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  1. New Zealand Dollar Expected to be Most Volatile

    by , 07-16-2019 at 09:57 AM
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    NZDUSD is expected to be the most volatile currency. Ahead of the NZ inflation report, overnight implied vols have jumped by 4.9 vols to 12.25, which is the highest since the June RBNZ rate decision. This implies that NZDUSD ATM break-evens = 34pips(meaning that option traders need to see a move of at least 34pips in either direction in order to realise gains). Interestingly, risk reversals have flipped to positive at 0.1 (albeit relatively neutral), ...
  2. New Zealand Dollar Weekly Technical Forecast

    by , 01-06-2019 at 03:42 PM
    NZDUSD has consistently traded lower in recent weeks and now trades below resistance from the trendline originating on December 4th. The head and shoulders pattern sent the pair lower and after a strong Friday performance, the Kiwi looks poised to test the trendline next week. A failed test would serve as strong confirmation for a sustained move lower and continuation of the recent trend.

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    Another price point to watch in the week ahead includes ...
  3. NZD/USD Technical Analysis: Down Trend

    by , 07-20-2018 at 07:29 AM
    The New Zealand remains locked in a well-defined down trend against its US counterpart despite over two weeks of sideways consolidation. Price action has been marked by a clear-cut series of lower highs and lowssince a reversal from triple top resistance in mid-April.

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    From here, a daily close below support in the 0.6688-0.6726 area opens the door for a challenge of the 38.2% Fibonacci expansion at 0.6589. Alternatively, a reversal above ...
  4. NZD/USD Technical Analysis: Trend Points Lower Despite Rebound

    by , 02-14-2018 at 12:29 PM
    The New Zealand Dollar is attempting a cautious recovery against its US namesake but overall positioning continues to hint the path of least resistance favors the downside. The currency found interim support near the 0.72 figure but a series of lower highs and lows defining the near-term trend remains intact.

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    An immediate upside barrier comes in at 0.7332, the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion, with a break above that on a daily closing basis opening ...
  5. NZD/USD Technical Analysis: Aiming to Test Below 0.72 Figure

    by , 02-06-2018 at 04:05 PM
    The New Zealand Dollar turned lower as expected, breaking the rising trend guiding the currency higher against its US counterpart since early December. The plunge played out against a backdrop of risk aversion that gripped financial markets amid worries about a steep Fed rate hike cycle.

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    Near-term support is now at 0.7186, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, with a break below that on a daily closing basis opening the door for a challenge ...
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