-
Forecast for AUD/USD on November 24, 2020
AUD/USD
The Australian dollar lost 15 points under the overall optimistic pressure of the US dollar on Monday. But while the Australian currency is in no hurry to leave the range of the last six trading sessions, it needs to make sure that the market intends to further strengthen the US currency. During this waiting time, even if it does not work out the upper target of 0.7380, AUD/USD can form a double divergence with the Marlin oscillator. The most important economic data for Australia will only be available next week, such as Quarter 3 GDP, trade balance, PMI, and construction. Since the RBA meeting will take place on Tuesday, December 1, the "kangaroo" can feel quite free until the end of the week.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...c7376d3e13.jpg
On the four-hour chart, the price consolidated under the MACD indicator line, the Marlin oscillator briefly went into the negative zone, and this morning it is trying to get back into the growth zone. Neutrality is also observed here on the four-hour scale. It still waits for the price to fall below the level of 0.7260, which is under the daily MACD line.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...c73955e2c1.jpg
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
AUD/USD Forecast for November 25, 2020
AUD / USD
The Australian Dollar successfully took advantage of yesterday's weakness of the US Dollar. On the weakening of the dollar index by 0.40%, 75 points (1.02%) were added to the Australian currency. The price reached the target level of 0.7380 this morning and at the same time formed a triple divergence (on the bodies of candles) with the Marlin oscillator.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...dc6b14c034.jpg
With the greatest probability, the price can now turn down with an attack on the support of the Kruzenshtern line (0.7255), which coincides with the level of the lows on November 19 and 10 (and also on September 4).
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...dc6bed5494.jpg
On the four-hour chart, the price is above the balance line and the Kruzenshtern line. The Marlin oscillator held yesterday's price growth in the sideways direction which may be an early sign of a reversal or correction. Fixing the price under the Kruzenshtern line (0.7342) will be the first sign of a reversal, after which it is advisable to wait for confirmation of this signal and opening short positions. Confirmation may be the departure of Marlin in the negative area, this will be approximately when the price reaches the level of 0.7330.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
Forex Analysis & Reviews: AUD/USD Forecast for November 26, 2020
AUD/USD
The Australian Dollar was ready yesterday to turn from the target resistance 0.7380, a decline of 50 points, but the European currencies showed the optimism of American investors out of the market before today's holiday. As a result the Aussie closed the day up 5 points. The potential for divergence formation on the daily chart remains. The level of 0.7380 has not been overcome but the probability of this has increased. The target in this case is the 0.7440 level.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...f18b7c91be.jpg
On the four-hour chart, the price punctured the Kruzenshtern line twice yesterday but this was in a growing trend, as the price remained above the balance indicator line. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator has created a wedge-shaped structure, from which an upward exit is expected.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...f18c7c0505.jpg
So, with a probability of 80%, the price is likely to go above the level of 0.7380 and further increase to 0.7440.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on November 27, 2020
EUR/USD
In the absence of American investors in the market, the euro did not dare to overcome the important resistance of the upper line of the price channel on the daily chart on Thursday. Confusion made it possible for a divergence reversal to form with the Marlin oscillator. European stock indexes also showed no desire to rise yesterday, the main ones closed the day with a slight decline. Obviously, the markets will not grow today either, as any negotiations between the UK and the EU on Brexit may end on Monday.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...0673b9010b.jpg
At the moment, the daily price is between the MACD line and the price channel line. The price can't go up, but now it can slightly go down on closing long positions. Direct short deals on the euro may begin next week.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...067488ea12.jpg
The four-hour chart shows that the price is still receiving support from the MACD line, but the signal line of the Marlin oscillator did not rise from its own range (gray rectangle), as we expected yesterday, but now this line can go down from the range. A signal to open short positions is when the price falls below yesterday's low of 1.1885.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Gold price breaks $1,800
Gold is trading below $1,800 and today it made a new lower low at $1,773. In our latest Gold analysis when price was trading near $1,810-20 resistance area by the bearish channel, we noted the bearish flag pattern and that we expect Gold price to move to new lows towards $1,770-50. The upper side of the target range has been reached today.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...1273496940.jpg
Blue lines - bearish channel
Gold price is moving lower in a textbook style as price gets rejected at the upper channel boundary resistance and breaks lower towards $1,770. Trend is clearly bearish and no sign of reversal yet. Gold price will most probably continue lower. A bounce towards $1,800 is not out of the question but it would not be something we would bet on.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on December 1, 2020
EUR/USD
According to news agencies, stock market participants took profits yesterday, due to which the S&P 500 fell by 0.46%, and the Dow Jones -0.91%. Trading volumes were large, a sign of flight from the stock market before the announcement of the UK's exit from the EU without a deal. The euro lost 35 points on the same expectations, falling from the day's high with 77 points. The price slightly fell short of the target level 1.2010/40. Divergence on the daily chart is gaining strength
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...5b13a7d325.jpg
Taking the high volumes of yesterday's trading into account, which were the highest for the euro over the past two weeks, investors are unlikely to want to try to take it a second time. Now we are waiting for the price to move under the MACD line (1.1896) and the attack on support at 1.1750. If successful, it will be followed by - reaching the lower embedded line of the price channel in the 1.1620 area.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...5b14902e29.jpg
The four-hour chart shows that the signal line of the Marlin oscillator has returned to the lower border of its own range. At the same time, the price reached the support of the MACD indicator line. Since the price overcame yesterday's low of 1.1926, it is possible to open short deals while aiming for 1.1750 and 1.1620.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for AUD/USD on December 2, 2020
AUD / USD
The Australian dollar does not share the great optimism of European currencies and went up by only 27 points yesterday, remaining in the range of Monday until this morning. Even on today's GDP data for the 3rd quarter that showed growth of 3.3% against expectations of 2.5%, the "Aussie" did not react and the price is in no hurry to overcome the target level at the resistance of 0.7380.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...7015aceed2.jpg
Yesterday's RBA meeting was cautiously negative as the regulator does not expect the economy to recover until the end of next year. It is very possible that this definition includes a version of a hard Brexit. The double divergence of the price with the oscillator on the daily scale remains. We are waiting for a reversal in the target range of 0.7222 / 52 in the area of the Kruzenshtern line and the price level of the minimum on November 12.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...7027c0fe60.jpg
Based on the four-hour chart, the price stopped at the Kruzenshtern line, which strengthened the level of 0.7380. The Marlin oscillator is held in the downward trend zone. Commodities and metals were cheaper yesterday and today keeping the Australian dollar from rising during a period of uncertainty in Europe. We are waiting for a slow decline in the Australian currency to 0.7340 with the overcoming of the level, the fall may accelerate.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for AUD/USD on December 3, 2020
AUD/USD
The Australian dollar managed to show yesterday another maximum of the last 3 months, which was caused by the growth of the Euro. But this "Australian" strengthened only the spring that is preparing to push down – the Marlin divergence has already become triple. The decline target is seen in the range of 0.7222 / 52, formed by the November 12 low and the Kruzenshtern line.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...84dcf651c3.jpg
Based on the four-hour chart, the price is fixed above both the indicator lines - the balance line and the Kruzenshtern line, Marlin indicates growth. But here we see a repeat of the situation in recent weeks, when the price was freely wound on this indicator line in a relatively thin speculative market.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...84de2a090c.jpg
Fixing the price below 0.7384 could mean a start to overcome the level of 0.7340, which will already reveal the downward potential to the full. It is worth noting that the Australian dollar did not react to the excellent trade balance of Australia published this morning and the trade balance for October was 7.46 billion dollars against the forecast of 5.83 billion. Exports increased by 5.0%.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on December 4, 2020
EUR/USD
Brexit negotiations are ongoing. Only one agreement reached - to extend the negotiations over the weekend. As a result of this, the dollar index added 0.37%, the euro 32 points. Today we can expect data on labor in the US for November, unemployment is expected to drop from 6.9% to 6.8%, perhaps these data can stop the euro's growth. If investors do not close their long positions today, then they may suffer losses on Monday.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...9a2b279949.jpg
The euro has gone above the target level of 1.2117, reaching the upper level of 1.2230 is questionable, since the Marlin oscillator is turning down on the daily chart. Getting the price to settle under 1.2117 will mean a quick attack on the support line of the price channel at 1.2040, and going under it - falling further to 1.1922 - toward the MACD line.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...9a2bf5178e.jpg
The signal line of the Marlin oscillator has formed a triple top on the four-hour chart, which is a trend reversal pattern. Getting the price to settle below 1.2117 will make it possible for the price to attack the strong support at 1.2040 formed by the trend line of the higher chart, the low on December 2, approaching the level of the MACD line. Overcoming important support opens the way to 1.1922. We are waiting for the outcome of the Brexit negotiations.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Gold to end the week near intra weekly highs.
Gold price made another attempt towards $1,850 today but price got rejected once again. Bulls should get worried if after a rejection price moves away too far from $1,850. Bulls should be worried if after the rejection price breaks below short-term support of $1,820.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...aa147ea514.jpg
Blue rectangle - resistance area
Black lines -Fibonacci retracements
Gold price is trading near but below the key resistance of $1,850-60. This area was once key support and is now key resistance. I do not expect Gold to break this level, at least not now. I believe we will first see a pull back at least towards the 38% Fibonacci level if not towards the 61.8% before the resumption of the bullish move that started last week at $1,763. At current levels I prefer to be neutral if not bearish. Before weekend I avoid opening new positions. That is why I prefer to wait and see how Monday starts before jumping in the market and before choosing sides.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for GBP/USD on December 8, 2020
GBP/USD
The pound fell by 217 points due to yesterday's news about Prime Minister Boris Johnson's readiness to end the hopeless negotiation process on Brexit. Subsequently, the price won back most of the fall, and the day closed with a black candlestick at 58 points. The MACD line stopped the fall. If the negative Brexit scenario is confirmed (we consider it as the main one), a second attempt to attack the MACD line will be more successful, the target is the 1.3180 level.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...ee687529b4.jpg
The actual target will be the 1.3108 level (November 12 low). The double divergence according to Marlin has worked out, the signal line of the oscillator is about to move into the downward trend zone, which will strengthen the bearish market sentiment.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...ee69393b9b.jpg
The four-hour chart shows that the price has settled below the MACD line, yesterday's growth fell slightly short of this line and a reversal is taking place this morning. The first target for support is 1.3290, getting the pair to settle below it will strengthen the decline.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on December 9, 2020
EUR/USD
Yesterday, the euro dropped another 6 points after losing 13 points on Monday. Brexit negotiations are ongoing, but investors have already quit the recent frenzied speculation. In addition, the European Central Bank meeting will take place tomorrow after which the monetary policy adjustment will be announced, as expected, towards easing. The German trade balance for October will be released today, the forecast for which is 17.0 billion euros against 17.8 billion a month earlier. There is simply no reason for the euro to grow.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...039ad80c22.jpg
The daily chart shows that the price has settled below the target level of 1.2117, the signal line of the Marlin oscillator is heading towards the rising trend zone for the medium term. Getting the price to settle under the line of the increasing green channel in the area of 1.2037 and Marlin's departure into the zone of negative values will change the medium-term rising trend to a downward one. The closest target in this case will be the MACD line in the 1.1934 area.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...039bab85eb.jpg
The four-hour chart shows that the MACD line and the price are closer. Now, getting the price to settle below yesterday's low will correspond to doing so below the MACD line. After that, we are waiting for an attack on 1.2037. Marlin is already in the downward trend zone and is waiting for the price.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on December 10, 2020
EUR/USD
Today is the start of the EU summit, which is maybe the most dramatic event in the past six months. Now, here is a list of issues that are unlikely to find a solution:
Brexit, particularly the approval of a trade agreement that does not exist (Johnson's negotiations with Leyen only ended with the fact that they were postponed until Sunday) EU budget associated with economic stimulation, raising the issue of limiting carbon dioxide emissions Poland and Hungary's veto decision about the 1.8 trillion euro recovery fund Conflict between Greece and Turkey over the latter's violations on oil restrictions and gas exploration in the disputed waters of the Mediterranean Sea
ECB's decision on monetary policy will also be announced today. The officials of the Central Bank say that a decision will be made to increase the QE PEPP program from 1.35 trillion euros up to 2.0 trillion, and the extension of the TLTRO program. At the press conference, Christine Lagarde will likely leave an allowable range in understanding the relation to the base rate, which may be lowered in the near future.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...18a6440a79.jpg
The euro's attempt to consolidate above the level of 1.2117 ended unsuccessfully yesterday, which happened for three consecutive days. Thus, it lost 21 points.
The daily chart shows that the price is directed towards the support of the nested price channel line (1.2037). After breaking through which, it can further decline to the support of the MACD line in the area of 1.1934. Meanwhile, the Marlin oscillator is headed downwards.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...18a6440a79.jpg
The price on the four-hour chart has already settled below both indicator lines, while the Marlin oscillator is developing a downward mood in the negative area. It is likely to overcome the nearest support and further decline to the second target of 1.1934.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Trading signal for GBP/USD for December 10-11, 2020. Focus on Brexit.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...233a85adf2.jpg
British Prime Minister Boris Johnson, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and their negotiating teams did not achieve a much-desired breakthrough on Brexit. After concluding that they remain "very separate," the EU and the UK agreed to extend the talks until the end of the weekend. This can further weaken the British pound if they do not reach a deal before the transition period expires.
As talks continue in Brussels, the news is likely to move the British pound. Due to this, the British pound is under downward pressure on the 4-hour technical chart. However, it is facing an upward channel on the 4-hour timeframe and at the 200-day EMA.
Looking up, the resistance is at 1.3360, where the 21-period moving average is located, followed by 1.3427, 6/8 Murray. At the upper target of 1.3549 (7/8 Murray), we should wait until the pound breaks above the 21 day EMA. If so, we can place buy positions with a final target at 1.3670. This boost is sure to appear if good news about Brexit is released.
We gave detailed recommendations and made analysis on Monday and Tuesday. We will leave the links below so that you can review our statistics on GBP/USD. Now if you open a bearish position, you can still hold it until the price touches the 200-day EMA. If the price bounces in this area, we can expect a new upward momentum. If the bearish trend is too strong, we recommend selling the pair with targets at 1.3180 and 1.3060.
The market sentiment in the early American session shows that there are 56% of investors who are selling the pound sterling. If this figure decreases, we could see a bearish breakout of the key level of 1.3220, and the price could fall to the area of 1.3060 in the coming days. So please be careful if you enter the market with to buy. The last opportunity to buy is above the 200 EMA, below this level, the downward pressure may accelerate.
Trading tip for GBP/USD for December 10 – 11
Buy above 1.3360 (EMA 21), with take profit at 1.3427, stop loss below 1.3320.
Buy if the pair rebounds around 1.3255 (trend channel), with take profit at 1.3310 and 1.3360, stop loss below 1.3210.(EMA 200)
Buy if the pair rebounds around 1.3220 (EMA 200), with take profit at 1.3270 and 1.3305 (5/8), stop loss below 1.3180.
Review our analysis for December 08, GBP/USD.
Review our analysis for December 09, GBP/USD.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on December 14, 2020
EUR/USD
Prime Minister Boris Johnson's Sunday talks with Ursula von der Leyen ended in the fact that the deadline for the talks was postponed until December 31. It is not entirely clear how the ratification of the agreement will take place, but we believe that with this decision, the parties decided to disguise and soften Brexit without a deal, so as not to bring down the markets and shock the population.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...6d371615a1.jpg
The daily chart shows that the price is staying closer to the upper level of 1.2175, rather than to the support of 1.2037, so there is still a possibility of reaching the upper target of 1.2230 with the divergence forming with the Marlin oscillator. When the price approaches the support of the embedded line of the price channel (1.2037), it will strengthen the option of a reversal from the current levels, without preliminary growth. The current situation is neutral.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...6d37ddef10.jpg
The four-hour chart shows that the price has settled below the MACD line, but the signal line of the Marlin oscillator makes an attempt to enter the growth area, and this situation does not provide any advantage to any of the scenarios, the probability of growth and decline is the same.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for AUD/USD on December 15, 2020
AUD/USD
Over the past day, the situation for the Australian Dollar has not changed. The quote is at the closing level of Friday last week. But in the technical picture, this increased the reversal potential. On the daily scale chart, the divergence from the Marlin oscillator becomes more distinct. To maintain this scenario, the price will need to be fixed under the nearest support of 0.7500.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...82466dd1c8.jpg
The four-hour chart has its own divergence, which increases the probability of a reversal from the current levels.
With the price moving below 0.7500 (December 2017 low), the target of 0.7440 opens with intermediate support on the Kruzenshtern line at 0.7468. I think that in the current situation, we can overcome this line without difficulty. If the price moves below 0.7440, the next target would be at 0.7340.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...8247371c88.jpg
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for AUD/USD on December 16, 2020
AUD/USD
The Australian dollar took advantage once again of the delay in the offensive of the US currency (or does not believe in it) and went up to 26 points yesterday. But this growth in technical terms has not changed anything, the price divergence with the Marlin oscillator remains, the upper and the lower targets remain unchanged. Today, the Fed's FOMC is more likely to announce a reduction in the QE program or at least an intention to do so in January. Such a statement should cool the ardor of speculators. We are waiting for the decline of the Australian to the nearest support of 0.7500 (low of December 2017), then to 0.7440.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...97670b117b.jpg
Based on the four-hour chart, the Marlin oscillator does not reduce confidence in the downward trend section, declining in its own channel. The Kruzenshtern line is approaching the target level of 0.7500, this level is of particular importance and its overcoming can provoke an accelerated fall in the price.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...9767e4579a.jpg
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Ichimoku cloud indicator analysis of Gold
Gold price is once again moving higher above the key resistance of $1,850. If bulls manage to hold above $1,850 and break above recent highs at $1,874, we should then expect a move towards $1,900 and higher.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...a331809025.jpg
Gold price has made an important higher low at $1,820 and is now breaking above the Ichimoku cloud once again. This is a bullish sign. Support is at $1,847 and next at $1,820. Gold bulls need to defend these two levels. Breaking below $1,820 will bring Gold price below $1,800. However so far this is not the most probable scenario. The most probable scenario for now is a move above $1,874 towards $1,913-31. Both tenkan-sen (Red line indicator) and the kijun-sen (yellow line indicator) are below price. The Chikou span (black line indicator) is above the candlestick body. This is also bullish. All signs in the 4 hour chart support the bullish case.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for USD/JPY on December 18, 2020
USD/JPY
Yesterday, the yen moved under the target level of 103.18, but failed to settle below it. This morning the price is already above this level and it may not fall towards the target of 102.35. In order to move to the first target along the MACD line in the 104.10 area, there are still no conditions on the lower timeframe. The situation is neutral.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...c19d9e6223.jpg
The growth rates are higher, and being able to settle above the embedded price channel line (104.42), paves the way for the price to reach the upper line of the price channel in the 105.70 area, but it is too early to talk about it. There is a 60% probability that the price can return to the area under 103.18 and continue to decline to the target of 102.35.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...c19f003b29.jpg
The four-hour chart shows that the first reversal signal will appear when the signal line of the Marlin oscillator goes into the positive area, and in order to do so the price needs to rise by about 30 points, which will correspond to the price of 103.60, and this is already close to the MACD line (107.75). When making a decision to buy, we recommend that you wait until the price goes above this indicator line. The current situation is not trading.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Technical Analysis of ETH/USD for December 21, 2020
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...04a728b29e.jpg
Crypto Industry News:
A recently released US Department of Justice audit of the practices of the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) in relation to Darknet criminal investigations found law enforcement in a mess - with an overarching "cryptocurrency support strategy."
According to the public version of the audit released on Thursday, the FBI's current efforts to investigate the Dark Web are - perhaps ironically - hampered by a "decentralized" set of practices, policies and training programs, and fragmented intelligence leading to "redundant" efforts.
In particular, the audit found that there are two separate virtual currency teams to assist with investigations into the Dark Web, both of which are funded by the Department of Justice's Asset Forfeiture Fund. In addition, "rising costs and continued funding from the Fund caused a dispute between the two Virtual Currency Teams on resource prioritization" and many felt the teams were carrying out overlapping work.
The fund receives a portion of its funds by seizing and selling property and assets, including cryptocurrencies, related to criminal investigations. The Department of Justice has issued five recommendations to streamline investigations and policies on the Darknet, many of which focus on centralizing procedures to reduce "ambiguous or overlapping investigative obligations". This includes the recommendation to "develop a timeframe to obtain feedback from the rest of the FBI and complete the development of cryptocurrency support strategies across the FBI." The report also indicated that such a schedule was approaching.
Technical Market Outlook:
After the ETH/USD pair had made a new swing high at the level of $673.52, the bulls experienced slight problems with momentum. The market has made a Pin Bar candle at the top of the rally at the H4 time frame chart, so now the local pull-back is in progress. The bearish have managed to push the price to the level of $620.52 before the bounce. The momentum has declined, but is still strong and positive, so the bulls might attack the level of $700 again soon. The next technical resistance is seen at the level of $673.52 and the technical support is located at $635.46 and $620.52.
Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - $777.02
WR2 - $722.62
WR1 - $678.76
Weekly Pivot - $626.41
WS1 - $580.02
WS2 - $527.98
WS3 - $482.35
Trading Recommendations:
The up trend on the Ethereum continues and the next long term target for ETH/USD is seen at the level of $700, so any correction or local pull-back should be used to open the buy orders. Nevertheless, the momentum has decreased recently on the lower time frames and volatility is not that great either. The bulls has hit the 38% Fibonacci retracement located at the level of $587.87 on the weekly time frame chart, but the current up trend is still active. This scenario is valid as long as the level of $360 is broken.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on December 22, 2020
EUR/USD
The euro fell by 126 points on Monday and by the end of the day it practically won back the entire fall. The fall was bought out in large volumes by the largest players in order to avoid an uncontrolled collapse. All this happened on the news about the readiness of British Prime Minister Boris Johnson to back down in the fishing dispute with the EU, setting the quota at 66% of the current volume.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...16276885ea.jpg
The daily chart shows that the reversal divergence of the price and the oscillator remains. Marlin continued to move down, trying to get out of the growth zone. The downside target at 1.2040 that was formed by the price channel line is still present. However, there is a possibility of forming a double divergence. At the same time, the price will try to rush to the target level of 1.2330 and only then will it reverse into a medium-term decline.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...1628609a68.jpg
The four-hour chart shows that the price fell below the MACD line, then went back above it, and is currently preparing to move below it. Also, the Marlin oscillator, after the signal line went into the negative area, returned to the growth area and intends to fall again. The condition for accomplishing this move is for the price to fall below the MACD line, under 1.2205. If this condition is not met, then the double divergence option is implemented.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on December 23, 2020
EUR/USD
Yesterday, the single European currency fell by 80 pips. Trading volumes were above average, which can already indicate direct sales of the euro. The option with double divergence, which we allowed yesterday, is canceled, since the signal line of the Marlin oscillator has already come close to the border with a negative trend and the transition beyond it will give a new impetus to the decline. The target of the decline is determined by the range 1.1985-1.2040, it is determined by the indicator line of the MACD and the embedded line of the price channel of the weekly timeframe. Breaking the range opens the target of 1.1885 (October 21 high).
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...2ace5081ee.jpg
On the four-hour scale, the price is fixed under the lines of the balance indicator (red) and MACD (blue) indicator, the Marlin oscillator is declining. We are waiting for the development of a downward trend in the target area.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...2acf18d6b5.jpg
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on December 24, 2020
EUR/USD
The euro gained 23 points on Wednesday, correcting Tuesday's fall. Trading volumes were above average, which may indicate a rapid recovery of long positions. Such a high speculative interest during the Christmas period has not been observed for a very long time. It is a holiday today in Germany and Switzerland, meanwhile, there is a shorter working day in a number of other European countries and in the US. The market is thin, and due to the geopolitical situation, there are good conditions for a strong speculative breakthrough. Almost any reason can be used. It is quite possible to try and make the euro fall towards the target range of 1.1985-1.2042. Of course, there may not be such an attack, but this year, the situation itself has been pushing market players to organize fireworks for the market.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...3ff89058cd.jpg
The daily chart shows that the situation has not changed over the day - the Marlin oscillator also tends to go into the negative zone.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...3ffa2358c6.jpg
The four-hour chart shows that the price is trying to break out of the resistance of the MACD line, the Marlin oscillator is still in the downward trend zone, but shows an intention to move into an upward trend. If such a pattern does occur, it will most likely turn out to be false, since there are no fundamental conditions for targeted purchases. Even today, US durable goods orders for November are forecast to rise 0.7%.
In general, we recommend skipping buy signals and waiting for a reverse sell signal.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
JAPAN'S HOUSING STARTS FALL AT SLOWER PACE
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/analy...ew/japan/5.jpg
Japan's housing starts continued to decline in November albeit at a slower pace, data from the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism showed on Friday.
Housing starts were down 3.7 percent on year, following October's 8.3 percent decline. This was also better than the expected decrease of 4.9 percent.
Annualized housing starts rose to 820,000 in November from 802,000 in the previous month.
Further, data showed that construction orders received by the big 50 contractors decreased 4.7 percent on a yearly basis, bigger than the 0.1 percent fall posted in October.
News are provided by
InstaForex.
-
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for USD/JPY on December 25, 2020
USD/JPY
USD/JPY gained 13 points within the trading range of the last three days. Today the Japanese trading floors are open, at the moment the pair is quoted at 103.54, that is, it is already 14 points lower than yesterday's close. Japanese investors seem to be preparing for a negative turn of events from the opening of the new week. We keep our previous forecast that the price will move under the 103.18 level and its successive decline to 102.35.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...555e156a6f.jpg
The four-hour chart shows that the signal line of the Marlin oscillator has already reached the top of its own wedge. Exit from the wedge, respectively, we wait downward, the oscillator will soon leave the negative zone and accelerate the fall.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...555ecb030a.jpg
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on December 28, 2020
EUR/USD
No significant changes in the market over the past four holidays. The market is thin, and after tense expectations about Brexit, investors want to be compensated for their efforts. Therefore, the price breakdown, which we expected earlier, is possible. If there is no breakout, then we are waiting for calmer movement to the first target of 1.1995 - this is the support of the MACD line on the daily chart. For a more stable decline in price, the transition of the Marlin oscillator to the zone of negative values is not enough. This may happen after the quotes drop below 1.2150.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...946fb36988.jpg
The four-hour chart shows that the euro's general sentiment is for it to fall, but the signal line of the Marlin oscillator is bent up suspiciously strongly, indicating an intention to enter the positive zone. If this happens, then the price will also surpass the MACD indicator line to the upside, which will entail some more growth in the free roaming area, because the market remains thin. Until it ceases to freely roam around (which will not be long), we are waiting for the downward trend to resume for all indicators.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...947131a67c.jpg
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on December 29, 2020
EUR/USD
The euro gained 32 points on Monday, staying in the range of December 22nd. There are fewer signs of a downside breakout. Perhaps there won't be one, the price will spend the final days of 2020 in the range of 18-21. The price divergence with the Marlin oscillator is still present, the first significant target is determined by the MACD line at 1.1990.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...a952062961.jpg
The four-hour chart shows that the price winds up on the MACD line, which is also a sign that the price is in the range. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator is similarly curved around the zero neutral line. If the price moves below 1.2180, it will be a sign of the first attempt to break through.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...a9542bf5f4.jpg
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for AUD/USD on December 30, 2020
AUD/USD
The Australian dollar added 30 points yesterday as the US dollar slightly weakened. Visually, the price shows an intention to reach the target range of 0.7660/75, but the Marlin oscillator is below the lower boundary of its own channel and this factor warns of a high degree of change with this unattainable target.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...be52a12e57.jpg
The four-hour chart shows that there is an increase above the MACD indicator line, which speaks in favor of growth, but the Marlin oscillator has practically fallen into a horizontal trend, which indicates the weakness of the trend, thereby confirming the technical uncertainty of the daily timeframe.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...be53ec4bb5.jpg
In this situation, it is advisable to wait for clear signs of a trend reversal. Or, to settle above the 0.7675 level when the alternative scenario has been implemented.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on December 31, 2020
EUR/USD
The euro decided to leave the final days of the outgoing year more beautifully than expected. It continues to grow throughout the week, very little is left to the target level of 1.2330, afterwards a double divergence will be formed on the daily chart and the euro will go into the unknown in 2021.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...d3e473cd3c.jpg
The first task in the new year is to reach the consolidation range of August-November at 1.1750-1.1885. The first target in order to fall to 1.2035 is the MACD line.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...d3e546b224.jpg
Growth continues on the four-hour chart. There is a possibility of forming a divergence, due to which the signal line of the Marlin oscillator has clearly slowed down its growth and lies a little in the horizon.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Technical Analysis of EUR/USD for January 4, 2021
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...2bc4e44f4e.jpg
Technical Market Outlook:
The EUR/USD pair has made new swing high at the level of 1.2309, but the Monday open was below the level of 1.2250 and the price pulled-back towards the trend line support. The Broadening Wedge price pattern is still in progress, so please notice that this particular pattern is a trend reversal pattern, which indicates a possible major correction on the EUR/USD soon. For now, the zone located between the levels of 1.2154 - 1.2177 remains the key demand zone for bulls. The positive momentum supports the short-term bullish outlook as long as the demand zone is not clearly violated. The next target for bulls is seen at the level of 1.2555, but this might be the last push up for EUR/USD before the correction. Any violation of the level of 1.2154 invalidates this scenario.
Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - 1.2419
WR2 - 1.2360
WR1 - 1.2290
Weekly Pivot - 1.2236
WS1 - 1.2163
WS2 - 1.2103
WS3 - 1.2035
Trading Recommendations:
Since the middle of March 2020 the main trend is on EUR/USD pair has been up. This means any local corrections should be used to buy the dips until the key technical support seen at the level of 1.1609 is broken. The key long-term technical resistance is seen at the level of 1.2555. The market might be making the Broadening Wedge trend reversal pattern around the levels of 1.2200 - 1.2300. Any violation of the level of 1.2154 supports the trend change/corrective cycle scenario.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for AUD/USD on January 5, 2021
AUD/USD
The Australian dollar lost around 40 points yesterday, stopping exactly at the December 17 high of 0.7641. We took this level in the last review as a signal to switch to a downward short-term trend with the target of 0.7465. Testing this level confirms its significance.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...3d69fb8252.jpg
The signal line of the Marlin oscillator stopped at the lower border of its own downward channel. Obviously, the market did not have enough strength to continue yesterday's trend. Buyers, albeit short-term speculators, still believe in the positive development of risky and commodity currencies, although oil fell by 1.74% (CL) yesterday . We expect the price to drop below the signal level and move towards the target of 0.7465 (December 21 low).
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...3d6a9af227.jpg
The four-hour chart shows that the price slightly pierced the MACD line and rebounded off the signal level of 0.7641. The Marlin oscillator has entered the downward trend zone and is staying there this morning. We are waiting for the price's second attempt to overcome support at 0.7641.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for GBP/USD on January 6, 2021
GBP/USD
During yesterday's growth of the British Pound against the background of the general temporary weakening of the Dollar, there was an attempt to get above the target level of 1.3624. The attempt failed and there was only a minor puncture of resistance. Today, in the Asian session, the price played back half of yesterday's growth. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator turned down from the line forming the divergence. The target of the Pound's decline is 1.3325 which is the Kruzenshtern line on the daily chart.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...526a55f216.jpg
On the H4 chart, the Marlin oscillator is in the negative zone. With the price fixing under the Kruzenshtern line at 1.3578, the road to the marked target of 1.3325 opens to gain more confidence with the departure under the minimum on January 4 (1.3540).
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...526b267cb1.jpg
The four-hour chart shows that the price slightly pierced the MACD line and rebounded off the signal level of 0.7641. The Marlin oscillator has entered the downward trend zone and is staying there this morning. We are waiting for the price's second attempt to overcome support at 0.7641.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on January 7, 2020
EUR/USD
The euro, as a risk currency, grew yesterday as a response to the information that the Democrats had won a seat in the upper house of the US Congress. At the same time, the latest macroeconomic report from ADP showed disappointing results on new jobs in the private sector - the index showed a decrease by 123,000 in December against expectations of an increase of 60,000 and an increase of 304,000 in November. Some believe that the upcoming data on unemployment will come out even worse; the forecast for Non-Farm Employment Change is 98,000 against 344,000 in November, the unemployment rate is expected to rise to 6.8% from 6.7% in November.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...67468b12f3.jpg
It is difficult to determine where the euro will go with such data, since the January-April 2018 range is very wide (1.2206-1.2555), there are potential reversal levels within it in increments of 40 points. But at the same time, rising by another 70-100 points will not break the divergence with the Marlin oscillator on the daily chart, which will preserve the euro's potential for a reversal. In this section, we will define the 1.2397-1.2414 range as the target, taken at the extremes on April 11 and 17, 2018.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...674c874997.jpg
The short-term price decline was stopped by the MACD line on the four-hour chart. The price divergence with the oscillator is held. We are waiting for the euro to rise to the specified target range of 1.2397-1.2414, but we do not recommend opening longs. Getting the price to settle below the MACD line (1.2268) will signal an attack on support at 1.2215.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for AUD/USD on January 8, 2021
AUD/USD
Against the background of yesterday's large-scale strengthening of the dollar (only oil did not follow the dollar's growth), the Australian currency lost 34 points; it returned to the target level of 0.7770, the Marlin oscillator returned to its own downward channel, leaving the exit from it on the 6th as false, which we assumed in yesterday's review. Now, we are waiting for the signal line of the oscillator to exit the channel down, go into the zone of negative values, and further advance the price to the targets of 0.7641, 0.7465.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...7c44647fa6.jpg
The price on the four-hour scale is still above the balance and MACD indicator lines, but Marlin is already in the territory of a declining trend, dragging the market sentiment to a further decline. In order to consolidate this trend, the price will need to go under the MACD line, below 0.7220. This is the main scenario.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...7c45118f81.jpg
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on January 11, 2021
EUR/USD
The US employment report from last Friday had mixed results; the non-agricultural sector lost 140,000 jobs against expectations of growth by 60,000, but at the same time the November figure was revised up from 245,000 to 336,000, the share of the economically active population remained at 61.5%, while the unemployment rate was at 6.7%. But the structure of labor data acquired a qualitative positive shift: the broad unemployment index fell from 12.0% to 11.7%, while 38,000 jobs were added in the manufacturing industry against the forecast of 20,000. But even if the data was not enough, it conveniently fits into the idea of the new administration of President Biden to adopt a plan for new budget expenditures worth several trillion dollars, and he will elaborate on the topic this week. In anticipation of this news, as well as at the beginning of the next cycle of attracting new debts by the US Treasury, the dollar was actively being purchased both yesterday and this morning. This week it is expected to raise 60 billion of net debt through government bonds.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...bbad6cca71.jpg
The daily chart shows that the euro is initially aiming for 1.2050 - the MACD indicator line. If the price moves below the line, the second target will be 1.1885. But first, the price must overcome the 1.2152/77 range that was created by the extremes on December 23 and 4. There may be a slight correction from it. The Marlin Oscillator is in the downward trend zone, where it entered very decisively.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...bbac50b3ca.jpg
The four-hour chart shows that the price began to accelerate to the downside, from the area where the balance and MACD indicator lines coincide. The short-term trend is decreasing.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on January 12, 2021
EUR/USD
The euro fell by almost 70 points on Monday, stopping in the designated range of 1.2152/77. Consolidation is observed in the range this morning. With the exit from the consolidation to the downside, more precisely, with the price moving below yesterday's low of 1.2132, we expect the quote to fall towards the target along the MACD line at 1.2045.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...d0bd5d6d25.jpg
The four-hour chart shows that the price is consolidating in a narrow range of 1.2152/77, but the corrective reversal of the Marlin oscillator warns of a possible exit from this range, just slightly above it. The signal to sustain the fall will be when the price crosses the area under yesterday's low of 1.2132.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...d0be3b7080.jpg
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for AUD/USD on January 13, 2021
AUD/USD
On Tuesday, the growth of the Australian dollar covered the fall on Monday. Perhaps this is the intention of the price to set a new high with the formation of another divergence with the oscillator. However, a price reversal into a new branch of decline is also possible; for this purpose, there should be a consolidation under 0.7770, which will take another day, since the current candle should close below this level. Today, the situation is not trading.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...e5e3e3b8c6.jpg
The price on the four-hour chart is fixed above the balance and MACD indicator lines, the Marlin oscillator is in the growth zone. There are signs of continued growth, but false signals often appear on trend breaks. A more reliable signal will look like fixing the price under the MACD line (0.7735 / 40), after which the target level of 0.7641 can be expected to work out.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...e5e49935f3.jpg
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on January 14, 2021
EUR/USD
Yesterday, the euro dropped 48 points and returned to the consolidation range of 1.2132/77. Leaving the range for growth can be mistaken for a false movement when the price falls below the lower border of the range, and this will boost traders' confidence for an attack not only on the nearest target of 1.2050 along the MACD line on the daily chart, but also below, to the target level of 1.1920 ( high on November 9 and September 10).
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...fb20333e82.jpg
The four-hour chart shows that the Marlin oscillator operates on the zero neutral line, which to some extent weakens its leading role as a leading indicator. But on the other hand, if the price falls, the oscillator will have enough margin for a downward movement. We are waiting for the development of the situation. Before the price falls below 1.2132, the price may once again try to test the MACD line at 1.2225.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...fb2147c7d7.jpg
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on January 15, 2021
EUR/USD
On Thursday, the euro traded in the consolidation range of 1.2132/77 with a short exit from it to the downside, with an attempt to pull down the price below the balance line on a daily timescale. If the price settled below this line, it would mean a shift in market sentiment towards short positions in the medium term.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...df_source!.jpg
The Marlin Oscillator has been in a downward trend zone for a week now, a sign that the euro will strengthen its attempts to break down the remaining rising technical signs. The price continues to develop above the MACD indicator line on the daily chart. Getting the pair to settle below it, under 1.2050, will strengthen the market's downward sentiment and send the price towards the 1.1920 target (November 9 high).
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...97_source!.jpg
The price is consolidating in the 1.2132/77 range on the four-hour chart, but a more pronounced consolidation is observed on the Marlin oscillator. The main direction of the oscillator signal line's exit from the range is to the downside, but taking into account that it could form on the border of the positive area following the previous growth (technical figure "flag"), there is still a possibility that the price could rise to the MACD line (1.2220) or even to the target level of 1.2273 - the high on December 17. In order to confirm the price's intention to fall, the price would have to settle below the lower border of the 1.2132 range.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
-
USDCAD is facing bearish pressure, potential for further downside!
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...b6_source!.jpg
Price is facing bearish pressure from our first resistance in line with our horizontal swing high resistance, 78.6% fibonacci retracement and 78.6% fibonacci extension where we could see a drop below this to our first support target.
Trading Recommendation Entry:
1.2790
Reason for Entry:
horizontal swing high resistance, 78.6% fibonacci retracement and 78.6% fibonacci extension
Take Profit: 1.2745
23.6% fibonacci retracement
Stop Loss: 1.2832
Reason for Stop Loss:
horizontal swing high resistance
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
