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This is a discussion on Stock Market within the Trading Systems forums, part of the Trading Forum category; FAANG is an acronym, which stands for the first letters of the five companies Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Netflix, and Alphabet’s ...

          
   
  1. #101
    Senior Member ArticleMan's Avatar
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    FAANG Stocks: Long, Short, or Neutral

    FAANG is an acronym, which stands for the first letters of the five companies Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Netflix, and Alphabet’s Google. These five companies have not only been some of the best-performing large-cap stocks over recent years (although Netflix only qualified as large-cap in 2013, when its capitalization consolidated above the $10 billion threshold), they have defined a zeitgeist, led a roaring bull market, and changed the way many of us live, at least in the world’s more economically developed countries.

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    All five of the FAANG companies have been members of the benchmark S&P 500 Index for some time, but one of them (Netflix) is not a member of the larger-cap S&P 100 Index, so it is most suitable to use the S&P 500 as a benchmark to measure their performances. The FAANG stocks comprise just under 12% of the index’s total market capitalization.

    STOCK Performance 2014-2018
    Netflix 408.40%
    Amazon 262.34%
    Facebook 243.28%
    FAANG Equally Weighted 227.05%
    Google 110.64%
    Apple 110.59%

    It is usually not a wise idea to day trade stocks at all unless they are leading stocks in a very strong bull market. This is because stocks are typically extremely volatile and subject to intraday manipulation by market makers. Day trading instruments such as Forex is usually much safer, giving the trader a better chance to make a profit. Don’t forget that stock CFDs usually have relatively high spreads at even quality CFD brokers and holding them overnight will incur fees that will eat into profit enough to prevent it being a feasible method of investing in FAANG companies. If you are going to day trade FAANG stocks, doing it long only when both the broader market indices and the stocks themselves are making new all-time highs is going to give you the best chance of success. Yet a much better approach to making money from the stock market is usually found in investing in a portfolio of several stocks and rebalancing no more than once per month.

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  2. #102
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    DAX Trading Outlook: Bear-flag or Rally, Either Way Watch the Higher-lows

    DAX continues to chop its way higher, looking corrective so far

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    The ‘rally’ off the low continues to smack more of a corrective bounce than it does the beginning of a broader move higher. However, corrections (bear-flag in this case) can last for periods of time longer than expected before continuing back in the direction of the trend. Or, eventually morph into a broader rally at some point as market confidence is restored. There are signposts to watch here as this plays out.

    There have been a couple of dives lower (2/14 & 2/22) on an intra-day basis which were met with strong buying pressure. These reversal days are helping keep the upward trend intact and a series of higher lows in place. Given how powerful these bullish reversal days have been their lows are important.

    At the current time, should the DAX take out the 2/22 low at 12283 it will be the first break of the bullish sequence, and a sign that the correction has ended. It should be noted that each new higher-low created along the way will become the new reference point. For example, if today the market were to rally back towards a new swing high from Monday, then today’s low would become the higher low to watch.

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  3. #103
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    Higher Interest Rates Crushed Stocks Before, And They Will Crush Them Again

    Investors have a short memory when it comes to stock market crashes. For a simple reason: crashes do not last long, as central bankers come to the rescue with lower interest rates that make alternative investments less appealing. The trouble is that central bankers don’t lower interest rates, forever. In fact, they raise them as soon as there are signs that the economy is overheating and inflation heads above official targets.

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    In either case, higher interest rates raise the cost of funds, especially for investors borrowing from their brokers to up their equity bets, at times of euphoria (margin borrowing). Higher interest rates, in turn, set the stage for the next stock market crash, as alternative risk free investments become more appealing than stocks.

    The trouble is that long term interest rates are rising again. The 10 year Treasury bond yields have climbed from 1.46% in July 2016 to 2.93% this week.

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  4. #104
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    Stock Markets In Japan, China, India And Germany Continue To Struggle With Negative Weekly Charts

    Japan’s Nikkei 225 remains in correction territory, 10.2% below its Jan. 23 high of 24,129.34. China’s Shanghai Composite is 8.8% below its Jan. 29 high of 3,587.03. India’s Nifty 50 is down 8.7% from its Jan. 29 high of 11,171.77. The German DAX is also about 8.7% below its Jan. 23 high of 13,596.89.

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    The Nikkei 225, Nifty 50 and German DAX set their 2018 lows between March 2 and March 7, while the Nasdaq Composite set its all-time high on March 13.

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  5. #105
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    Telegram Raises Largest Ever ICO

    Telegram, the developers of the popular and notorious encrypted messenger application, have made initial coin offering history with their very successful and ongoing ICO, which has already raised $850 million from corporate subscribers. On the heels of this historic event, we are examining this largest-ever initial coin offering and asking why it has been so popular, and whether it suggests that the field of cryptocurrency ICOs is maturing.

    Why are Initial Coin Offerings So Popular?


    Cryptocurrencies burst into public consciousness in 2017, with the exponential rise in prices of the major cryptocurrencies fueling a frenzied, speculative bubble. It was not only the major cryptocurrencies which benefited from enormous price increases – investors looking to buy cheap and get in at the ground floor of the next “big thing” sought out smaller, newer cryptocurrencies. Many of these new cryptocurrencies were capitalized through crowdfunding, whereby funders receive initial “coin” in the new cryptocurrency in return for financing it with legal tender fiat currency. The term “ICO” (initial coin offering) was “coined” to reflect the experience of an “initial public offering” by which a hot, newly public company offers its shares which typically then trade at a premium as soon as they hit the market. Speculators and investors have been eager to cash in on new cryptocurrencies in the same way many were happy to get their hands on new public shares of technology companies in the 1990s, or newly privatized utilities in the U.K. during the 1980s. It is against this background that Telegram recently completed the largest ever ICO for their new, currently unnamed cryptocurrency.

    The Source of Admiration for Telegram

    Telegram is a non-profit, cloud based instant messaging service, founded in 2013 by Pavel Durov. It has made a name for itself, as compared to similar technology applications, in the same way that Bitcoin made a name for itself against fiat currencies such as the U.S. Dollar. If that seems like a strange comparison, here is why I make it: Telegram is open-source, transparent, democratic, non-profit, and above all else, confidential. Telegram has positioned itself on the edge of a very live political debate – whether individuals will be able to enjoy digital privacy, free from spying eyes. Other communication apps such as Facebook or Twitter exist to make money, and they pander to corporate and government interests while taking the data of their users for free. On Telegram’s site, the FAQs include the following statement, which has come to be politically extraordinary in 2018:

    Leaving politics and fashion to one side, what about the business case for Telegram? It has been hugely successful, becoming a brand of choice for users requiring secure and confidential free digital communication. It is seen as one of the few emerging tech companies that truly has the “space” to build its own digital currency which will have a genuine market for genuine users of the currency, rather than being primarily a speculative venture. This is the major reason why Telegram’s ongoing ICO has been not only unique but the largest and most successful ICO to date.

    Telegram’s Biggest-Ever ICO

    In February 2018, Telegram raised a record $850 million in an ICO which for the first stage was open only to venture capital firms and corporate investors. Telegram is the first “unicorn” (Silicon Valley terminology for a start-up company valued at more than $1 billion U.S., typically in the software or technology sector) to hold an ICO. Telegram can boast an impressive list of investors from this round, such as Sequoia Capital and Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers. When retail investors from the public are invited to apply for the new tokens, they will pay a much higher price. The ICO is a big psychological boost for fans of crypto, who see it as a sign that the field is maturing and that slowly, regulators and titans of the financial system will begin to accept crypto and become part of the ICO ecosystem. If this happens, the kind of “arbitrage” advantage that corporate investors enjoy will become regulated away.

    Telegram plans to use the $850 million raised to cover the development of its TON blockchain, as well as for the ongoing development and maintenance costs of its Messenger application. While Telegram boasts on its website that it still has money gifted to it by its CEO Pavel Durov, its finances will have received a strong boost. Telegram is hoping to raise an additional $350 million from the public stage of the ICO.

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  6. #106
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    BRAZIL: Ibovespa Rises To Nearly 85,000 Points Boosted By Dovish Fed

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    Ibovespa, the benchmark stock market index in Brazil, closed higher for the second straight session (+0.97%) Wednesday at 84,976.59 points, after the Federal Reserve signaled that it expects two more interest rate hikes this year in the U.S. - a dovish view, according to investors.

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  7. #107
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    Facebook and Amazon both lost $75 billion in market cap last week

    This was a brutal week for the stock market. The Dow was down over 1,400 points to close at 23,553, declining 5.7% which puts it in negative territory for the year, down 4.8%. The S&P was down 6% for the week and is now down 3.2% for the year. The NASDAQ had the worst week, down 6.5%, but is still up 1.3% for the year.

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    Facebook and Amazon both lost $75 billion in market cap last week. While Amazon and Netflix also declined last week they have added $158 and $47 billion for the year, respectively. Apple fell but its much lower valuation should provide some support.

    Apple was down 7.3% for the week vs. the NASDAQ’s 6.5%. Nomura, Cowen and BlueFin Research published notes cutting their iPhone estimates. They were a bit offset by Morgan Stanley and RBC publishing positive notes on the company’s Services business. The stock is selling for about a 14x PE multiple and still has its cash horde to buy back a ton of stock, so it may have more support than the highly valued tech stocks.

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  8. #108
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    DAX Technical Outlook: keeps shorts well in play

    DAX bearish price sequence keeps shorts well in play

    The DAX made a lower-low on Monday within the confines of a maturing bearish channel dating back to the early-part of February. The price sequence is marked by a series of clear lower-lows and lower-highs, and as long as the index stays below the upper parallel the outlook remains broadly bearish, with the weakening price action possibly resulting in a swift move lowe soon.

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    Specifically, support at 11726 is about to come under fire again shortly. On a move to fresh lows, the lower parallel isn’t seen as holding for much longer. There is minor support at 11428, but nothing substantial until a trend-line extending higher from 2011, which doesn’t arrive for a solid 1000 points from current levels.

    This doesn’t mean the market will decline to that point in one clip, but the DAX is trading in dangerous territory where worthy levels of support aren’t highly visible. To turn the picture bullish, a lot of work will need to be done from current levels. The next time we turn bullish might not be until we’ve seen a capitulation-style sell-off marking a bottoming-type event.

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  9. #109
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    Here Is What Determines Whether You Should Buy Nvidia, Netflix, And Amazon

    I often hear managers with excellent track records put forth strong arguments both for and against the same stock. Here's what I am hearing about Nvidia, Netflix, and Amazon.

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  10. #110
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    US Stock Market: 5 Keys To April Direction

    Despite last week's impressive rally, virtually all of my key secondary stock market indicators are still negative. It would take a sustained rise this week above S&P 500 (SPX) 2730 to 2770, amid vastly improved market internals, to confirm the US stock market is “out of the woods”.

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