Forex Technical/Fundamental Analysis & Forecast by RoboForex

USDJPY ignores BoJ signals and continues to rise

The USDJPY rate continues its confident upward movement, supported by geopolitical tension and steady demand for the US dollar. The rate currently stands at 159.41. Discover more in our analysis for 26 March 2026.

Technical outlook

USDJPY quotes have consolidated above the upper boundary of the previously formed descending channel, indicating a shift in the short-term trend towards growth. Buyers are confidently holding the price above the EMA-65, confirming stronger bullish pressure.



The combination of geopolitical risks, steady demand for the US dollar.

Read more - USDJPY Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

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The RoboForex Team

The Australian dollar back in play: how US inflation and the Consumer Sentiment Index may strengthen AUDUSD

After losing ground, the Australian dollar is making another attempt to recover, with AUDUSD quotes testing the 0.6890 level. Discover more in our analysis for 27 March 2026.

AUDUSD forecast: key takeaways

• US inflation expectations from the University of Michigan: previously at 3.4%, projected at 3.4%
• University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index: previously at 56.6, projected at 55.5
• AUDUSD forecast for 27 March 2026: 0.6960

Fundamental analysis

Today’s AUDUSD forecast favours the Australian dollar, which has every chance of recovering against the USD, with the pair currently trading around 0.6890.

According to the forecast for 27 March 2026, US inflation expectations from the University of Michigan may remain unchanged at 3.4%. It is worth remembering that the indicator had been falling for several months from 4.2 to 3.4. Actual data at the previous level can be considered neutral, indicating some stabilisation in the US economy. However, a worse-than-expected actual reading may affect the AUDUSD rate, strengthening the Australian dollar.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

The ECB is ready to raise rates: what awaits EURUSD in the coming days

The EURUSD rate has stalled ahead of the release of US employment data. After falling, quotes are forming a correction and are hovering around the 1.1530 level. Find out more in our analysis for 3 April 2026.

Technical outlook

On the H4 chart, the EURUSD pair has formed a Hammer reversal pattern near the lower Bollinger Band and could develop a corrective wave following this signal. Since quotes remain within a descending channel, the upper boundary near the 1.1580 mark may act as the pullback target.



The market has frozen in anticipation of US labour market data and signals on ECB and Fed interest rates.

Read more - EURUSD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

USDJPY is entering a range: the market needs news

The USDJPY pair declined to 159.56 at the start of the week, but this is temporary. The Middle East conflict is still influencing market decisions. Discover more in our analysis for 6 April 2026.

USDJPY forecast: key takeaways

• The USDJPY pair is moving into a range amid continued geopolitical pressure
• The market expects the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates soon
• USDJPY forecast for 6 April 2026: 158.50 or 160.00

Fundamental analysis

The USDJPY rate is declining to 159.56 on Monday. Despite the correction, the yen remains near its weakest levels since July 2024, with pressure on the Japanese currency increasing amid the escalating conflict around Iran and rising energy prices.

US President Donald Trump stated that strikes on Iran’s energy and civilian infrastructure may begin within the next few days if the Strait of Hormuz is not reopened. Tehran rejected these demands, and the water route remains effectively blocked.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

Final countdown for USDJPY: ultimatum, rumours of peace, and the threat of intervention

The USDJPY pair is balancing on the edge of a breakout above the 160.00 level and intervention by the Japanese government. Quotes are testing the 159.80 mark. Discover more in our analysis for 7 April 2026.

Technical outlook

On the H4 chart, the USDJPY pair has formed a Hammer reversal pattern near the lower Bollinger Band and is hovering around 159.70. Since the price remains within an ascending channel, it may break resistance and continue its upward trajectory following the pattern’s signal, with the upside target at 161.00.



The USDJPY pair is on the verge of a breakout above 160.00 and intervention by the Japanese government.

Read more - USDJPY Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

Gold (XAUUSD) in positive territory, but the pause looks fragile

Gold (XAUUSD) prices rose to 4,800 USD. A catastrophe in the Middle East has not happened so far. Find more details in our analysis for 8 April 2026.

XAUUSD forecast: key takeaways

• Gold (XAUUSD) is in positive territory, but there are still too many geopolitical risks
• Since the start of the Middle East conflict, gold has fallen by 25% from its peak values
• XAUUSD forecast for 8 April 2026: 4,700 or 4,850

Fundamental analysis

Gold (XAUUSD) rose by more than 2% on Wednesday, moving above the 4,800 USD per ounce mark and continuing its recovery. The market received support from Donald Trump’s statements about postponing strikes on Iran’s civilian infrastructure for two weeks to complete negotiations.

Less than two hours before the set deadline, Trump announced a bilateral ceasefire on condition that the Strait of Hormuz is reopened. He also reported receiving a 10-point proposal from Iran, which he described as a working basis for further negotiations.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

XAUUSD caught in a trap: ceasefire, oil, and the Fed have thrown the market into chaos

Gold remains hostage to geopolitics, oil prices, and Federal Reserve decisions. After a sharp surge, XAUUSD quotes lost ground, hovering around 4,720 USD. Discover more in our analysis for 9 April 2026

Technical outlook

On the H4 chart, XAUUSD prices have formed a Hammer reversal pattern near the middle Bollinger Band and could develop an upward wave following the pattern’s signal. Since XAUUSD prices remain within an ascending channel, the upside target could be the 4,970 USD mark.



Gold is reacting sharply to geopolitical risks and demand for the USD.

Read more - Gold Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

US Tech forecast: the index resumed its upward movement with a strong impulse

The US Tech index broke through resistance with a strong impulse and formed an uptrend. The US Tech forecast for next week is negative.

US Tech forecast: key takeaways

• Recent data: U.S. GDP for March increased by 0.5%
• Market impact: for the technology sector, the current data are mixed

Fundamental analysis

The release of the U.S. GDP data looks restrainedly negative for the US Tech index overall. The U.S. economy grew only 0.5% (annualized) in Q4 2025, while the consensus expected 0.7%, and the previous quarter showed growth of 4.4%. This signals a noticeable slowdown in business activity and confirms that the economy entered 2026 with weaker momentum than the market had assumed.

For US Tech, the initial reaction may be mixed, but in the base scenario the news is more likely to worsen the fundamental backdrop. On the one hand, weaker GDP is a signal of more moderate economic growth, meaning the market may revise down expectations for sales growth at companies tied to advertising, corporate budgets, e-commerce, and consumer activity.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

Gold (XAUUSD) weekly forecast: consolidation with downside risks

Gold (XAUUSD) enters the week of 13–17 April in the 4,700–4,750 USD per ounce range after volatile moves and an attempt to stabilise. Pressure persists amid a fragile ceasefire in the Middle East and uncertainty around the Strait of Hormuz.

Technical outlook

The XAUUSD daily chart shows that after a prolonged uptrend, the market formed a peak near 5,500 and moved into a correction phase. The decline was sharp and impulsive, with a series of long bearish candlesticks indicating aggressive profit-taking and a shift in short-term sentiment.



Gold (XAUUSD) prices are holding near 4,700 USD per ounce after sharp swings and an attempt to recover.

Read more - Gold Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

US 500 forecast: the index resumed growth on positive expectations from the Iran–US talks

The US 500 index formed an uptrend due to the start of talks between the US and Iran, but the threat of the US blocking the Strait of Hormuz triggered a corrective decline. The US 500 forecast for today is negative.

US 500 forecast: key takeaways

• Recent data: US CPI in March came in at 3.3% year-on-year
• Market impact: the data is positive for the stock market

Fundamental analysis

US inflation data showing annual consumer price growth at 3.3% versus a 3.4% forecast appears moderately positive for the US 500 at first glance, as the actual figure came in slightly below market expectations. For investors, this suggests price pressure was not as strong as previously feared. However, it is also important to note that the previous reading was notably lower at 2.4%, meaning inflation still accelerated compared to the previous period.

Overall, this data creates a mixed but rather supportive backdrop for the US 500. The positive aspect is that inflation did not exceed the forecast, so the pressure on the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy may be somewhat lower than it would have been with a higher reading.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team