The key level to watch here is the red upward sloping trend line. So long as prices remain above this trend line, then we can maintain a bullish bias. The red trend line runs near $48 today. If crude oil prices move below this red trend line, then it acts like a red warning signal on the dashboard. There are still bullish patterns available like a diagonal. However, the odds of other bearish patterns increases diluting the opportunity at a good risk to reward ratio. Bottom line, a break of the red ...
On Wednesday, after the EIA released the data that Crude Inventories declined by 4.73m barrels and that Saudi was delivering less crude, holding true to their comittment may act as a force for higher prices. Of course, as we continue to see in Friday’s Baker Hughes data, UUS production continues to push higher and acts as a road block for a significant price recovery. However, as we see increased gasoline demand (+2.1% YoY), a weaker USD and an overall supportive report from the EIA, it’s worth ...
Crude oil can be effected by political tensions and people's views on the economy; it is a very volatile market and can easily move 200 to 400 points a day. It is as such one of the more volatile markets out there.
Safe to say that OPEC gatherings are about to get a shade more uncomfortable. On Monday, rumors leaked that Saudi was likely to ask that Libya and Nigeria to cut production as their increased production was overshadowing the intended positive effect of Saudi’s cuts. However, reports from Bloomberg have stated that Saudi Arabia itself is reporting to OPEC officials that they pumped 10.07 million bpd in June up from 9.88m in May and exceeding their limit for the first time since the production curb ...
Crude Oil price rose for the fourth consecutive day on Tuesday that provides hope that we could see a long overdue mean-reversion move. The fourth consecutive daily rise in price would be the first in a month, and traders will look to inventory data on Wednesday from the EIA for validation that draws are persisting despite the rise in supply. On Friday, traders were met with the 23rd week of an increase in activated oil rigs in the US per Baker Hughes International, but the sellers did not control ...
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