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Forex Technical/Fundamental Analysis & Forecast by RoboForex

This is a discussion on Forex Technical/Fundamental Analysis & Forecast by RoboForex within the Analytics and News forums, part of the Trading Forum category; Brent awaits the outcome of the Beijing summit Following a rise, Brent quotes declined to the 103.00 USD area and ...

      
   
  1. #611
    Senior Member Vlad RF's Avatar
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    Brent awaits the outcome of the Beijing summit

    Following a rise, Brent quotes declined to the 103.00 USD area and froze ahead of the outcome of the talks between the US President and the President of China. Find out more in our analysis for 14 May 2026.

    Technical outlook

    On the H4 chart, Brent prices formed a Hammer reversal pattern near the lower Bollinger Band. At this stage, Brent quotes may continue their upward wave following the pattern signal, with the first upside target at the 108.45 resistance level.



    Brent crude oil is awaiting the outcome of the Beijing talks on the Middle East conflict.

    Read more - Brent Forecast

    Attention!
    Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

    Sincerely,
    The RoboForex Team

  2. #612
    Senior Member Vlad RF's Avatar
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    US Tech forecast: the index hits a new all-time high

    The US Tech index has reached another all-time high, marking one of the strongest streaks of trading sessions this year. The US Tech forecast for next week is positive.

    US Tech forecast: key takeaways

    • Recent data: US inflation rate rose to 3.8% year-on-year in April
    • Market impact: the effect on the technology sector is mixed

    Fundamental analysis

    The US CPI release at 3.8% year-on-year, above the forecast of 3.7% and the previous reading of 3.3%, is a negative signal for the US Tech index. Official BLS data shows headline inflation accelerating, with core inflation excluding food and energy also up to 2.8% year-on-year from 2.6% the month before.

    For the US Tech, such news is typically perceived as particularly sensitive, as technology stocks rely heavily on expectations for future earnings growth. When the inflation rate comes in above forecast, investors are more likely to revise their rate and bond yield expectations.

    RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

    Attention!
    Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.


    Sincerely,
    The RoboForex Team

  3. #613
    Senior Member Vlad RF's Avatar
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    Time is working against the market: USDCAD is ready for a decisive move

    Against the backdrop of escalating geopolitical tension, USDCAD is in a difficult position. The current quote is 1.3735. More details are in our analysis for 18 May 2026.

    Technical outlook

    On the H4 chart, the USDCAD price formed a Harami reversal pattern near the upper Bollinger Band. At this stage, it may continue the corrective wave as part of the received signal. Since quotes remain within the boundaries of an upward channel, a pullback to the nearest support at 1.3690 can be expected.



    The escalation of the conflict in the Middle East is exerting a dual impact on USDCAD.

    Read more - USDCAD Forecast

    Attention!
    Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

    Sincerely,
    The RoboForex Team

  4. #614
    Senior Member Vlad RF's Avatar
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    US 500 forecast: the index has started a correction

    After reaching a new all-time high, the US 500 index has started a correction, which may develop into a downtrend. The US 500 forecast for today is negative.

    US 500 forecast: key takeaways

    • Recent data: US CPI rose to 3.8% year-on-year in April
    • Market impact: the data has a moderately negative effect on the US stock market

    Fundamental analysis

    The increase in US annual inflation to 3.8%, above the forecast of 3.7% and the previous 3.3%, may have a moderately negative impact on the US 500 index. The data shows that inflationary pressures in the US economy are strengthening faster than expected, reducing the likelihood of imminent monetary easing by the Federal Reserve.

    For the US stock market overall, this news is a restraining factor. Higher inflation reduces consumers’ real purchasing power, increases companies’ costs, and worsens expectations for future profits.

    RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

    Attention!
    Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.


    Sincerely,
    The RoboForex Team

  5. #615
    Senior Member Vlad RF's Avatar
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    GBPUSD is in a difficult position: too many pressure factors

    The GBPUSD pair fell to 1.3400 and then stalled. The political crisis in the UK is unlikely to end quickly. Find out more in our analysis for 20 May 2026.

    Technical outlook

    On the H4 chart, the GBPUSD pair remains under pressure after a confident decline from the May highs near 1.3640. After a series of failed attempts to consolidate above 1.3600, the market moved into a deeper correction.



    The GBPUSD pair fell and has now paused.

    Read more - GBPUSD Forecast

    Attention!
    Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

    Sincerely,
    The RoboForex Team

  6. #616
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    JP 225 forecast: the index enters a downtrend

    The JP 225 stock index broke below the support level and entered a downtrend. The JP 225 forecast for today is negative.

    JP 225 forecast: key takeaways

    • Recent data: Japan’s Q1 GDP rose by 0.5%
    • Market impact: the effect on the Japanese stock market is moderately positive

    Fundamental analysis

    Japan’s GDP growth of 0.5%, above the forecast of 0.4% and the previous 0.2%, is, overall, a moderately positive signal for the JP 225. The data indicates that Japan’s economy is expanding faster than expected, meaning corporate revenue, domestic demand, and business activity may receive additional support.

    For the JP 225, such data could become a growth driver, since stronger-than-expected macroeconomic releases typically improve investor sentiment towards cyclical stocks. However, the market reaction may be mixed.

    RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

    Attention!
    Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.


    Sincerely,
    The RoboForex Team

  7. #617
    Senior Member Vlad RF's Avatar
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    AUDUSD on the edge as the market awaits a US-Iran truce

    The Australian dollar is losing ground amid labour market weakness. At the moment, the price is testing the 0.7130 level. Find more details in our analysis for 22 May 2026.

    Technical outlook

    On the H4 chart, the AUDUSD pair formed an Inverted Hammer reversal pattern near the lower Bollinger Band. At this stage, quotes remain within an ascending channel and could continue the upward wave after the correction as the pattern signal plays out.



    The Australian dollar lost ground following the Australian employment data release.

    Read more - AUDUSD Forecast

    Attention!
    Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

    Sincerely,
    The RoboForex Team

  8. #618
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    DE 40 forecast: the index continues to trade within a sideways trend

    The upward trend in the DE 40 stock index has shifted into a sideways movement, although the tendency towards growth remains intact. The DE 40 forecast for today is positive.

    DE 40 forecast: key takeaways

    • Recent data: Germany’s GDP for Q1 2026 increased by 0.3%
    • Market impact: the data creates a positive backdrop for the German equity market

    Fundamental analysis

    Germany’s GDP growth of 0.3% quarter-on-quarter, in line with forecasts of 0.3% and above the previous reading of 0.2%, represents a moderately positive signal for the DE 40 index. The fact that the figure matched expectations means the market is unlikely to receive a strong surprise-driven impulse.

    For the German equity market, such statistics appear generally favourable, although the effect will likely remain restrained. Since the actual figure matched forecasts, a significant portion of positive expectations may already have been priced in.

    RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

    Attention!
    Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.


    Sincerely,
    The RoboForex Team

  9. #619
    Senior Member Vlad RF's Avatar
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    Brent in positive territory: tensions are rising again in the Strait of Hormuz

    Brent prices are rising towards 95.22 USD, driven by the news. Risks of complications in the Middle East are once again a concern. Find more details in our analysis for 26 May 2026.

    Technical outlook

    On the H4 chart, Brent crude remains under strong pressure after a sharp downward reversal from the May highs in the 108–109 USD per barrel area. The latest downward wave intensified amid expectations of a possible agreement between the US and Iran and hopes for the restoration of supplies through the Strait of Hormuz.



    Brent prices climbed higher amid the challenging external environment.

    Read more - Brent Forecast

    Attention!
    Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

    Sincerely,
    The RoboForex Team

  10. #620
    Senior Member Vlad RF's Avatar
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    US 30 index forecast: the index reaches a new all-time high

    The US 30 index hit a new all-time high and then began to correct. The US 30 forecast for today is positive.

    US 30 forecast: key takeaways

    • Recent data: preliminary US manufacturing PMI came in at 55.3 in May
    • Market impact: the data is positive for the stock market

    Fundamental analysis

    The US manufacturing PMI was significantly better than expected, coming in at 55.3, above the forecast of 53.8 and the previous reading of 54.5. This indicates an acceleration in business activity in the industry and confirms that the US manufacturing sector remains in an expansion phase, since readings above 50.0 are typically interpreted as growth.

    This data could be supportive for the US 30 index, as large industrial, financial, consumer, and infrastructure companies account for a significant proportion of its composition.

    RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

    Attention!
    Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.


    Sincerely,
    The RoboForex Team

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