-than-forecast reading would strengthen GBP due to increased consumer spending, boosting optimism and economic growth potential. For NZD, retail sales figures remain influential, with stronger-than-anticipated results supporting NZD as it indicates robust domestic economic activity.
https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u...5_23_2025.webp
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the GBP NZD H4 chart, the currency pair is exhibiting a bullish price action trend, clearly moving within an ascending channel and consistently trading above the Ichimoku cloud, signaling strong bullish momentum. The Ichimoku cloud itself is green, trending upward, further supporting a bullish scenario. The recent candles are predominantly green, indicating buying dominance. Additionally, the MACD indicator and its histogram are in positive territory, reflecting increasing upward momentum, while the Williams %R oscillator indicates strong bullish sentiment but approaching overbought levels, which traders should monitor closely for potential pullbacks.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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EUR/USD H4 Price Action Bullish Momentum Continues

EURUSD, known among forex traders as "Fiber," is one of the most actively traded currency pairs globally, representing the Euro against the U.S. Dollar. Today's fundamental landscape is significantly shaped by speeches from ECB President Christine Lagarde and Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel. With both expected to maintain a hawkish stance regarding monetary policy amid ongoing global trade tensions and geopolitical fragmentation, the euro could experience bullish momentum. Conversely, U.S. banks are closed today for Memorial Day, which typically results in reduced liquidity and potential irregular volatility in the EUR/USD pair.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the EUR USD H4 technical chart, the price is demonstrating a clear bullish trend, currently trading above the green Ichimoku Cloud, indicating bullish momentum. The upper band of the Ichimoku Cloud has flattened horizontally, suggesting possible consolidation or resistance around the current price levels. Additionally, the RSI indicator at 65.95 indicates strong bullish sentiment but is approaching overbought territory, suggesting potential near-term caution. The MACD indicator is also positive, confirming the bullish momentum. Traders should watch closely for signs of either consolidation at resistance levels or further bullish breakout opportunities.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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FTSE100 Price Action Amid Economic News

The UK100_FTSE100, often called the "Footsie," represents the top 100 companies listed on the London Stock Exchange and serves as a significant indicator of the UK's economic health and market sentiment. Today's fundamental analysis highlights the impact of upcoming economic data from the US, including GDP figures, unemployment claims, and energy inventory reports from API and EIA, as these can directly influence global investor sentiment and subsequently affect the FTSE100. In the UK, key speeches from BOE Governor Andrew Bailey and Deputy Governor Sarah Breeden will be critical, with their potentially hawkish tones expected to influence GBP strength and investor sentiment towards UK equities.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Examining the provided UK100 H4 chart, the index has maintained a bullish price action since April, clearly passing through the Ichimoku cloud mid-April and remaining steadily above the green cloud. Although the Ichimoku cloud has recently become thinner, with its upper and lower bands flattening horizontally, the overall trend continues to indicate bullishness. The Moving Average Channel (MAC) suggests resistance at its upper blue line, as recent candles have touched this upper boundary, possibly signaling a short-term consolidation or pullback. Indicators such as the RSI and MACD support this bullish momentum but also indicate moderation in strength, suggesting cautious optimism in price movement.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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Today's S&P 500 Index Market Insights

The US500, commonly known as the S&P 500, represents a broad market index tracking the performance of 500 major US companies, making it a critical benchmark for the American economy. Often referred to simply as "the SPX," its performance can be heavily influenced by US economic data and monetary policy developments. Today's fundamental outlook includes several key economic events: speeches by Federal Reserve officials Mary Daly, Lorie Logan, and Raphael Bostic, and data releases such as Core PCE Price Index, Consumer Spending, Personal Income, Goods Trade Balance, Wholesale Inventories, Chicago PMI, and University of Michigan consumer sentiment and inflation expectations. Given the importance of these releases, traders will closely monitor these events, especially inflation-related indicators and Fed speeches, to gauge potential shifts in monetary policy expectations and their subsequent impact on the US500.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the 4-hour (H4) chart of the US500 reveals an overall upward trend in price action, although recently the price has encountered resistance after touching the upper Bollinger Band and the 0 Fibonacci retracement level. Currently, the price is descending towards and slightly crossing below the middle Bollinger Band, indicating a potential short-term bearish correction. Additionally, volume candles demonstrate moderate selling activity, suggesting cautious sentiment among traders. The RSI indicator hovers around neutral at 49, reflecting balanced momentum without a clear directional bias. MACD and its histogram lines show diminishing bullish momentum, with MACD lines approaching a bearish crossover, reinforcing the possibility of a short-term bearish scenario before any continuation of the broader upward trend.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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GBPUSD Price Action and Fundamental Outlook Today

The GBPUSD currency pair—widely known as “Cable”—is one of the most liquid and actively traded pairs in the forex market, reflecting the economic dynamics between the UK and the US. Today’s fundamental landscape is dominated by high-impact US events, including speeches from key Federal Reserve figures such as Chair Jerome Powell, Christopher Waller, and others, which are likely to provide critical forward guidance on interest rate policy; any hawkish tone could strengthen the US Dollar. Additionally, traders are closely watching US ISM Manufacturing PMI, Prices Paid, and Construction Spending data—leading indicators of economic health that could impact USD demand if actual figures exceed forecasts. On the UK side, attention turns to the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI and the Nationwide House Price Index, which offer insight into economic activity and housing market trends. If UK data holds firm and the Fed commentary remains measured, GBPUSD could gain bullish momentum; however, stronger US data or more hawkish Fed signals may trigger renewed USD strength, pressuring the pair lower. Overall, today's fundamental events are pivotal for shaping short-term direction in GBPUSD.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the technical front, the GBPUSD pair remains in a long-term bullish trend, supported by a clearly defined ascending trendline visible on the 4-hour chart. However, since May 27th, the pair has experienced a short-term pullback, with price gradually moving lower and recently entering the Ichimoku cloud, which has thinned and shows a flat lower band—suggesting potential consolidation or weakness in bullish momentum. The current price is testing both the Ichimoku support zone and the ascending trendline, making this a key decision area; a bounce could confirm ongoing bullish structure, while a break below may signal deeper correction. Volume has been moderate, showing uncertainty among market participants. The RSI is at 45.52, reflecting mild bearish sentiment without hitting oversold levels. The MACD is slightly bearish, with histogram and lines just below zero, indicating waning momentum. Traders should closely monitor today’s price action in correlation with the fundamental outcomes for confirmation of the next major move.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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Nikkei Price Action Signals Potential Trendline Bounce

The Nikkei 225, often referred to simply as "the Nikkei," is Japan's primary stock market index, widely traded and analyzed for insights into Japan's economic health. Today's fundamental focus for Nikkei traders revolves around the Bank of Japan's monetary base announcement, the Japanese Government Bond (JGB) auction, and crucial insights from BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda's speech. Given that an increased monetary base typically strengthens the Yen, a higher-than-expected announcement could weigh negatively on the Nikkei by elevating currency pressures and potentially tightening monetary policy. Additionally, bond yields and bid-to-cover ratios will offer significant indications of investor sentiment towards Japan's economic outlook, influencing Nikkei price action directly.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Technically, analyzing the Nikkei H4 chart reveals recent bearish price action after failing to breach the resistance level around 38,000. The price has since retreated to test the ascending trendline support near 37,600, a pivotal point for determining short-term market sentiment. The Bollinger Bands indicate potential consolidation, tightening around current price levels, signaling reduced volatility and potential imminent breakouts. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers around the neutral 50-level, indicating balanced momentum and caution among traders. Should price sustain above the trendline, bulls may retest the resistance; conversely, a confirmed breakdown below could accelerate bearish momentum, targeting lower support zones.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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