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EUR/CAD Chart Patterns and Analysis
The EUR/CAD pair represents the exchange rate between the Euro and the Canadian Dollar, and its performance is influenced by various economic indicators and central bank policies from both the Eurozone and Canada. Currently, traders are focusing on recent economic data releases and upcoming speeches that could impact market sentiment. Recent economic indicators show a mixed outlook for the Canadian economy. The IPPI (Industrial Product Price Index) reported a monthly change of -0.4%, which is better than the anticipated -0.8%. However, the RMPI (Raw Materials Price Index) experienced a more significant drop of -1.7%, against the expected -3.1%. These figures suggest that while there might be some stability in product prices, raw material costs are under pressure, potentially signaling concerns about inflationary pressures in Canada. On the Eurozone side, attention is drawn to the speech by ECB President Christine Lagarde, scheduled for 8:15 PM. Her statements could provide insights into the ECB's stance on interest rates and monetary policy, which is crucial for the Euro's strength against the CAD.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
In the EUR/CAD H4 chart, the pair is currently navigating within a defined range, with strong support levels at 1.49270, 1.49000, and 1.48750, while resistance levels are positioned at 1.50000, 1.50380, and 1.50525. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 44.36, indicating a neutral to slightly bearish momentum, while the Stochastic Oscillator shows values of 46.10 and 38, suggesting potential oversold conditions.
Recently, the pair has faced resistance near the 1.50000 level, where price action has shown a series of bearish candles. If the price fails to break above the resistance, it may consolidate or retest lower support levels. A bullish move, however, requires a decisive break above 1.50000, potentially leading to a challenge of the upper resistance levels.
The overall mixed economic data, coupled with Lagarde's upcoming speech, may lead to increased volatility in the EUR/CAD pair, as traders react to the guidance and potential shifts in monetary policy direction. A hawkish tone from Lagarde could strengthen the Euro against the CAD, while dovish comments could weaken it, leading to a test of the identified support levels.
DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
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GBPCAD Forecast: Impact of BOE Discussions Today
GBPCAD, a forex pair that tracks the British Pound (GBP) against the Canadian Dollar (CAD), has its daily news analysis influenced by both the UK’s economic developments and Canada’s energy-driven economy. Often referred to as a "cross pair," GBPCAD is particularly sensitive to events from both the Bank of England (BOE) and the Bank of Canada (BOC). Today’s focus includes BOE Deputy Governor Sarah Breeden's and Governor Andrew Bailey's participation in discussions at the IMF and World Bank meetings. Any hints on future monetary policy or rate decisions may provide volatility for the GBP, impacting the GBP/CAD forecast. In parallel, traders should keep an eye on Canada's monetary outlook, as any signals from the BOC can influence the CAD's value, affecting this pair’s fundamental outlook.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The GBP/CAD H4 chart indicates that the pair’s price action has shown some volatility recently. The Bollinger Bands reveal that the last five candles have transitioned from the lower band towards the middle band, suggesting a short-term bullish correction. Out of these candles, three were bullish, but the recent two candles have turned bearish after touching the middle band. This indicates a rejection from the middle band and the persistence of bearish pressure. The widening of the bands suggests increased GBPCAD volatility, while the RSI remains neutral, hovering around the 50-level, indicating indecision and potential further price action testing the middle Bollinger Band.
• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
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EUR/USD H4 Chart Price Action Insights
The EUR/USD forex pair, often referred to as the "Fiber," is a major currency pair in the forex market, representing the exchange rate between the Euro and the US Dollar. Today, all eyes are on the upcoming Flash PMI reports for both the manufacturing and services sectors from the Eurozone and the US. A reading above 50 indicates expansion and is positive for the respective currency. If the Eurozone’s PMI surpasses forecasts, it could offer support for the euro; however, any contraction or weaker-than-expected figures might push the EURUSD price lower. Additionally, the upcoming IMF and BRICS meetings, as well as the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland’s statements, could introduce volatility. Market participants are likely to monitor these closely, as their outcomes may influence both EUR and USD price action.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The EUR/USD H4 chart displays a bearish trend, with the price moving consistently within the lower half of the Bollinger Bands, frequently touching the lower band, indicating sustained selling pressure. Over the past ten candles, three have shown bullish movement, with the last two being positive. However, the price remains at the 1 Fibonacci retracement level, oscillating between the 1 and 0.786 levels, suggesting a struggle to break out of the downward trend. The Williams %R indicator currently hovers in the oversold region, reflecting a bearish momentum that aligns with the overall trend. The next significant support level lies near the 0.786 Fibonacci level. A break below this could lead to further declines, while a break above the descending trend line may signal a reversal.
DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
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Analyzing USD/CAD H4 Chart Ahead of U.S. Data
The USD/CAD currency pair, often called the "Loonie," is one of the major forex pairs traded globally, representing the value of the US dollar against the Canadian dollar. The USD/CAD fundamental analysis today is influenced by economic data from both countries, such as U.S. durable goods orders and Canadian retail sales figures, which are critical indicators of economic performance and consumer activity. Today’s Loonie news analysis has its focus on the U.S. durable goods data and the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment, which may signal shifts in economic confidence and manufacturing trends. Strong U.S. data could boost the USD, pushing the pair higher, while disappointing figures may weaken the dollar, potentially leading to a decline in the USD/CAD exchange rate. On the Canadian side, traders will also monitor upcoming retail sales data and housing price indices. Strong retail sales figures could strengthen the CAD, as it would suggest robust consumer spending, the backbone of the Canadian economy. Conversely, if the data underperforms, it may weigh on the CAD, allowing USDCAD’s bullish trend to continue.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the USD/CAD H4 chart, the pair’s technical forecast today with confirmation from the Ichimoku Cloud and MACD indicators, reveals a nuanced picture. The Ichimoku Cloud shows that the price is currently above the cloud, indicating a bullish trend, but with recent candles hovering close to the cloud's upper boundary, suggesting a potential test of this support level. If the pair’s price keeps trading above the cloud, it could signify continued bullish momentum, while a break below might signal a bearish shift. The MACD indicator shows the histogram hovering near the zero line, with the MACD line and the signal line close to each other, indicating a lack of strong momentum and possible consolidation. If the MACD line crosses above the signal line and gains upward momentum, it could confirm a bullish continuation; otherwise, a downward cross may suggest increasing bearish pressure ahead.
• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
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GBP/USD H4 Chart Technical and Fundamental Insights
The GBP/USD forex pair, known as "Cable," represents the exchange rate between the British Pound and the US Dollar, one of the most traded pairs in the forex market. Today, attention is on the Confederation of British Industry’s (CBI) latest survey on retail and wholesale sales volume. This index is a key indicator of consumer spending, as positive data (above 0) signals higher sales volume, which is generally favorable for the GBP. If the survey reveals a figure above the forecast, it could lend short-term strength to the GBP against the USD. With the Federal Reserve expected to remain cautious on rate hikes, any unexpected strength in UK consumer spending could provide GBP/USD support.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the GBP/USD H4 chart, the price has maintained a bearish trend, with alternating candlestick directions over the last ten periods, six of which were bearish. The Cable’s price is positioned below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating prevailing bearish sentiment, with the last three candlesticks also bearish. Currently, the price fluctuates between the 0.618 and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement levels, showing resistance around these points. Additionally, the Williams %R (14) indicator is in bearish territory, further confirming selling pressure. Unless the GBPUSD price can break through the Ichimoku cloud resistance, it may continue within this descending channel, testing lower Fibonacci levels for potential support.
• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
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BTCUSD H4 Chart Bullish Trend Analysis
BTCUSD pair, often referred to as "Digital Gold," represents the exchange rate of Bitcoin in US Dollars, merging the volatility of cryptocurrency with forex trading. Today's key economic indicators from the US include updates on the Trade Balance, Wholesale Inventory, House Price Index, and Consumer Confidence—each of which could influence the dollar’s strength. With a stronger dollar potentially putting downward pressure on BTC/USD, any weakness in these indicators might support further upside movement. A particularly close eye will be on the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence report and JOLTS job openings, as these provide insight into economic resilience and consumer spending—both critical for the dollar’s trajectory.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the BTCUSD H4 chart, we observe a sharp bullish trend within the last 20 candles, with a strong rally beginning at this week's market opening. Out of these candles, 14 have been bullish, reflecting a persistent upward momentum that has pushed BTC USD above the Ichimoku cloud—a signal of a robust trend. The BTC-USD pair has also breached key Fibonacci levels, including the 0.5 and 0.382, currently sitting between the 0.236 level and resistance around 72,011. The Williams %R indicator, while near the overbought region, suggests sustained bullish sentiment but warrants caution for potential corrections. BTCUSD’s ability to sustain above the cloud and hold gains at higher Fibonacci levels will likely determine the strength of this bullish move.
• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
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AUDCHF H4 analysis: Bearish Momentum
AUDCHF, sometimes referred to as the “Aussie-Swiss,” represents the exchange rate between the Australian Dollar and the Swiss Franc, a pair often influenced by risk sentiment due to the AUD’s commodity-linked nature and the CHF’s safe-haven status. The AUDCHF pair on the H4 chart shows a clear bearish trend as it continues to trade below key resistance levels, with price action forming lower highs and lower lows. The pair is currently consolidating near a support level at 0.56666, with further supports at 0.56400 and 0.56075 if the downtrend persists. The price remains beneath the Ichimoku cloud, a strong signal that bearish momentum is intact, while the RSI hovers near 34, suggesting the pair is approaching oversold conditions. Despite nearing oversold territory, there’s no concrete sign of a reversal yet, so a break below the immediate support could lead to further declines.
https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u...DCHF-3010.webp
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Fundamental pressures add to the bearish outlook, with weaker-than-expected Australian inflation data weighing on the AUD and supporting the Swiss Franc as a safe-haven. Global uncertainties continue to drive demand for the CHF, while the Australian Dollar faces potential further weakness if the Reserve Bank of Australia signals a dovish stance in response to slowing inflation. Any rebound attempts may face resistance at 0.57050, 0.57150, and 0.57375, but the prevailing downtrend remains strong unless we see a shift in economic sentiment or a technical reversal signal.
•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
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USDJPY Bulls Eye Higher Resistance Levels
USDJPY, often regarded as a key indicator of market sentiment between the U.S. Dollar and the Japanese Yen, reflects the contrast between the USD’s strength backed by a robust U.S. economy and the JPY’s status as a safe-haven currency with historically low interest rates. The USDJPY pair on the H4 chart shows a clear bullish trend as it continues to trade above key support levels, with price action forming higher highs and higher lows. The pair is currently testing a resistance level at 152.800, with further resistance at 153.000 if the uptrend persists. The price remains above the Ichimoku cloud, a strong indication that bullish momentum is intact, while the RSI hovers near 58, indicating room for further upside before reaching overbought conditions. Despite the upward momentum, a break above the immediate resistance would solidify the bullish outlook.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Fundamental pressures add to the bullish outlook, with stronger-than-expected U.S. inflation data supporting the USD, particularly the Core PCE Price Index at 0.3% versus 0.1% expected, which bolsters the likelihood of a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan’s decision to maintain its ultra-low policy rate contrasts sharply with the Fed’s approach, putting further pressure on the JPY. Any retracement attempts may find support at 151.450 and 148.900, but the prevailing uptrend remains strong unless there is a shift in economic sentiment or a technical reversal signal.
•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
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EURUSD Price Action Approaches Key Fibonacci Level
The EUR/USD forex pair, often nicknamed "Fiber," is one of the most traded currency pairs in the forex market, reflecting the economic relationship between the Eurozone and the United States. Today, the Euro may react to economic data releases like the S&P Global's PMI for the Eurozone, a key gauge of manufacturing health. As PMI readings above 50.0 suggest expansion and below indicate contraction, stronger-than-expected numbers could lend support to the Euro by hinting at economic resilience. Conversely, weak PMI data might add downward pressure on the Euro, signaling a slowdown. Meanwhile, U.S. data, including the Federal Reserve's lending standards and Census Bureau’s manufacturing orders, will also provide insights into the USD's strength, possibly driving EUR/USD volatility.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the EUR/USD H4 chart, we observe the price moving within a bullish channel, showing signs of shifting from a previous bearish trend. The Fiber’s price is currently trading near the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at approximately 1.0880, indicating a potential reversal point. Bollinger Bands show the price in the upper half, suggesting moderate bullish momentum, while the recent gap at market open highlights renewed buying interest. Despite the last two bearish candles at the close of last week, the current price movement within the channel suggests further bullish potential if it breaks the 0.786 level. The RSI is positioned near the 58 level, indicating a bullish sentiment but not yet in overbought territory, leaving room for continued upward movement.
•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
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AUDUSD Price Action: Key Support and Resistance Levels
The AUDUSD currency pair, commonly known as the "Aussie," represents the exchange rate between the Australian dollar and the U.S. dollar. As of November 5, 2024, the pair is influenced by several key factors. The U.S. presidential election has introduced uncertainty, with polls indicating a tight race between candidates, potentially impacting market volatility and the U.S. dollar's strength. Additionally, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to maintain its cash rate at 4.35%, reflecting steady economic growth and persistent core inflation. These events are likely to affect the AUD/USD exchange rate in the near term.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the AUD/USD 4-hour chart, the pair has been in a bearish trend but is showing signs of reversal. Out of the last 25 candles, 12 have been positive, including the most recent two, indicating bullish momentum. The price is currently moving between the 0 and 0.236 Fibonacci retracement levels, approaching the 0.236 line, suggesting potential upward movement. The current candle is positioned in the upper half of the Bollinger Bands, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is trending upwards, reinforcing the bullish outlook.
•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
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GBPUSD Technical Overview with Key Indicators
The GBPUSD currency pair, known as the "Cable," is one of the most actively traded pairs in the forex market, linking the British pound (GBP) with the US dollar (USD). Today, traders will closely monitor several key US data releases, including jobless claims, labor productivity, and unit labor costs, as well as inventory and mortgage data. Lower-than-expected unemployment claims and improved productivity figures may strengthen the dollar, making it harder for the pound to regain footing. Additionally, the Bank of England's ongoing policy outlook and recent statements hint at possible rate stabilization, which may impact GBP demand. These releases, coupled with signals from Federal Reserve officials, could set a volatile trading environment for GBPUSD pair.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the GBP USD H4 chart, the pair has exhibited a gradual downtrend over the past month, with bearish candles outweighing bullish ones, leading to a decline in price. Currently, GBP USD has moved from the upper Bollinger Band to the lower band, with recent strong bearish momentum marked by two solid red candles. After touching the lower band, the GBPUSD price has shown a slight rebound, supported by two bullish candles, indicating potential upward movement within the range of the lower and middle Bollinger Bands. The price currently lies between the 0.786 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels, suggesting a possible support zone that could lead to a temporary recovery before a further move is confirmed by upcoming data releases.
•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
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EURUSD Liquidity Risks on Low Activity Day
The EURUSD pair, often referred to as the “Fiber,” is one of the most actively traded currency pairs in the forex market. This pair represents the value of the euro, the official currency of the Eurozone, relative to the US dollar, the primary global reserve currency. Today, trading may see lower liquidity and unpredictable volatility due to bank holidays in both France and the United States, marking Armistice and Veterans Day. While low liquidity days can sometimes reduce price movement, they also amplify the role of speculators, which could lead to sharp, irregular price shifts. Additionally, the upcoming Bundesbank bond auction data may provide insight into investor confidence within the Eurozone, potentially impacting EUR USD sentiment. Traders should remain cautious and monitor any unexpected volatility, especially given the variable effects of these news events.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Looking at the EURUSD H4 chart provided, the price has been trending downward, consistently staying in the lower half of the Bollinger Bands. However, recent candles show a potential bullish reversal, with the last three candles moving upwards, suggesting buyers might be stepping in. The Bollinger Bands have expanded significantly, indicating high volatility. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is near oversold territory, which could hint at further upward correction if the momentum continues. From a Fibonacci retracement perspective, the price is currently between the 0.786 and 0.618 levels, suggesting a potential support area that may hold if buyers continue to show interest.
•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
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EUR/GBP H4 Technical Outlook and Fundamental Forecast
The EUR/GBP currency pair, often nicknamed "Chunnel," showcases the dynamic economic relationship between the Eurozone and the United Kingdom, both key players in the European market. For today’s EURGBP news analysis, traders are eyeing critical economic data releases, starting with Germany's Wholesale Price Index (WPI) and France's Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the Euro. The WPI, as a leading indicator of consumer inflation, could provide early insights into pricing pressures in Germany, while France's CPI is expected to gauge consumer spending power and inflationary trends, impacting the Euro's appeal to investors. Simultaneously, the UK is releasing multiple economic indicators, including Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the Visible Trade Balance, and the Gross Value Added (GVA) figures. Strong GDP or trade balance results would underscore the UK's economic resilience, potentially supporting the Pound, while weak data might shift market sentiment toward the Euro. With both economies facing inflationary concerns, EUR/GBP’s fundamental signals are crucial in determining whether the Euro or Pound may gain an edge in the pair’s trading environment today, especially amid heightened inflation worries and economic performance considerations across Europe.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
In the EUR/GBP H4 chart, the candlestick pattern reveals recent “Chunnel” price volatility with significant resistance levels around 0.8340 and support near 0.8280. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator displays a bearish crossover, indicating a potential EUR/GBP bearish trend, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers around 47, suggesting neutral market sentiment with a slight bearish tendency. Traders should observe the pair’s reaction to today’s economic data, which could confirm or invalidate the current trend based on EUR and GBP strength in light of upcoming inflation and growth metrics.
• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
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NZDUSD Fibonacci Levels Show Potential Rebound
The NZD/USD currency pair, commonly referred to as the "Kiwi," represents the exchange rate between the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) and the United States Dollar (USD) and is influenced by economic indicators, monetary policies, and global trade dynamics, making it a popular choice for forex traders. Today, fundamental factors could drive significant price movements, with Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee’s remarks potentially signaling future monetary policy; hawkish tones may strengthen the USD, while dovish comments could weaken it. Additionally, the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) Housing Market Index will provide insights into the US housing market outlook, impacting USD sentiment. On the NZD side, BusinessNZ’s Performance of Services Index will offer clues about service-sector expansion, and the release of Producer Price Index (PPI) data could indicate inflationary pressures in New Zealand. The G20 meeting also presents a global macroeconomic backdrop that may influence the Kiwi through risk sentiment shifts.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the H4 chart for NZD USD, the pair remains in a bearish trend within a descending channel, with candlesticks primarily moving in the lower half of the Bollinger Bands and frequently touching the lower band, confirming sustained downward pressure. Despite this, there is evidence of a short-term recovery as candles attempt to push from the lower band toward the middle band, a key resistance zone. The Fibonacci retracement levels indicate the price has bounced from the 0.236 level and is currently approaching the 0.382 level (around 0.58810), suggesting some consolidation or a potential minor correction within the broader downtrend. The Williams %R indicator, hovering near oversold levels, points to the possibility of a brief pullback, but bearish momentum remains intact unless the pair breaks above the middle Bollinger Band and sustains above the 0.382 Fibonacci level.
•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
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Gold Prices at a Crucial Juncture
The Gold (XAU/USD) market, often referred to as a safe-haven asset, represents a crucial indicator for global economic sentiment and is closely watched by traders during periods of uncertainty. Today, this pair is observed at a pivotal stage, encountering a strong resistance level at $2,600 while trading within a bearish channel. This situation marks an important point for potential price movements following a steady corrective phase amid broader bearish trends. The proximity to this resistance suggests the possibility of a decisive breakout or a continuation of the prevailing downtrend. Upon closer examination of the price action on the Gold chart, we can see that the price has been consolidating within the bearish channel, characterized by lower highs and lower lows. However, a strong buy signal has emerged in recent sessions. The MACD indicator underscores this perspective, with a bullish crossover and green histogram bars signaling increased buying momentum. Moreover, the RSI has climbed close to 60, highlighting strengthening bullish sentiment, though it is still below overbought levels, leaving room for additional upward movement.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The key resistance level at $2,600 is currently being tested, with the next significant resistance located at $2,660. This setup creates a critical inflection point for Gold traders. A convincing break above the $2,600 level could pave the way for a continuation of the recovery, targeting the upper resistance at $2,660. However, failure to breach this resistance could result in a reversal and a potential retest of support levels around $2,550 or lower within the bearish channel. This combination of technical signals—particularly the bullish MACD crossover, increasing RSI, and proximity to resistance—strongly points toward a possible bullish breakout. Traders should monitor the $2,600 resistance level closely; a decisive break above this could affirm the potential for higher price levels, while a rejection may indicate a continuation of the bearish trend in the Gold market.
•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
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GBP/USD H4 Chart Analysis: Bearish Channel Dominates
The GBP/USD currency pair, often nicknamed "Cable," reflects the exchange rate between the British Pound and the US Dollar. As one of the most traded pairs in the forex market, it is influenced heavily by macroeconomic data, central bank policies, and global economic conditions.
The GBP/USD fundamental analysis today suggests heightened volatility as several key economic indicators and events come into focus. For the GBP, the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI), including its core and retail components, is due, and its actual numbers exceeding forecasts could boost the pound due to inflationary pressures supporting a potential rate hike by the Bank of England. Additionally, BOE Deputy Governor David Ramsden's speech on monetary policy could provide clues about future interest rate trajectories. Meanwhile, on the USD side, Federal Reserve Governors Lisa Cook and Michelle Bowman will speak on monetary and economic policies, likely influencing the dollar's strength, especially if hawkish tones dominate. This mix of inflation data and high-level speeches could set the tone for Cable's forecast today, particularly as the pair struggles against bearish pressures.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The GBP/USD H4 chart shows that the pair is firmly entrenched in a bearish parallel channel, with prices trading below the Ichimoku Cloud, signaling a sustained GBPUSD bearish trend. Additionally, a recent crossover on the Stochastic RSI indicates bullish divergence in oversold territory, hinting at a potential short-term corrective bounce. However, the prevailing bearish structure within the channel remains intact, suggesting sellers are still dominant. The market's inability to break above the cloud or the upper boundary of the channel could reinforce the pair’s bearish sentiment and lead to a continuation of the downtrend. Traders should monitor key support at 1.2650 and resistance near the upper channel trendline for potential trade setups.
• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
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USDJPY H4 Chart Insights and Price Action
The USD JPY currency pair, often referred to by its nickname, the "Ninja," represents the dynamic relationship between the US Dollar (USD) and the Japanese Yen (JPY). Known for its liquidity and sensitivity to monetary policies, it is a popular choice among forex traders seeking volatility and trends.
Today, the USDJPY is poised to respond to several critical events, including speeches from Federal Reserve officials like Susan Collins, Beth Hammack, and Austan Goolsbee. These speeches are expected to provide subtle cues on future US monetary policy, which could strengthen the USD if hawkish sentiments dominate. Additionally, US unemployment claims and the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index will offer insights into labor market health and economic activity. On the JPY side, BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda's speech could hint at any shifts in Japan’s ultra-loose monetary policy, further influencing the pair. Traders should watch for volatility, especially if Collins' or Hammack's comments diverge from expectations, potentially pushing USD JPY toward key support or resistance levels.
https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u...ber-2024-.webp
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The USD/JPY H4 chart displays a bullish trend, with the price currently trading above the Ichimoku cloud, a clear indication of upward momentum. Out of the last 10 candles, 6 are bullish, reinforcing the current positive sentiment. The price sits between the 0 and 0.236 Fibonacci retracement levels, suggesting potential room for further upside within this trend channel. The Williams %R indicator is hovering near the overbought zone, signaling a possible pullback or consolidation phase before another upward move. Traders should monitor the lower boundary of the channel for potential support and the upper boundary for breakout opportunities.
•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
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EURGBP Analysis: Bearish Momentum in the H4 Chart Review
The EURGBP currency pair, often nicknamed "Chunnel" due to the financial and economic link between Europe and the UK, represents the exchange rate between the Euro (EUR) and the British Pound (GBP). The pair’s news outlook is heavily influenced by economic data releases and political developments in the Eurozone and the UK. The interplay between the ECB and BoE policies, combined with fluctuating economic sentiment, makes Chunnel an essential pair for both intraday and long-term traders.
Today’s EUR/GBP fundamental analysis highlights key data releases that could drive the pair’s price. For GBP, the GfK Consumer Confidence Index, Retail Sales, and Flash PMI are due. Stronger-than-expected consumer confidence or retail sales figures would bolster the pound, signaling robust consumer spending—a critical GDP driver. Similarly, PMI data over 50 would indicate business optimism, potentially strengthening GBP. On the EUR side, manufacturing and services PMI data are critical, as numbers above 50 would indicate economic expansion. Additionally, ECB President Christine Lagarde’s speech could provide forward guidance on monetary policy, influencing EUR movements. With both currencies facing impactful data, traders should brace for volatility.
https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u...1.22.2024.webp
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The H4 chart of EURGBP indicates the pair’s bearish trend, with the price trading within a descending channel. The MACD histogram shows negative momentum, with the signal line staying below the MACD line, reinforcing EURGBP’s bearish outlook. Meanwhile, the RSI hovers near 46, suggesting neutral to mild bearish momentum but not yet oversold conditions. The descending channel provides resistance around 0.8350 and support near 0.8280, outlining a confined trading range. The pair’s price movements within this channel reflect sustained selling pressure, though a breakout could signal a potential trend reversal.
• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
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NZD/USD Trends Ahead of New Zealand News Impact
The NZD/USD currency pair, often nicknamed the “Kiwi,” represents the New Zealand Dollar versus the United States Dollar and is a highly liquid forex pair. It’s influenced by the economic fundamentals of both New Zealand and the US. Today, key news from Statistics New Zealand includes Retail Sales and Core Retail Sales data, both primary indicators of consumer spending. These reports, released quarterly, play a crucial role in gauging consumer confidence and economic strength. Additionally, the Overseas Merchandise Trade figures, highlighting the balance of trade, will provide insight into New Zealand's export health. Strong data releases above forecasts can bolster the NZD, potentially reducing bearish pressures on the Kiwi.
https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u...-Analysis.webp
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The H4 chart indicates a recent bearish trend; however, the last five candles show signs of recovery, with four bullish candles, including the latest one as the market reopened for the week. The current price is attempting to break into the Ichimoku red cloud, which has narrowed—a potential sign of weakening resistance. The NZD USD price is currently between the 0.236 and 0.382 Fibonacci retracement levels, showing a modest recovery. The Williams %R indicator is at -38.51, leaning towards an overbought zone but still providing room for upward momentum. The bullish sentiment in recent candles suggests buyers might be testing resistance levels in the cloud, potentially eyeing further upside if upcoming news supports NZD strength.
• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
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EUR/USD H4 Analysis: Bearish Trend Prevails Below Ichimoku Cloud
The EUR/USD forex pair, often referred to as "Fiber," is the most traded currency pair in the world, representing the economic interplay between the Eurozone and the United States. The EURUSD prices serve as a barometer for global economic stability, influenced by key macroeconomic factors and central bank policies. As the week unfolds, traders are focusing on high-impact U.S. economic data such as the GDP second release, durable goods orders, and weekly unemployment claims, which hold the potential to drive the dollar's momentum.
Today's Fiber Fundamental analysis, including the U.S. GDP second release, is anticipated to confirm robust economic growth, signaling continued strength in the U.S. economy. Durable goods orders, particularly excluding transportation, could provide further clues about manufacturing health and production outlooks. If these indicators outperform forecasts, it would reinforce the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, boosting the dollar and exerting bearish pressure on EUR/USD. On the European side, GfK consumer confidence data will gauge sentiment in the Eurozone. With the Eurozone's economic backdrop remaining relatively muted, traders are likely to remain cautious ahead of these events.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The H4 EUR/USD chart exhibits a clear bearish trend, as indicated by the price trading below the Ichimoku cloud. This EURUSD bearish bias aligns with the downward-sloping price channel, suggesting continued selling pressure in the near term. The RSI indicator is currently at 48.62, residing in the neutral zone, indicating a lack of strong momentum in either direction. However, it also highlights the possibility of a consolidation phase before the next significant move.
The Ichimoku cloud's resistance near the 1.0500 level acts as a significant barrier for bullish attempts, while the price's failure to reclaim this level underscores bearish control. With the RSI failing to break above 50, buyers appear hesitant. A potential breakdown below 1.0440 could open the door for further downside toward the lower boundary of the descending channel around 1.0360. Conversely, a breakout above the cloud and channel resistance could trigger a short-term reversal.
• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
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EURAUD H4 Technical Setup with Fundamental Drivers
The EURAUD forex pair, often referred to as the "Euro Aussie," represents the exchange rate of the Euro (EUR) to the Australian Dollar (AUD). This pair combines the stability of the Eurozone economy with the commodity-driven volatility of the Australian Dollar, making it a dynamic instrument for traders.
Today, the European consumer inflation data, including the German and Eurozone CPI releases, will dominate market sentiment. Higher-than-expected inflation numbers can strengthen the Euro as traders anticipate a more hawkish stance from the ECB. Conversely, dovish implications could arise from subdued CPI figures. On the Australian side, the RBA Governor Michele Bullock’s speech could influence sentiment, particularly if she signals a divergence in policy tone. The upcoming private capital expenditure report is another key release, with strong figures likely boosting AUD strength. With inflation and monetary policies as central themes, EURAUD could experience heightened volatility during today’s trading sessions.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The EURAUD pair on the H4 chart has shown bearish momentum recently, with seven out of the last twenty candles being bearish. A bullish reversal is in progress as the price breaks above the Ichimoku Cloud—a bullish signal. The Ichimoku Cloud has turned green but remains thin, reflecting weak bullish momentum. The price is currently trading between the 0.382 and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement levels. While it briefly touched the 0.5 level, it failed to break through. A successful breach of this level could see the price rally toward the 0.618 Fibonacci level, with potential to extend toward the 1.0 level. However, the Williams %R indicator signals overbought conditions, cautioning against aggressive bullish positions. Traders should monitor for a confirmed breakout or a rejection at these resistance levels.
• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
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EURCAD Analysis: MACD Crossover Supports Bullish Momentum
The EUR/CAD currency pair, sometimes referred to as "Euro-Loonie," represents the exchange rate between the Euro, the official currency of the Eurozone, and the Canadian Dollar, the official currency of Canada. The EURCAD prices are often seen as a barometer for economic trends between the Eurozone and Canada, two major global economies. As traders look to assess the relative strength of these currencies, EURCAD provides insight into the broader health of the global economy, driven by both regions' economic data and geopolitical factors.
The Eurozone's economic landscape today sees a mixed bag of data, with several reports expected to have an impact on EUR value. Notably, Eurozone retail sales and CPI data, as well as inflation reports from countries like Germany and France, could offer signals about future ECB monetary policy. As consumer spending and inflation in the Eurozone remain key drivers of future ECB rate decisions, any positive surprises in retail sales or inflation figures could push the EUR higher. In contrast, Canada is awaiting GDP data which, if stronger than expected, could provide support for the Canadian Dollar. The performance of CAD may be further influenced by oil price fluctuations, as Canada is a major oil exporter. The potential for stronger economic growth in Canada relative to the Eurozone could weigh on EUR/CAD’s forecast today.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Looking at the EURCAD H4 chart, we get a look at the Euro-Loonie’s technical outlook where the Parabolic SAR is currently signaling the pair’s bullish trend, with its dots positioned below the price action. This suggests that the momentum remains positive, indicating that EUR may continue to outperform CAD in the short term. Meanwhile, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is showing a bullish crossover, with the MACD line moving above the signal line, reinforcing the idea of EURCAD’s upward price action. This combination of indicators suggests that EURCAD may continue to rise, particularly if the price maintains its position above key support levels. Traders should watch for any reversal signals or sudden shifts in momentum, particularly if upcoming Eurozone or Canadian data surprises the market.
• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
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AUDUSD Price Action and Fibonacci Retracement Overview
The AUDUSD, often referred to as the "Aussie," is a widely traded currency pair representing the Australian Dollar against the US Dollar. The pair is heavily influenced by global commodity prices, especially metals and energy, as Australia is a major exporter. Today's market focus revolves around key US and Australian data, including the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) from the US and the Melbourne Institute Consumer Price Index (CPI) for Australia. The USD is expected to react strongly to PMI figures, which provide insights into manufacturing activity, while Australia's CPI will give clues about inflation trends.
Fundamentally, the AUDUSD may experience heightened volatility due to diverging macroeconomic indicators. Positive PMI data from the US could strengthen the USD, signaling expansion in the manufacturing sector and boosting expectations for a resilient economy. Conversely, Australia's CPI data will likely influence the AUD if it signals higher-than-expected inflation, which could prompt hawkish sentiments from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). Traders should also monitor commodity prices and construction activity reports, which significantly impact the Aussie’s movement.
https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u...2.02.2024.webp
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the H4 chart, AUDUSD appears to be in a mild bullish trend, although recent bearish candles indicate some downside pressure. The price is currently interacting with the Ichimoku cloud, suggesting a potential reversal zone or consolidation phase. Notably, the price is oscillating between the 0.382 and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement levels, highlighting key support and resistance areas at approximately 0.6480 and 0.6525, respectively. The last two candles are bearish, which may signal a short-term pullback. The RSI is hovering near 50, indicating a neutral momentum, with no strong overbought or oversold conditions.
If the price breaks above the Ichimoku cloud and the 0.5 Fibonacci level, it could continue its bullish trajectory toward the 0.786 Fibonacci level around 0.6620. However, if the bearish momentum persists, a drop below the 0.382 level could open the door for further declines toward the 0.236 Fibonacci level around 0.6430.
• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
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Gold/EUR Price Action and Key Technical Indicators
The Gold/EUR pair represents the Euro's value in terms of gold, a critical safe-haven asset. This pair is influenced by Eurozone economic data, global risk sentiment, and gold's intrinsic role as a hedge against inflation and market uncertainty. Today’s focus is on significant Eurozone reports, including the French Government Budget Balance, which widened to -173.8B, and Spanish Unemployment Change, which rose to 29.3K, surpassing the previous figure of 26.8K. These reports highlight fiscal challenges and rising unemployment in Europe, potentially weighing on the Euro.
Gold, on the other hand, remains a primary focus for investors amid global economic uncertainty, offering protection against currency devaluation. The combination of weaker European data and gold's appeal as a risk-off asset will likely contribute to volatility in the Gold EUR pair, especially as it approaches critical support and resistance levels.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Gold/EUR price action reflects a consolidation phase, with key resistance at 2512.500–2530.00 acting as a ceiling for upward movement. This resistance zone has been tested multiple times, but the inability to breach it suggests strong selling pressure. Meanwhile, the green support zone at 2485.00–2500.00 has consistently absorbed downward moves, highlighting robust demand for gold at lower levels. The 100-period Moving Average (MA) reinforces the support zone, maintaining the medium-term bullish structure. However, the negative volume divergence raises concerns about the strength of the current trend. Without an increase in volume, a sustained breakout above resistance or a breakdown below support appears unlikely. Traders should monitor these zones closely for any decisive price action. If the price breaks above the resistance zone, a bullish continuation could target higher levels, driven by renewed buying interest. Conversely, a breach of the support zone could lead to a deeper retracement, particularly if the 100-period MA fails to hold. Today’s weak Eurozone data, including the widening French budget deficit and rising Spanish unemployment, may increase bearish pressure on the Euro, bolstering gold's safe-haven appeal.
• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
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EUR/CAD Analysis: Industrial Output, Jobs Data, and Trade Balance
The EUR/CAD forex pair represents the exchange rate between the Euro and the Canadian Dollar, with the Euro being the official currency of the Eurozone and the Canadian Dollar (CAD) the official currency of Canada. Commonly referred to as the "Euro-Loonie," the EUR/CAD daily news outlook is highly influenced by economic indicators from both regions, including employment data, inflation figures, and trade balances. As of today, key EURCAD fundamental signals impacting the market include the Eurozone's industrial output and foreign trade data, while Canadian economic reports on job creation, the unemployment rate, and the PMI for manufacturing will provide additional insight into the outlook for the CAD.
Looking at today's economic calendar, the Eurozone's industrial output and foreign trade data are expected to be crucial. Stronger-than-expected industrial output could signal an uptick in economic activity, potentially supporting the Euro. Meanwhile, the Canadian employment data, including job creation and the unemployment rate, will be pivotal for determining the strength of the Canadian Dollar. If Canada reports solid job growth or a decline in unemployment, the CAD may strengthen as it signals a robust domestic economy. Additionally, the Manufacturing PMI from Canada will offer more insight into business sentiment, and any positive results would likely further support CAD strength and together with the USD singals, cause a shift in the pair’s forecast today.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The EUR/CAD H4 technical analysis today shows this pair’s price action influenced by key technical indicators, particularly the Stochastic Oscillator and the Ichimoku Cloud. The Stochastic Oscillator appears to be showing signs of overbought conditions, suggesting a potential reversal or consolidation in the near term. The Ichimoku Cloud is indicating a current EURCAD bullish trend, as the price is above the Cloud, with support at the Senkou Span B level. However, caution is advised as the Stochastic's overbought signal could lead to a pullback. A break below the Ichimoku Cloud could invalidate the Euro-Loonie bullish outlook, turning its bias neutral or even bearish. Traders will need to monitor the price action relative to these indicators for potential entry or exit points.
• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
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EURUSD Market Sentiment and Price Action Analysis
EURUSD, often referred to as "Fiber," is the most traded currency pair in the forex market, representing the euro against the U.S. dollar. As the two largest economies in the world, the pair is highly liquid and sensitive to macroeconomic events, making it a central focus for traders analyzing global markets.
Today, EURUSD pair is influenced by key fundamental drivers. On the EUR side, the Sentix Investor Confidence data will shed light on investor sentiment, with optimism indicating stronger economic outlooks for the Eurozone. Additionally, the Eurogroup meeting could influence euro strength through discussions on economic policies and government finances. On the USD side, Final Wholesale Inventories data will provide insights into business spending trends, with lower-than-forecasted inventories generally boosting the dollar. The interplay of these events may create volatility in EUR-USD, with attention on whether the eurozone’s economic optimism can outweigh potential dollar strength.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The EUR/USD H4 chart reveals a slight bullish trend, with the price trading above the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating a potential continuation of upward momentum. However, the price is currently hovering near the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, though it has dipped slightly below it, suggesting strong resistance at this level. The Williams %R indicator shows the pair is near the overbought region, signaling caution for further upside potential without a correction. A breakout above the 0.618 Fibonacci level could trigger additional bullish momentum, while failure to hold above this zone may lead to consolidation or a retracement toward the Ichimoku Cloud’s lower boundary.
• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
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BTCUSD Technical Analysis and Key Price Levels
BTCUSD, often referred to as "Digital Gold," represents the trading pair of Bitcoin (BTC) and the US Dollar (USD). Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is known for its decentralized nature and finite supply, while the US Dollar remains the world's dominant reserve currency. The BTCUSD pair is a favorite among traders due to its high volatility and significant role in bridging traditional and digital finance.
Today, BTCUSD is influenced by a mix of fundamental drivers. The upcoming NFIB Small Business Optimism Index and Bureau of Labor Statistics reports on productivity and labor costs are crucial for gauging US economic strength. Higher-than-forecast optimism among small businesses or robust productivity growth can bolster USD strength, potentially pressuring BTCUSD lower. Meanwhile, OPEC's influence on energy markets can indirectly impact inflation expectations, influencing broader financial markets, including cryptocurrencies. Amid economic uncertainties, Bitcoin's role as a hedge against inflation remains relevant, but strong US data could challenge its appeal.
https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u...rediction.webp
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The H4 BTCUSD chart highlights a bearish price action pattern, with consecutive negative candles signaling a downward momentum. After previously reaching an all-time high, BTCUSD has retreated and is now trading at $96,686.26, aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. This indicates a critical support zone, with further downside likely if the level fails to hold. The Williams %R indicator is oversold, suggesting potential short-term relief; however, the bearish trend remains dominant unless a clear reversal signal emerges. Traders should watch for a break below the Fibonacci level or a reversal signal supported by volume.
• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
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Fundamental and Technical Outlook for GBPUSD Today
The GBPUSD forex pair, also known as "Cable" due to its historical trading via transatlantic telegraph cables, represents the exchange rate between the British Pound and the US Dollar. This major currency pair is influenced by both countries' macroeconomic indicators, central bank policies, and geopolitical factors. Traders and investors closely monitor GBPUSD due to its volatility and liquidity, making it a favorite for both technical and fundamental analysis.
For today’s GBP/USD fundamental analysis, the market is set to be influenced by key economic data releases from both the US and the UK. In the US, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Core CPI reports will be closely monitored as they provide critical insights into inflation trends and the Federal Reserve's next moves on interest rates. Strong CPI data could boost the USD by signaling a higher probability of continued monetary tightening. On the UK side, the Gilt Auction results will offer clues about investor confidence and borrowing costs, which could impact the Pound's strength. The combination of these events sets the stage for significant volatility, with inflation, bond yields, and monetary policy expectations driving the GBP/USD forecast today.
https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u...2.11.2024.webp
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The GBPUSD H4 chart highlights an ascending channel, suggesting Cable’s bullish bias in the short to medium term. The price is trading near the upper boundary of the channel, indicating potential resistance at these levels. The Parabolic SAR confirms this trend, with its dots aligning below the candles, supporting continued upward momentum. However, the RSI stands at 59.25, reflecting neither overbought nor oversold conditions, but signaling caution as the pair’s price action approaches resistance. A breakout above the channel could trigger further bullish moves, while a reversal might prompt a retest of lower support zones. Traders should watch for confirmation before acting.
• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
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Daily Chart AUDUSD Fundamental Trend Outlook
The AUD/USD currency pair, often called the “Aussie,” is a major Forex instrument that reflects the economic health of both Australia and the United States. With Australian Employment Change and Unemployment Rate data due for release, traders will closely watch these key labor-market indicators to gauge the pace of Australia’s economic recovery, while upcoming US releases, including Core PPI, PPI, and Unemployment Claims, will offer insight into inflationary pressures and employment trends in the US. Overall, these fundamental factors could drive significant price action in the AUD USD daily chart, as investors anticipate shifts in monetary policy and risk sentiment.
https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u...2.12.2024.webp
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the AUDUSD H4 chart, the price is in a bearish trend with bearish candles moving below the Ichimoku cloud, hovering around the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level which can work as the first support level, while the RSI is trending lower, suggesting potential oversold conditions that may limit immediate downside. The AUD-USD daily chart technical and fundamental analysis indicates that if the pair breaks below this key support, it could open the door to further declines, but any signs of improving economic data or easing US inflation could offer buying opportunities and spark a reversal in the price action.
• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
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GBPJPY Price Forecast: Key Trends on the H4 Chart
The GBP/JPY forex pair, often referred to as the "Dragon" in the trading community, is a highly volatile cross-currency pair that does not include the US dollar. It combines the strength of the British pound (GBP) with the relative stability of the Japanese yen (JPY), offering unique opportunities for traders due to its sensitivity to risk sentiment and economic data from both the UK and Japan.
For today’s GBP/JPY news analysis, the GBP is under scrutiny with key releases, including consumer confidence (GfK), GDP growth, and manufacturing production, all of which provide insights into the economic health of the UK. Positive surprises in GDP growth and manufacturing output may strengthen the GBP, while weaker data could put downward pressure on the pair. Simultaneously, the JPY remains reactive to global risk sentiment and Japanese industrial production data. If risk aversion prevails, the JPY may see inflows, potentially pushing GBPJPY’s prices lower. Traders should carefully assess these releases, as their outcomes will significantly influence short-term price movements in the pair.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The H4 chart of GBP/JPY shows the pair trading near the Ichimoku Cloud, a critical area for gauging momentum and trend direction. Currently, the Dragon’s price action is attempting to break below the Tenkan-sen (blue line) and Kijun-sen (red line), signaling a potential GBPJPY bearish bias if confirmed. The Ichimoku Cloud itself acts as dynamic support and resistance, and the thin green cloud ahead suggests limited bullish momentum unless the pair finds support.
The pair’s technical analysis today with the MACD indicator reflects a bearish crossover with the MACD line dipping below the signal line, indicating increasing bearish momentum. Additionally, the histogram shows weakening bullish momentum as it moves closer to the zero line. This confluence of bearish indicators suggests the possibility of further downside movement unless strong support emerges near 192.50. Traders should monitor for a confirmed break below the Ichimoku Cloud for further bearish confirmation or a reversal signal for renewed bullish activity.
• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
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GOLD Chart Analysis for Bearish Trend on H4
Gold, commonly known as “the yellow metal”, is traded as GOLDUSD or XAUUSD and remains a critical safe-haven asset in times of economic uncertainty. Today, traders are watching significant USD news releases, including the New York Manufacturing Index and PMI data for both manufacturing and services. Positive US data could strengthen the USD, exerting downward pressure on XAUUSD, while weaker results may boost gold as investors shift to safety.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the GOLDUSD H4 chart, the price has been in a bearish trend, with several consecutive red candles before last week's market close. After opening this week, the price touched the upper cloud section, indicating weakening bullish strength. The price also broke below the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level at 2,654.55, which now acts as immediate resistance, with further downside potential toward the 0.5 Fibonacci level at 2,632.17.
The Williams %R indicator is currently at -96.16, signaling oversold conditions, which may lead to a short-term bounce but does not negate the bearish momentum. Immediate support is now located at 2,632.17, aligning with the 0.5 Fibonacci level, while resistance is seen at 2,677.72 near the cloud boundary. If buyers cannot regain control, the next support at 2,609.79 could come into focus.
• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
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Technical Outlook for BTCUSD H4 Price Action
The BTC/USD pair, often referred to by “Bitcoin-Dollar,” represents the exchange rate between Bitcoin and the US Dollar. As a highly volatile instrument, it bridges the worlds of cryptocurrency and forex trading, drawing interest from both long-term investors and short-term traders due to its dynamic price movements and sensitivity to market news. Today, the spotlight is on the USD’s Core Retail Sales and Retail Sales m/m data, with expected figures at 0.4% and 0.6%, respectively. Positive retail sales figures typically strengthen the US Dollar, potentially applying downward pressure on BTCUSD as the USD side of the pair gains strength. However, Bitcoin's strong fundamentals, including increasing institutional adoption and the prevailing bullish sentiment in cryptocurrency markets, may counterbalance USD strength, keeping BTCUSD supported above key levels. With Bitcoin’s role as a hedge against fiat currency debasement and its ongoing integration into traditional financial systems, the long-term outlook remains decidedly bullish.
https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u...rediction.webp
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The BTCUSD H4 chart reveals a robust and consistent bullish trend, reflecting strong momentum that has been driving prices upward within a clearly defined bullish channel. The RSI, currently hovering near the overbought territory around the 70 level, suggests that while the pair may face a short-term pullback or consolidation due to overextension, the broader trend remains firmly upward. This overbought condition often indicates heightened buying pressure and trader optimism, reinforcing the overall bullish outlook. Supporting this momentum, the Ichimoku cloud analysis paints an equally optimistic picture. The green cloud signals sustained upward pressure, while a bullish crossover between the Kijun-sen and Tenkan-sen lines further strengthens the probability of continued upward price movement. This alignment of key technical indicators underscores a highly favorable environment for Bitcoin’s price action, as it trades confidently within a structurally sound bullish channel. As long as the price remains within this channel, the potential for further upside remains significant. Combining the supportive indicators and broader market sentiment, BTC USD appears poised to push toward new highs, even if intermittent pullbacks or consolidation phases occur in the near term.
DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
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GBP/USD H4 Chart Analysis: Bollinger Bands and RSI Insights
The GBPUSD forex pair, commonly known as "Cable," is one of the most actively traded currency pairs globally, reflecting the exchange rate between the British Pound (GBP) and the US Dollar (USD). It plays a significant role in international trade and investment, given its historical importance and liquidity. The pair’s fundamental outlook is heavily influenced by macroeconomic news from both the UK and the US, making it a key focus for traders seeking opportunities in the forex market.
For the GBP/USD news analysis today, upcoming US Building Permits and Housing Starts data are crucial for gauging future construction activity, a leading indicator of economic health in the United States. If the actual results exceed forecasts, it is likely to strengthen the USD, potentially pushing GBPUSD lower. On the UK side, Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) data are central as they provide critical insights into inflationary pressures. Higher-than-expected inflation data could bolster expectations of tighter monetary policy from the Bank of England (BoE), supporting the GBP. Additionally, traders will monitor crude oil inventories due to their indirect impact on USD through global economic sentiment. The Federal Reserve's forward guidance on monetary policy remains a focal point, and any hawkish signals could strengthen the dollar further, maintaining the risks of a GBP/USD bearish bias.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The GBPUSD H4 chart shows a notable bullish recovery after a recent decline. The Bollinger Bands indicate that Cable’s price action is attempting to break above the middle band (20-SMA), a key dynamic resistance. If this breakout sustains, the pair could aim for the upper Bollinger Band near 1.2727, signaling further GBP/USD bullish momentum. However, failure to hold above the middle band may result in a pullback toward the lower support levels at 1.2668 and 1.2690.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently stands at 54.91, showing a moderate recovery and indicating neutral momentum. The RSI remains below the 70 overbought level, suggesting room for further upside. If buying pressure continues, GBPUSD could challenge recent highs; however, traders should watch for potential reversals near key resistance zones. Overall, GBPUSD's technical outlook today remains cautiously bullish as long as it stays above the 1.2668 support zone.
• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
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USDJPY Price Prediction Daily Technical Analysis
The USDJPY, often referred to as the "Ninja," is a widely traded currency pair that represents the exchange rate between the U.S. Dollar (USD) and the Japanese Yen (JPY). This pair is influenced heavily by interest rate policies and economic events from the Bank of Japan (BOJ) and the U.S. Federal Reserve, making it a key focus for forex traders worldwide.
Today, the Bank of Japan's tentative monetary policy announcements and Governor speeches will dominate the JPY's outlook. Any hawkish stance or unexpected positive signals regarding Japan's economic growth could strengthen the Yen, causing a pullback in USDJPY. However, with the U.S. releasing crucial economic data, including GDP figures and Initial Jobless Claims, the Dollar could gain momentum if data shows robust economic growth or lower unemployment claims. Traders will closely watch these releases, as they provide a clear signal on future Federal Reserve policy directions, particularly regarding inflation and interest rate hikes.
https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u...rediction.webp
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
From a technical perspective on the H4 chart, USDJPY remains firmly in a bullish trend within an upward price channel. The price is trading above the Ichimoku Cloud, a strong bullish signal, and has reached the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level near 154.63, which now acts as short-term resistance. Should this level break, the next target could be the upper boundary of the price channel around 155. Meanwhile, the Williams %R (14) indicator, currently at -14.00, shows overbought conditions, signaling a potential temporary correction before another upward move. A bounce off the channel support around 153.55 would validate continued bullish price action, while a break below could indicate a deeper retracement toward the 152.71 level.
DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
Capitalcore
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EUR/USD Forecast: Bearish Momentum Dominates H4 Chart
The EUR/USD currency pair, often referred to as the "Fiber," is the most traded currency pair globally, representing the relationship between the Euro (EUR) and the US Dollar (USD). It’s fundamental outlook is highly influenced by macroeconomic indicators and central bank decisions in both the Eurozone and the United States. With its liquidity and volatility, EUR/USD serves as a benchmark for global currency markets.
For Today's EUR/USD news analysis the focus revolves around significant upcoming news events. The Federal Reserve's Mary Daly's Bloomberg TV interview is crucial as her remarks may provide insights into future monetary policy, potentially strengthening the USD if perceived hawkishly. Key economic releases like the U.S. PCE index and Personal Income/Spending reports will shape expectations for inflation and consumer behavior, impacting the USD's trajectory. Concurrently, Eurozone's Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Confidence data are vital to assess economic health, with better-than-expected data potentially supporting the Euro. As both economies grapple with inflationary challenges, these data points will steer the Fiber's direction in the short term.
https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u...2.20.2024.webp
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The H4 chart for EUR/USD indicates the pair’s bearish bias with recent sharp declines. The Parabolic SAR, positioned above the price candles, confirms the ongoing downtrend, signaling further downside risk unless a reversal is triggered. Meanwhile, the MACD exhibits negative momentum with a bearish crossover and histogram bars deepening below the zero line, underscoring strong selling pressure. The Fiber’s Price action has tested the critical support level of 1.0350, a psychological zone. However, if this support holds, a pullback to the resistance zones at 1.0413 or 1.0468 could occur. Overall, the EUR/USD technical analysis today suggest continued caution for bulls until a breakout or a trend reversal pattern emerges.
• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
Capitalcore
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USDCAD H4 Technical Outlook and Price Momentum
The USDCAD forex pair, also known as the "Loonie," is a popular trading pair that represents the exchange rate between the U.S. dollar (USD) and the Canadian dollar (CAD). The pair is influenced by crude oil prices due to Canada's oil-exporting economy and by macroeconomic factors such as interest rates and GDP data. Today, traders are closely watching key economic releases from Canada, including the GDP m/m, Industrial Product Price Index (IPPI), and Raw Materials Price Index (RMPI). These reports will provide insights into Canada's economic health, industrial pricing trends, and inflationary pressures. A better-than-expected GDP or IPPI reading could strengthen the CAD, leading to bearish pressure on the USD-CAD.
For the U.S. dollar, the CB Consumer Confidence report is a critical indicator of consumer sentiment and spending. A higher-than-forecasted reading could bolster USD strength, potentially offsetting CAD gains if Canadian data underperforms. The interplay between these news events will determine short-term price action, with a focus on risk sentiment, crude oil prices, and the relative strength of each currency.
https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u...ediction-.webp
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The H4 chart of USD/CAD shows a bullish trend with the price trading above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating strong upward momentum. The last two candles are bullish, suggesting a continuation of the uptrend, supported by the Williams %R14 indicator, which currently reads -69.92 close to oversold but still signaling potential bullish energy. The Fibonacci retracement levels highlight key areas of price action; the price recently rebounded from the 0.236 level after touching the 0.0 Fib level last week. The current move suggests a correction phase is ending, with price consolidating above support levels.
The bullish channel evident on the chart confirms the upward trend, though traders should monitor any breakouts or price reversals, especially around the Fibonacci levels. The continuation of bullish candles after the market's reopening today hints at sustained bullish momentum in the short term.
DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
Capitalcore
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BTC/USD H4 Technical Analysis: A Bearish Perspective
The BTCUSD cryptocurrency pair represents the exchange rate between Bitcoin (BTC) and the U.S. dollar (USD). The pair's movements are influenced by macroeconomic factors, including the strength of the USD, regulatory developments, and overall risk sentiment in the financial markets. Currently, traders are closely monitoring the US CB Consumer Confidence report, a critical indicator of economic confidence. A stronger-than-expected result could reinforce USD strength, amplifying bearish pressure on BTCUSD. Additionally, anticipation surrounding the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting adds caution to the market, with the potential for higher interest rates and persistent inflation concerns weighing on risk assets like Bitcoin.
For BTC, adoption trends and regulatory changes remain pivotal in shaping long-term trends, though short-term price movements may hinge on USD performance and broader market sentiment.
https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u...n-bitcoin.webp
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The H4 chart of BTC/USD reveals a strong bearish trend, with the price trading below the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating persistent downward momentum. A series of consecutive bearish candles, interspersed with minor bullish corrections, highlights sustained selling pressure. The pair recently broke through the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, confirming bearish dominance, and is now testing the 38.2% retracement level as a critical support zone.
The Ichimoku Cloud analysis shows that BTC/USD has decisively moved below the cloud, confirming bearish sentiment. The lagging span remains below the price action, and the cloud ahead is red, suggesting further downside unless the price reclaims levels above the cloud. Trading volumes indicate increased activity during bearish movements, reflecting strong selling pressure, while lower volumes during bullish corrections suggest weak buying interest. The MACD line remains below the signal line with a deepening bearish histogram, signaling that bearish momentum is strengthening with no immediate signs of reversal.
The current support level is at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement near $92,829.72, and a further decline could lead to a test of the 50.0% retracement level around $87,014.05, which is a critical zone for potential buyers. On the upside, immediate resistance is located at the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $98,645.35, and a recovery beyond this point could reduce bearish pressure. A stronger resistance lies near $102,522.45, aligning with the upper boundary of the Ichimoku Cloud and prior support levels.
DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
Capitalcore
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GBP/JPY H4 Chart: Fundamentals and Technical Overview
The GBPJPY forex pair, often referred to as "The Dragon" due to its volatile price movements, represents the exchange rate between the British Pound Sterling (GBP) and the Japanese Yen (JPY). It combines the influences of two powerful global economies, with the Bank of England (BOE) and the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport, and Tourism (MLIT) playing pivotal roles in shaping its price trends.
Today’s GBP/JPY fundamental analysis has its focus on the Bank of England’s Quarterly Bulletin and Japan’s residential building permits report. The BOE’s commentary on market developments and monetary policy will be pivotal, especially as traders seek clarity on future interest rate paths amid inflationary pressures. Meanwhile, Japan’s building permits data offers insights into the nation’s economic health, as higher-than-expected figures could signal robust growth. Combined, these updates will likely create increased volatility in the GBPJPY forecast, particularly given the contrasting monetary policies of these two economies. Traders should closely watch these releases for potential directional catalysts.
https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u....27.2024-.webp
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The GBP/JPY technical analysis today reveals an ascending channel formation, with prices consolidating near the upper boundary. The RSI indicator hovers around 64.10, indicating a moderate GBPJPY bullish bias but nearing overbought conditions. Meanwhile, the Volume Oscillator shows declining momentum, suggesting weakening buying pressure. This combination implies a potential pullback or consolidation before further bullish continuation, especially if the Dragon’s price action fails to break above the channel resistance. Traders should monitor for any divergence signals or breaks of key support levels around 196.50 to gauge near-term direction.
• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
Capitalcore
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EURUSD Price Action Targets Key Resistance Levels
The EURUSD forex pair, often referred to as "Fiber," is one of the most traded currency pairs in the forex market, representing the euro against the US dollar. As a barometer for global economic sentiment, it is heavily influenced by macroeconomic indicators and monetary policy decisions from both the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve (Fed).
Today, the market awaits critical economic data that could impact EUR/USD's direction. From the Eurozone, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data will provide key insights into inflation trends, which could signal potential future policy actions from the ECB. Higher-than-forecast CPI results could strengthen the euro by increasing the likelihood of tighter monetary policy. On the US side, the Chicago PMI and Pending Home Sales reports are set to shed light on business activity and consumer demand. If these reports outperform expectations, they could reinforce the dollar's strength, given its role as a leading indicator of economic health. Traders should prepare for heightened volatility as the interplay between these releases unfolds.
https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u...ce-action.webp
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The EURUSD H4 chart displays a bullish price action, as the pair has successfully broken above the lower cloud line of the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator, indicating potential upward momentum. The last two candlesticks are positive, reflecting buyer confidence as the price moves away from the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level toward the 0.618 level. This upward trajectory is further supported by the Williams %R indicator, which stands at -21.39, nearing overbought territory. This suggests that while the bullish trend is strong, traders should remain cautious of potential resistance at the cloud's upper boundary or near the 0.618 Fibonacci level. The Fiber appears poised to challenge higher levels if the momentum persists, with upcoming economic news likely playing a decisive role.
• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
Capitalcore
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USDJPY Trading Opportunities Today
The USD/JPY, often dubbed the "Samurai Dollar," is a major forex pair renowned for its liquidity and tight spreads, representing the exchange rate between the US Dollar and the Japanese Yen. Today’s fundamental analysis highlights the upcoming release of the S&P Corelogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index and the FHFA House Price Index, both set for January 28, 2025, which are crucial indicators of the US housing market’s health and could bolster the USD if the data surpasses forecasts. Additionally, the Japanese market will experience a four-day bank holiday starting January 1, 2025, leading to lower liquidity and potential volatility in the USD JPY pair.
https://capitalcore.com/wp-content/u...e-action-.webp
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the uploaded USDJPY H4 chart, the pair is in a pronounced bearish trend, as evidenced by the Ichimoku Cloud signaling downward momentum. The price has decisively passed the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level and is nearing the 0.382 fib level, indicating the potential for further declines. The RSI is currently reflecting oversold conditions, suggesting a possible short-term consolidation or reversal. Coupled with multiple bearish candles breaking key fib levels, the technical indicators reinforce a cautious outlook for the USD-JPY, emphasizing the importance of monitoring price action and fundamental developments for strategic trading decisions.
• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.
Capitalcore