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  1. S&P 500 May Climb Higher as Trader Sentiment Shifts

    by , 12-14-2017 at 12:38 PM
    US 500: Retail trader data shows 26.2% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 2.81 to 1. The number of traders net-long is 7.7% lower than yesterday and 10.9% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 2.1% higher than yesterday and 8.0% higher from last week.

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    We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests US 500 prices may continue to ...
  2. Nikkei 225 Technical Analysis: Just Hanging On or Ready for Takeoff?

    by , 12-01-2017 at 09:35 AM
    The index remains at first glance very much where it was; a shade below this year’s overall highs but certainly holding on at a relatively elevated level. However, appearances can be deceptive. For there have been some changes to the picture and they’re quite encouraging ones for any bulls out there even if they’re hard to spot. For one thing the trading range has narrowed somewhat, in that its base is now clearly a little higher. Last week we were looking at 21,853, now it’s more like 21,173. At ...
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  3. S&P 500 Bullish Bias Eases as New Highs Emerge

    by , 10-07-2017 at 10:48 AM
    US 500: Retail trader data shows 16.1% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 5.22 to 1. The number of traders net-long is 0.3% lower than yesterday and 10.5% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 2.9% lower than yesterday and 0.5% lower from last week.

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    We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests US 500 prices may continue to rise. ...
  4. DAX Bouncing, but Has Work to Do to Turn Outright Bullish

    by , 09-01-2017 at 03:27 PM
    Since Tuesday morning when global markets initially reacted lower on North Korea’s launching of a missile over Japan, we’ve seen the market view weakness as a buying opportunity. The DAX broke down to its worst levels since March, but has rebounded a bit. The breakdown came from a triangle pattern we were discussing as likely to lead to lower prices, but selling from the formation has proven to be a one-off event thus far.

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    While the market ...
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  5. Crude Oil Price Forecast: Round 2 Of Harvey May Knock Oil Bulls Out

    by , 09-01-2017 at 09:28 AM
    Are you confused why Oil is trading lower after an encouraging EIA Crude Oil Inventory Report that showed a draw of 5.39m barrels and had refiners processing 1m bpd more than last year’s record refining activity? In a word, or name, Harvey is why Oil is trading lower, and you can see the confusion through derivative markets such as time spreads of Oil and the Brent/ WTI spread.

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    Either way, the supply chain component of the energy market ...
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