Stocks finished a volatile trading week under pressure from steep declines in oil, weakness overseas, and market-crushing remarks by U.S. Federal Reserve President Janet Yellen that helped send the S&P 500 down to nearly two-year lows. more...
"After a choppy week of trading stocks closed the week strong adding to the evidence that the upside reversal on January 21st was important. The surprising drop in bullishness the previous week (Is Bullishness Low Enough Now?) did not get the attention of most analysts even though it was making a ten year low.""According to AAII the bullish% rose to 29.75% last week after hitting a low of 17.9% on January 14th. The bearish% is back to 40% as it ...
1. Low oil prices are a transfer of wealth 2. U.S. consumers will benefit 3. The crash in oil is due to speculation and deregulation 4. The end of austerity in the U.S. 5. The budget deficit is set to grow 6. U.S. household debt service is at historic low 7. Housing starts still below average 8. Stocks are cheap – S&P 500 forward P/E is below average 9. China isn’t as important as people think ...
A stock market already in the mood for a bounce got a little extra goose from a solid December jobs report issued Friday morning. Even with a comforting economic number, a tough trading week leaves some Wall Street observers warning for more volatility, however—market twists that are likely to include at least short-term recoveries such as the one taking shape on Friday. The major stock averages fell some 2%-3% in Thursday’s volatile session, ...
The market went through an adjustment period, with average returns falling from 14 percent before the rate hike to 2.6 percent 250 days afterward. By 500 days, returns returned to their pre-hike average of around 14 percent. Chair Yellen announced that, for the first time in seven years, easy money will become slightly less easy. The target rate will be set at between 0.25 and 0.50 percent, which doesn’t sound like much, but it’s important. ...