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Nobel Laureate Shiller Predicts Total Collapse For Bitcoin: Report
Bitcoin may "totally collapse" though it may linger for a century, Nobel Laureate Robert Shiller said, who equaled it to the Tulip mania.
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"[Bitcoin] might totally collapse and be forgotten and I think that's a good likely outcome but it could linger on for a good long time, it could be here in 100 years," the Yale University professor told CNBC in an interview in Davos, Switzerland.
Shiller, who was the joint winner of the 2013 Nobel Prize for economics, pointed out that bitcoin has no value at all "unless there is some common consensus that it has value."
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67 Insane Facts About Bitcoin – Infographic January 2018
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Bitcoin Forecast: If You Own Bitcoin This Rotation Causes Concern
Recent downside price rotation in Bitcoin has caused quite a bit of concern for Crypto traders and investors. This recent breakdown move represented a failure of continued strength and has, and still is, testing critical support for a bottom. There are many external factors that are driving the demand and price for Bitcoin currently. The most recent news is that Crypto ETFs may run into some regulatory issues and that fears of a continued government crackdown may crash prices. Demand is still strong from believers in Blockchain and Cryptos, though, and we believe this contraction in price may continue for a few months.
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As Bitcoin continues to find its roots in economic function, the Blockchain technology continues to be validated and adopted by many. The CryptoCoins themselves may become more valuable as a trading instrument as well as a futures instrument. When the ETFs hit the markets, we believe BlockChain and Cryptos will become well entrenched in society and will establish a base valuation (of sorts).
In the meantime, be prepared for some wild volatility and rotation. The lower support levels, as shown on this chart, are key to the upside potential of Bitcoin. If that level is broken, then we could see a dramatic collapse in price to test the $4000 level. Until then, we are within an $8k~10k rotational range that will continue to tighten as the Pennant formation constricts. It should make for a wild ride – either way.
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Bitcoin Shifts to a Mixed Trading Bias
Retail trader data shows 76.0% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 3.16 to 1. The number of traders net-long is 1.9% higher than yesterday and 5.3% higher from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 0.6% higher than yesterday and 21.9% higher from last week.
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We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-long suggests Bitcoin prices may continue to fall. Positioning is more net-long than yesterday but less net-long from last week. The combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a further mixed Bitcoin trading bias.
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George Soros From Davos: Bitcoin Is A 'Typical Bubble'
Legendary investor George Soros joined a chorus of well-known investors calling bitcoin a bubble this week, making his remarks in a speech at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland Thursday.
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"Cryptocurrency is a misnomer and is a typical bubble, which is always based on some kind of misunderstanding," the financier and founder of the $26 billion Soros Fund Management said.
"Bitcoin is not a currency because a currency is supposed to be a stable store of value and the currency that can fluctuate 25% in a day can’t be used for instance to pay wages because wages drop by 25% in a day. It’s a speculation. Based on a misunderstanding," he added.
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Bitcoin & Ethereum Are Building Explosive Short-term Chart Patterns
Bitcoin near the apex of a triangle, sitting on big support
On Friday, the cryptocurrency market was sent lower by exchange-related news in Japan, but managed to rebound. The drop and rebound helped further along the development of a symmetrical triangle in Bitcoin (BTC/USD). The coiling price action is indicative of a potentially explosive move on the horizon.
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Triangles can break in either direction, which is why it is important to wait for the break, rather try and predict it, before becoming aggressively positioned. The development of the formation arrives at an interesting juncture. The trend-line from July has been broken on several occasions on an intra-day basis since the sharp reversal on Jan 17, but each time Bitcoin managed to close the day at or back above. Should we see a downside break unfold, it would not only constitute a breach of an important trend-line, but also occur in the direction of the trend off the December high, which could get Bitcoin really rolling downhill.
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Crypto Watch: Ethereum On The Rise Up 24% In 2 Days
Where December saw major gains for the global cryptocurrency market, January has seen a series of corrections that have brought it back closer to pre-December numbers—tempering some of the community's wild excitement and runaway speculation.
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But the past few days have shown Ethereum making a comeback. According to CoinMarketCap, the price of ETH was $998.03 at 2:04am PST Friday, Jan. 26. By 12:15pm on Sunday, Jan. 28, that price is now $1,236.18. This marks a growth of just under 24 percent in just over two days—with a 15 percent bull run occurring overnight Saturday into Sunday.
"thereum is taking advantage of Bitcoin's volatility and downtrend," said Akanshu Argh Jain, Co-Founder of Hooklabs.io, a blockchain consulting and investment firm. "With events like Vitalik leaving Fenbushi Capital to focus on ETH, an updated roadmap with sharding, and some other exciting developments—Ether is above 0.1 BTC again."
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