Stocks, ETFs, Options, Commodities & Currencies

In my conversation with Tom Bodrovics, I outlined why today’s market environment is displaying multiple late-cycle warning signs that have historically preceded major resets. We are seeing extremes across gold and silver, housing, industrial metals, money market balances, U.S. debt, deficit spending, and household leverage, alongside a surge in trillion-dollar private valuations tied to companies like SpaceX and OpenAI.

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Stocks are trading higher again today, which is great for our S&P 500 position. Hopefully, we can reach our first target on that to lock in gains and protect our account more.

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In this conversation with Kai Hoffmann, I break down why gold and silver have entered what I see as a feeding frenzy phase and why Kai and I both view this kind of price action as a moment that deserves closer attention, not blind confidence. As we discuss the recent parabolic moves, I explain how rising leverage, crowded sentiment, and miner enthusiasm often show up when risk is quietly increasing. We also explore why strength in precious metals can act as an early warning signal, pointing to growing stress in bonds, equities, and the broader financial system.

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Stocks are set to open lower, metals are mixed, and I expect this week to be another insanely volatile one across the board.

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In this interview with Darrell Thomas at VRIC Media, I break down the recent parabolic move in silver and why this type of price action has only occurred a couple of times in history. When silver accelerates in this fashion, it often signals a late-stage emotional surge rather than the start of a sustainable advance. We walk through how the current setup compares to 2008 and the 2011 blowoff top, and why 40 to 60 percent pullbacks have historically followed similar vertical rallies.

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In my recent interview with David Lin, I shared that while the recent rebound in equities has been strong, the bigger picture still calls for caution. What we are seeing right now is a shift in money flow back into risk assets, but the market is quickly reaching overbought conditions. Historically, when markets move this fast after a decline, it often leads to a pause or pullback rather than a sustained move higher. This is where many investors get caught chasing strength, only to find themselves exposed when momentum fades. The key is not predicting what will happen next, but recognizing where we are in the cycle and how risk is changing.

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Stocks are ripping higher again amid easing Middle East concerns and a strong earnings season.

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Markets are reacting to another drop in oil this morning, with equities getting a pre-market lift on news that there may be progress around the Strait of Hormuz and the Middle East.
This type of news-driven move can create fast upside, but it can also be choppy. News can move prices quickly in one direction, and those moves can reverse just as fast. For now, though, falling oil is helping support equities, bonds, and risk-on sentiment. Expect a choppy session.

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In this interview with Stijn Schmitz on Palisades Gold Radio, I walked through what I’m seeing across the broader market, and the message is mixed. Stocks continue to grind higher, but the strength is not broad-based. Much of the move is being driven by technology, small caps, and micro caps, while other areas of the market are not confirming the same level of strength. To me, that type of narrow leadership can be a warning sign. It often shows that investors are becoming more speculative, especially when money begins chasing smaller, riskier areas of the market late in a cycle.

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