Forex Technical/Fundamental Analysis & Forecast by RoboForex

US 500 forecast: the index is once again heading towards a new all-time high

The US 500 may enter a correction, but the medium-term uptrend remains intact. The US 500 forecast for today is negative.

US 500 forecast: key trading points

• Recent data: the US core PCE came in at 2.8% year-on-year
• Market impact: these figures are generally positive for the stock market

Fundamental analysis

The published core PCE figure came in at 2.8% year-on-year, below the forecast of 2.9% and the previous reading of 2.9%. For the market, this is an important signal, as the core PCE remains the Federal Reserve’s key inflation gauge. The decline shows that inflationary pressure continues to ease, reducing the need for the Fed to maintain a tight monetary stance and increasing the likelihood of a more dovish rate path in the coming months.

For the US 500, such data is a moderately positive factor. The market reaction is likely to tilt upwards, as expectations of further easing in inflation reduce uncertainty around the Fed’s decisions. However, the rise is unlikely to be sharp: the figure declined by only 0.1 percentage point, and inflation is already close to the range the Fed considers sustainable.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

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Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

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The RoboForex Team

Gold (XAUUSD) in waiting mode: the decision is up to the Federal Reserve

Gold (XAUUSD) stalled near 4,210 USD. The Fed will define the near-term outlook. Find out more in our analysis for 10 December 2025.

XAUUSD technical analysis

On the H4 chart, gold (XAUUSD) continues its sideways movement following the earlier bullish impulse that lifted prices towards the 4,265 resistance level. Quotes continue to fluctuate within the 4,163–4,240 range, without forming a clear trend as the market awaits the Federal Reserve decision.



XAUUSD quotes are hovering within a range ahead of the Fed decision.

Read more - Gold Forecast

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Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

JP 225 forecast: the index continues to rise

The JP 225 equity index trades within a narrow corridor between resistance and support. The forecast for JP 225 today is positive.

JP 225 forecast: key trading points

• Recent data: Japan’s GDP contracted by 0.60% quarter-on-quarter
• Market impact: the effect on the Japanese equity market is moderately negative

Fundamental analysis

Japan’s GDP decreased by -0.6% quarter-on-quarter, which came in weaker than forecasts and significantly below the previous expansion. The result shows a clear slowdown in economic activity: consumer spending, investment and exports all weakened. This increases investors’ concerns about the pace of economic recovery and the resilience of corporate profits. For Japan’s equity market, such numbers act as a restraining factor. Market participants usually treat a weak GDP print as a signal of elevated risks for companies.

JP 225 faces short-term pressure due to concerns about economic momentum. However, further dynamics depend on the stance of the Bank of Japan. If the regulator signals a readiness to support the economy, this could limit the index’s decline and soften the negative effect.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

AUDUSD on the verge of a major breakout: fundamentals align perfectly

The RBA continues to support the Australian dollar, and AUDUSD may extend its rise toward the 0.6710 level. Details — in our analysis for 12 December 2025.

AUDUSD technical analysis

On the H4 chart, AUDUSD tested the upper Bollinger Band and formed a Hanging Man reversal pattern. At this stage, prices continue to develop a corrective wave as part of the pattern’s execution. The nearest pullback target is the support level at 0.6635.



Overall, the AUDUSD outlook remains favorable for the Australian dollar.

Read more - AUDUSD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

DE 40 forecast: the index reached its target level and corrected

The DE 40 stock index has corrected, but the support level has held and the trend remains upward. The DE 40 forecast for today is positive.

DE 40 forecast: key trading points

• Recent data: Germany’s CPI declined by 0.2% m/m
• Market impact: the data creates a mixed backdrop for the German equity market

Fundamental analysis

Germany reported a monthly CPI change of -0.2% m/m. The figure matched market expectations (-0.2%) but was significantly lower than the previous reading (+0.3%). In practical terms, this indicates a short-term decline in consumer prices and easing inflationary pressure compared with the previous month. For the German equity market, the key transmission channel is expectations for interest rates and bond yields. Lower inflation generally reduces the likelihood that the euro area will need to maintain high interest rates for an extended period.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

The dollar on thin ice: US labor market data could ignite EURUSD

The euro continues to strengthen against the US dollar, with EURUSD quotes testing the 1.1750 level. Details — in our analysis for 16 December 2025.

EURUSD technical analysis

On the H4 chart, EURUSD has formed a Hammer reversal pattern near the lower Bollinger Band. At this stage, the pair may continue its upward wave as part of the pattern’s follow-through. Given that prices remain within an ascending channel, EURUSD may move toward the 1.1800 level.



The euro continues to strengthen amid upcoming US labor market data.

Read more - EURUSD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

AUDUSD loses ground ahead of the regulator’s minutes release

The AUDUSD rate has resumed its decline amid investor uncertainty over the RBA’s next policy steps. The current quote is 0.6604. Details — in our analysis for 19 December 2025.

AUDUSD forecast: key trading points

• The Australian dollar remains under pressure ahead of the release of the RBA’s December meeting minutes
• The market is looking for signals on the future direction of monetary policy
• AUDUSD forecast for 19 December 2025: 0.6515

Fundamental analysis

The AUDUSD rate resumed its decline after yesterday’s corrective rebound. The currency pair is moving lower as part of the implementation of a Head and Shoulders reversal pattern, with the nearest downside target located in the 0.6530 area.

The Australian dollar remains under pressure ahead of the publication of the minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia’s December meeting. Market participants are hoping to obtain clearer signals regarding the future outlook for monetary policy. The document, due to be released next week, is expected to reveal the nature of the board’s discussions on the possibility of policy tightening, as well as the regulator’s level of concern about inflation risks.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

The Fed pushes gold higher: XAUUSD updates its all-time high

The Fed’s interest rate cut continues to support gold. XAUUSD has updated its all-time high and is trading near the 4,395 USD level. Details — in our analysis for 22 December 2025.

XAUUSD technical analysis

On the H4 chart, XAUUSD formed a Hammer reversal pattern near the middle Bollinger Band. At this stage, the price continues its upward wave as part of the pattern’s realization. Given that XAUUSD quotes remain within an ascending channel, the next upside target may be the 4,450 USD level.



The XAUUSD forecast for December 22, 2025 is fully bullish for gold.

Read more - Gold Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

New XAUUSD high: U.S. macro data weighs on the dollar

The U.S. dollar continues to lose ground against gold, with XAUUSD setting another record after testing the 4,497 USD level. Details — in our analysis for 23 December 2025.

XAUUSD forecast: key trading points

• U.S. GDP Q3: previous value — 3.8%, forecast — 3.2%
• U.S. CB Consumer Confidence Index: previous value — 88.7, forecast — 83.4
• Current trend: moving upwards
• XAUUSD forecast for 23 December 2025: 4,550 or 4,440

Fundamental analysis

Today’s XAUUSD price outlook shows that gold continues its upward trend. At this stage, prices have updated another all-time high and are trading around the 4,480 USD per ounce level.

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) represents the total value of all goods and services produced in a country, calculated based on final output without including the cost of raw materials.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

EURUSD: the pair trades near the yearly high

The EURUSD exchange rate is trading near the 1.1800 level, close to the yearly high, amid mixed economic data from the United States. Details — in our analysis for 24 December 2025.

EURUSD technical analysis

On the H4 chart, EURUSD quotes continue to strengthen, rising toward the 1.1800 level. The Alligator indicator has also turned upward along with price action, suggesting that the euro’s growth may continue. The key support level currently stands at 1.1700.



The EURUSD price has climbed to the 1.1800 level amid mixed US economic data.

Read more - EURUSD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team