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This is a discussion on Stock Market within the Trading Systems forums, part of the Trading Forum category; 6 Great Investors Explain What Makes Stocks Rise ( Barron’s ) Nobody Knows How Much Bonds Cost ( Bloomberg View ...

          
   
  1. #11
    Senior Member ArticleMan's Avatar
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    Wednesday Reading - 6 Great Investors, Market Manipulation, and more

    • 6 Great Investors Explain What Makes Stocks Rise (Barron’s)
    • Nobody Knows How Much Bonds Cost (Bloomberg View)
    • Gold: Is It Really Likely to Hit $5,000 an Ounce? (MutualFunds.com)
    • Are Home Prices Again Breaking Records? Not Really (Real Time Economics)
    • Why Economists Have Trouble With Bubbles (Bloomberg View)
    • Understanding China’s Market in Eight Charts (WSJ)
    • Market Manipulation Goes Global (Project Syndicate)
    • Farewell, Google+, We Hardly Knew Ye (Daily Beast) see also Google Finally Admits Defeat on Google Plus (Slate)
    • It’s Not Climate Change — It’s Everything Change (Medium)
    • An accidental discovery 50 years ago changed how we see the universe (ExtremeTech) see also The black hole that has outgrown its galaxy (Cosmos)

    What are you reading?


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  2. #12
    Senior Member TechnoMeter's Avatar
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    SPX 500 Technical Analysis: Down Move Ready to Resume?

    Talking Points:
    • Support: 2089.40, 2081.20, 2072.90
    • Resistance: 2099.50, 2115.90, 2137.10

    Stock Market-sp500-w1-alpari-limited.png


    The SPX 500 turned downward anew after finding resistance above the 2100.00 figure, dropping the most in five months. A daily close below the 38.2% Fibonacci expansion at 2089.40 exposes the 50% level at 2081.20. Alternatively, a reversal above the 23.6% Fib at 2099.50 clears the way for a challenge of the July 31 high at 2115.90.

    Stock Market-sp500-w1-alpari-limited-2.png


    KEY UPCOMING EVENT RISK:
    05 AUG 2015, 01:45 GMT – Caixin China PMI Composite (JUL) – Expected: n/a, Prev: 50.6
    05 AUG 2015, 14:00 GMT – US Non-Mfg ISM Composite (JUL) – Expected: 56.2, Prev: 56.0
    07 AUG 2015, 12:30 GMT – US Change in Nonfarm Payrolls (JUL) – Expected: 225K, Prev: 223K




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  3. #13
    Senior Member 1Finance's Avatar
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    Stock market correction may be on way

    Stock Market-555.jpeg

    Longtime stock-market bull Jeremy Siegel on Monday warned that equities could be in for a correction amid a possible rate hike by the Federal Reserve next month. "The next six or seven weeks are going to be very rough," the well-known Wharton School finance professor told CNBC Monday afternoon. Jitters over a likely September rate hike combined with weaker corporate earnings due to falling oil prices, a strong dollar and seasonal weakness in late August and September will make it difficult for stocks to work "much higher" over the next six or seven weeks, he said. Once a rate hike is out of the way "and world doesn't end," a "nice rally" could follow in the fourth quarter, he said. Siegel said he's sticking with his call for the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +1.39% to hit 20,000, but said that target would be difficult, though not impossible, to hit by the end of the year.

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  4. #14
    Senior Member FinanceGlossy's Avatar
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    Opinion: When do you believe the Fed will raise rates

    1. Howard Simons, President of Rosewood Trading Inc.: "They will raise rates, probably in September, possibly in December, by 25 bp and then say they were sorry and it will not happen again for a long time."

    2. Pete Thomas, Sr. Vice President of Zaner Precious Metals: "If we raise the rate by a quarter this year and another quarter in the first period of next year, I foresee the euro at 107—a survivable amount of damage—and the rate of return at a half of a percent at the federal lending window."

    3. Jeff Greenblatt, Editor of the Fibonacci Forecaster, director of Lucas Wave International, LLC: "I've always believed if they were going to do it; December would be the earliest. The problem here is with economic growth so weak they don't even have a window to raise rates in order to drop them later on. They seem to be hopelessly behind the curve and if anything would try a quarter point in December."

    4. Al Brooks, author of several books on price action and he 36 hour Brooks Trading Course: "As a trader, I never care what the Fed or anyone else does."

    5. Jeff Carter, co-founder of Hyde Park Angels and former member of the CME Board of Directors: "I think the Fed will do a token raise of .25 in September."

    6. Paul Cretien, investment analyst and financial case writer: "A good start - and one that may take place - is for the Fed to allow the shortest-term rates to increase by 25 to 50 basis points by December 2015."
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  5. #15
    Senior Member HuntedRelated's Avatar
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    ‘Limit-up Kamikaze - The securities regulator has never investigated us’

    Stock Market-investment-management.jpg


    The detention of “kamikaze” Chinese hedge fund manager Xu Xiang for alleged insider trading on Sunday after a dramatic manhunt was front-page news, but to industry insiders it was the chronicle of a downfall foretold.

    Renowned as the “captain” of the “Limit-up Kamikaze Squad”, a loose-knit group of fund managers centred around the port city of Ningbo, Mr Xu favoured bets that were big, bold and bountiful. The squad’s nickname salutes its ability to push stocks up by the 10 per cent daily limit imposed by Chinese exchanges.

    In a market where many investors believe riches elude those who play by the rules, Mr Xu’s Zexi Investment Management attracted scepticism. Five of Zexi’s products ranked among the top 20 in China by total return in 2015, with one taking the top spot. Its Series 1 fund has returned 3,270 per cent since launching in 2010.

    “Xu getting caught was just a matter of time. It just came a bit earlier than expected,” said a hedge fund manager in Shanghai, adding that Mr Xu’s conduct had been “an open secret”.

    Despite being ranked as China’s 188th richest person on the Hurun Rich List with wealth estimated at Rmb14bn ($2.2bn), little is known about the low-key Mr Xu and his fellow kamikazes. Until Sunday, no confirmed photos of him were available online.

    But local media reports and interviews with fund managers paint a portrait of the squad as investors willing to operate at the frontiers of legality — and sometimes beyond — in the wild west of China’s capital markets.

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  6. #16
    Senior Member ArticleMan's Avatar
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    Stock Splits Definition & Profit

    By: DailyForex.com
    The subject of stock splits can cause a lot of confusion for traders and investors in stocks. In this article I am going to explain what stock splits are, why companies choose to split their stock, and finally explore whether stock splits provide any opportunity to traders to generate profit from the market.

    What are Stock Splits?

    The dictionary definition of a “stock split” is a corporate action where a company divides its shares into multiples. For example, company ABC Incorporated legally decides and announces that each of its ordinary common stock are going to split into ten shares (this would be known as a “ten-for-one” stock split). This has the effect of every stock owner seeing their number of new shares owned as multiplied by the split factor. All other things remaining equal, if each of the old shares are worth $100, then the new split shares will be worth $10 each. This is something I will explore more deeply later in this article.

    Why Companies Split their Stock

    It can be seen from the simple explanation in the preceding paragraph that this is a very simple and seemingly trivial and pointless procedure. Why do companies bother splitting their stock? Well, there are a number of reasons why it is useful for companies to undertake this procedure:
    1. A stock split, as we have already seen, should have the effect of bringing down the price by the factor of the split. This can be very useful if the share price has risen by a great deal and become relatively expensive per share, which can have the effect of deterring small investors. For example, Apple Inc. undertook a 7 for 1 stock split in the summer of 2014 largely because its share price had risen steadily to reach a spectacular $645 per share. The split by a factor of 7 reduced the price to a much more affordable $92 per share.
    2. A less widely understood reason why a company might choose to undertake a stock split is to generate greater liquidity in its stock. The price does not just fall, the number of shares in circulation increases too, by the factor of the split. This can cause not only greater accessibility to buyers as we have seen, but also it gives stock owners greater options to sell smaller holdings and these two factors can combine to generate greater market liquidity in the stock. Greater liquidity may have the effect of lowering the bid-ask spread that is quoted by market makers dealing in the stock on approved exchanges, which again makes trading in the stock easier and creates a better market for the company’s shares.

    Can Traders Take Advantage of Stock Splits?

    Academic studies undertaken since the 1990s have tended to indicate that stocks which have just been split tend to outperform the market as a whole for a while. Whilst this might seem too good to be true, a quick consideration of some of the likely reasons why this might be true show it is quite plausible:
    1. Companies tend to split their shares when the price has become too “expensive”. Consider that for the price to have become too “expensive” it is very likely that the price has been rising for some time, and is also either at or very close to its all-time high price. This means that stocks that are split have probably been exhibiting excellent bullish momentum, which several academic studies have shown is a winning trading strategy if applied consistently.
    2. Companies are also more favorably inclined to split their shares when the Board of Directors believe that the share price is likely to keep rising and the company is likely to continue performing strongly in its market. This is not infallible, but such “insider” confidence can be a good indication of a company whose share price has a good prospect of rising in the near term.
    3. As described earlier, the action of a stock split usually has the effect of increasing liquidity and opening up more of the retail market. This can generate some bullish action as the split will attract retail buyers, driving the price up beyond the split factor’s division of the pre-split share price.

    There is plenty of academic evidence that buying splitting stocks can be an effective, outperforming stock trading strategy, and that the optimum period to hold such stocks is for three years following the split. Of course, an exact period of three years is probably too precise a time-based definition to usefully provide sound guidance as to trade exits, but it is possibly a good maximum period for which the bullish effect of the split can be expected to last for.

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  7. #17
    Senior Member mql5's Avatar
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  9. #19
    Senior Member TechnoMeter's Avatar
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    FTSE 100: To Reach 6400 As Long As 6195 Holds As Support

    Talking Points
    • U.S. Non-farm payrolls printing 210k vs. the 200k expected (Bloomberg News Survey) lifts the FTSE and should keep it buoyant over the coming days ahead
    • The short-term trend is bullish and I expect the FTSE 100 to reach 6400 as long as 6195 holds as support

    Trading on Friday was a bit bumpy, but this was pointed out before the U.S. Non-farm payrolls release. If the NFP beat the economist consensus estimate of 200k and Thursday’s low of 6195 held as a support that would allow the FTSE 100 to reach 6300. The index reached the high of 6296 on a NFP print of 211k compared with a median estimate for a 200k gain in a Bloomberg survey of economists.

    Price action for today should remain bullish and I expect a pullback towards the 6195 to 6254 range to entice traders to buy with stops below Thursday’s low of 6195. While a break to the 6195 low may trigger a decline to 6155 which acted as resistance for much of the November 16 trading session

    Stock Market-z-w1-alpari-limited.png


    There is no key data on tap until Tuesday night when Chinese exports and imports data are on tap. The data is being watched as it gives us an idea of how the Chinese economy is doing. Better numbers than expected may probably add to the global stock market risk appetite, while soft data may discourage long positions.


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  10. #20
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    Quick Technical Overview - S&P 500: bullish ranging near Central YR1 Pivot

    The price is on bullish ranging between the following key levels:

    • Central Pivot at 1963.05 and
    • the first pivot resistance R1 Pivot at 2188.18.

    There are the following intermediate support/resistance levels for the price on the way to the key s/r targets:

    • 2134.42 resistance level, and
    • 2006.68 support level.

    Stock Market-sp500-w1-alpari-limited.png


    Instrument
    S1 Pivot
    Yearly PP
    R1 Pivot
    SP500 1832.78 1963.05 2188.18

    If W1 price will break 2134.42 resistance level so the bullish trend will be continuing up to R1 Pivot at 2188.18 as the next target.
    If W1 price will break 2006.68 support level so the secondary correction will be started with good possibility to the reversal of the price movement to the bearish market condition with next target as Central Pivot at 1963.05.
    If W1 price will break Central Pivot at 1963.05 from above to below so we may see the reversal of the price movement from the primary bearish to the primary bullish market condition.
    If not so the price will be ranging between the levels.

    Trend:

    W1 - ranging bullish
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