Forex Technical/Fundamental Analysis & Forecast by RoboForex

US 500 forecast: the index enters downtrend

After reaching its all-time high, the US 500 has entered a downtrend. The US 500 forecast for today is positive.

US 500 forecast: key takeaways

• Recent data: US initial jobless claims totalled 231 thousand last week
• Market impact: the data has a negative impact on the equity market

Fundamental analysis

The release of US initial jobless claims (231 thousand versus a forecast of 212 thousand and 209 thousand the previous week) provides a moderately negative short-term signal for the US 500 index, as it points to a more noticeable cooling of the labour market than the consensus expectation. At the same time, it is important to consider the scale: the level of claims remains below crisis levels and closer to the historically normal range.

For the US 500 index, the key factor in such conditions is typically the reaction of expectations regarding the Fed’s interest rate. If the market interprets the increase in claims as a factor reducing the likelihood of further monetary tightening, some of the negative impact on stocks may be offset through lower bond yields and improved valuations of companies’ future cash flows.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

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Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

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The RoboForex Team

The pound gains strength: will GBPUSD withstand the impact of US employment data

Ahead of US employment statistics, the GBPUSD pair is forming an upward wave, with quotes testing the 1.3660 level. Discover more in our analysis for 11 February 2026.

GBPUSD technical analysis

Having tested the lower Bollinger Band, the GBPUSD pair formed a Hammer reversal pattern on the H4 chart and may continue its upward movement following the pattern’s signal. The current upside target stands at 1.3770. A breakout above this resistance will open the door for continued upward momentum.



Amid expectations of US employment statistics, the pound continues to strengthen.

Read more - GBPUSD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

XAUUSD continues to rise: why the Fed will not be able to weaken gold in March

Employment growth and positive US economic data failed to provide sufficient support to the USD, while XAUUSD quotes continue to rise and are testing the 5,070 USD level. Discover more in our analysis for 12 February 2026.

XAUUSD forecast: key takeaways

• US initial jobless claims: previously at 231 thousand, projected at 222 thousand
• Change in US Nonfarm Payrolls: previously at 48 thousand, currently at 130 thousand
• XAUUSD forecast for 12 February 2026: 5,280

Fundamental analysis

Today’s XAUUSD forecast indicates that gold prices continue their upward trajectory, trading near 5,070 USD per ounce.

US initial jobless claims reflect the number of people who filed for unemployment benefits for the first time during the previous week. This indicator measures the labour market climate, with an increase in initial jobless claims indicating rising unemployment.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

Gold (XAUUSD) fell sharply without a clear trigger: the week may close in negative territory

Gold (XAUUSD) prices returned to 4,960 USD after yesterday’s sharp drop. Markets appear to need liquidity again. Find more details in our analysis for 13 February 2026.

XAUUSD technical analysis

After January’s surge towards 5,500+, gold (XAUUSD) entered a phase of sharp correction and high volatility. The decline was accompanied by widening Bollinger Bands and long candlestick wicks, reflecting active position redistribution.



Gold has recovered after yesterday’s sell-off, although risks remain.

Read more - Gold Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

USDCAD in neutral: statistics will determine everything

The USDCAD pair stands at 1.3616 on Monday. The focus is on fresh inflation data from Canada. Find out more in our analysis for 16 February 2026.

USDCAD forecast: key takeaways

• The USDCAD pair stabilised after last week’s volatility
• Investors are focused on Canadian inflation data due on Tuesday
• USDCAD forecast for 16 February 2026: 1.3490 or 1.3725

Fundamental analysis

The USDCAD pair starts the week at 1.3616. Previously, the Canadian dollar declined moderately but managed to retain most of its weekly gains thanks to signals of slowing inflation in the US.

The focus is on Canada’s January CPI, scheduled for release on Tuesday. Annual inflation is expected to remain at 2.4%. This could influence expectations regarding the Bank of Canada’s future policy.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

USDJPY: everything is complex and dynamic

The USDJPY pair dipped to 153.20, with the market monitoring monetary policy and incoming data. Find out more in our analysis for 17 February 2026.

USDJPY technical analysis

On the H4 chart, the USDJPY pair is trading around 153.20 after a sharp decline from 157.50–158.00. The chart clearly shows a shift in momentum: after a failed attempt to consolidate above 157.50, an accelerated sell-off began, with the price breaking below the middle line of Bollinger Bands.



The USDJPY pair maintains a moderately bearish sentiment.

Read more - USDJPY Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

Brent prices on the verge of records: decline in US oil inventories could trigger surge

Economic data and a decline in US oil inventories support Brent quotes, which have reached 70.00 USD per barrel. Find out more in our analysis for 19 February 2026.

Technical outlook

On the H4 chart, Brent quotes formed a Hammer reversal pattern after testing the lower Bollinger Band. At this stage, they continue to develop an upward wave in line with the pattern signal.



Amid expectations of US oil inventory data, Brent quotes continue to strengthen.

Read more - Brent Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

XAUUSD at a crossroads: US GDP and inflation could trigger a decline in gold prices

Gold (XAUUSD) continues to move sideways, trading around 5,000 USD. Find more details in our analysis for 20 February 2026.

XAUUSD forecast: key takeaways

• US Q4 GDP: previously at 4.4%, projected at 2.8%
• US core PCE price index: previously at 0.2%, projected at 0.3%
• XAUUSD forecast for 20 February 2026: 5,100 or 4,920

Fundamental analysis

Today’s XAUUSD price forecast indicates that gold is forming a sideways wave after recent growth. At this stage, XAUUSD quotes are trading around 5,000 USD per ounce.

The XAUUSD outlook for 20 February 2026 takes into account the release of US GDP data. GDP represents the total value of all final goods and services produced in a country, calculated based on end products excluding the cost of raw materials.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

Gold (XAUUSD) weekly forecast: the decline does not cancel the overall uptrend

Gold (XAUUSD) enters the week of 23–27 February in a consolidation phase after a pullback to 4,960 USD per ounce. Pressure on prices came from signals in the FOMC minutes and a reduction in expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts.

Technical outlook

On the daily chart, gold (XAUUSD) maintains an upward structure despite a sharp correction from the all-time highs near 5,540. After a momentum-driven rally, the market formed a deep pullback but held above the key 4,378 support level – a strong reversal earlier took place there.



Gold (XAUUSD) dipped to 4,960 USD per ounce last week after a pullback from highs near 5,540.

Read more - Gold Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

Brent: buyers are building momentum ahead of new price surge

Brent crude prices continue to rise amid sustained technical strength and escalating geopolitical tensions, currently trading at 71.50 USD. Discover more in our analysis for 24 February 2026.

Brent forecast: key takeaways

• Investors are pricing in the likelihood of negative scenarios and increasing defensive positions
• Prices are rising on expectations of escalating risks rather than actual supply disruptions
• Further movement will depend on news from the US and Iran and overall geopolitical rhetoric

Fundamental analysis

Brent quotes have strengthened for the second consecutive session, although buyers continue to face strong resistance around 71.65 USD. While attempts to consolidate above this level have so far been unsuccessful, the technical outlook remains bullish. Previously, buyers broke above a Triangle pattern, maintaining the potential for further upward movement.

Geopolitics is currently the key market driver. Prices are rising mainly on expectations of escalating risks rather than actual supply reductions. Market participants are proactively pricing in negative scenarios and increasing defensive positions.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team