Daily Forex Analysis By FXGlory

EURUSD H4 Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 10.28.2025





Time Zone: GMT +2
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:
The EUR/USD pair represents the strength comparison between the Euro (EUR) and the US Dollar (USD). Today, both currencies are influenced by several key economic releases. On the USD side, traders are awaiting data from the S&P Case-Shiller House Price Index (HPI), FHFA House Price Index, Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, and Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index. These indicators are crucial as they provide insight into the overall economic health, consumer sentiment, and housing market stability—factors that can influence the Federal Reserve’s future monetary policy outlook. On the Eurozone side, the NIQ Consumer Sentiment Index is scheduled for release, which will reflect consumer optimism across member states. Stronger-than-expected data from Europe could provide the EUR some support; however, the USD remains dominant amid persistent expectations for higher-for-longer interest rates in the U.S. economy. As a result, market participants should anticipate moderate volatility in the EUR/USD H4 trading sessions today.


Price Action:
The EUR/USD H4 chart shows that the pair has been trading in a bearish trend, but recently initiated a corrective upward move. After rebounding from the lower boundary of the descending channel and the green trendline, the price started forming higher lows. The price is currently positioned above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level and is moving toward the 38.2% Fibonacci level, signaling a short-term bullish correction within the broader bearish structure.
The presence of multiple green candles near the ascending support line confirms buyer interest, while the Parabolic SAR dots below the candles indicate short-term bullish pressure. This aligns with improving momentum and a possible retest of the 1.1680–1.1700 zone, representing the next major resistance area.


Key Technical Indicators:
Parabolic SAR: The Parabolic SAR dots have shifted below the current candles, signaling the start of a potential bullish correction. This change indicates that buyers are gradually regaining control in the short term, and as long as the dots remain below the price, upward momentum may continue.
MACD (12,26,9): The MACD line currently reads 0.000419 and the signal line -0.000007, reflecting early bullish convergence. The histogram is showing positive momentum, suggesting that the bearish pressure is fading. A further widening between the MACD and signal lines would confirm continued short-term upside movement in EUR/USD H4 trading.
RSI (28): The RSI is positioned at 52.89, slightly above the neutral 50 level, which indicates that the pair is recovering from oversold conditions. This reading supports the idea of a short-term correction while maintaining potential room for additional upward movement before entering overbought territory.


Support and Resistance:
Support: The first key support lies around 1.1570, aligning with the 23.6% Fibonacci level and the upward trendline base. A break below this zone could resume the bearish momentum.
Resistance: The nearest resistance is located at 1.1680–1.1700, which corresponds to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level and the upper boundary of the current recovery channel.


Conclusion and Consideration:
In conclusion, the EUR/USD H4 technical analysis suggests that the pair is currently undergoing a bullish correction within a broader bearish trend. The alignment of the Parabolic SAR, MACD, and RSI supports continued short-term upside momentum, targeting the 38.2% Fibonacci level near 1.1680. However, traders should remain cautious, as strong USD fundamentals and upcoming U.S. housing and consumer confidence data could trigger renewed bearish sentiment.
Short-term traders may consider buying on dips above the trendline support, while swing traders should watch for potential reversals near resistance.


Disclaimer: The analysis provided for EUR/USD is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders are encouraged to perform their own analysis and research before making any trading decisions on EURUSD. Market conditions can change quickly, so staying informed with the latest data is essential.


FXGlory
10.28.2025

AUDUSD H4 Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 10.29.2025





Time Zone: GMT +2
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:
The AUD/USD pair is influenced today by significant economic data from both Australia and the United States. Australia's CPI figures, essential for assessing inflationary pressures, could potentially strengthen the Australian Dollar if the actual figures surpass forecasts, implying stronger inflationary pressures and increased likelihood of interest rate hikes by the Reserve Bank of Australia. Conversely, the US Dollar faces potential volatility with data from pending home sales, crude oil inventories, and particularly from the FOMC's statements and interest rate decisions. Traders will closely monitor these events for hints on future monetary policy shifts, significantly influencing the USD valuation.


Price Action:
Analyzing the AUD/USD pair on the H4 timeframe, the candles have been progressing within a bullish channel over an extended period. Despite a recent unsuccessful breakout, the price action re-entered the bullish channel and resumed upward momentum following a correction phase. Currently, the sharp bullish momentum indicates minimal likelihood of an immediate bearish correction. Buyers are likely to maintain control until the pair reaches its previous high around the resistance level of 0.66048. If bearish pressure emerges, the trendline support of the bullish channel may serve as the subsequent downside target.


Key Technical Indicators:
Parabolic SAR: Currently, dots are positioned below the candles, clearly indicating a bullish trend continuation. The indicator suggests strong buying momentum persisting in the short-term scenario.
William's %R: The indicator currently stands at -11.66, reflecting overbought conditions. However, in a robust bullish trend, such conditions might persist, implying continued strength and limited bearish retracement in the short term.
MACD: The MACD histogram is bullish, at 0.001959, with the signal line slightly below at 0.001615. This setup confirms ongoing bullish momentum, but traders should be vigilant for any narrowing which might suggest weakening momentum ahead.


Support and Resistance:
Support: Immediate support is identified at the bullish channel's lower trendline around 0.65180, providing a robust barrier against bearish movements.
Resistance: Resistance is prominently placed at the previous high near the 0.66048 level, marking a critical threshold for bullish continuation.


Conclusion and Consideration:
The technical outlook for AUD/USD on the H4 chart indicates sustained bullish momentum, supported by clear bullish signals from Parabolic SAR, William's %R, and MACD indicators. Traders should monitor closely for possible fluctuations from today's pivotal economic announcements from Australia and the US, particularly the US FOMC statements and interest rate decisions, which could significantly impact market volatility and direction. Given the current bullish scenario, vigilance at critical resistance and support levels is recommended.


Disclaimer: The analysis provided for AUD/USD is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders are encouraged to perform their own analysis and research before making any trading decisions on AUDUSD. Market conditions can change quickly, so staying informed with the latest data is essential.


FXGlory
10.29.2025

USDJPY H4 Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 10.30.2025





Time Zone: GMT +2
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:
The USDJPY currency pair is expected to exhibit significant volatility today, primarily influenced by events surrounding the Japanese Yen (JPY). Traders should closely monitor announcements from the Bank of Japan (BOJ), specifically regarding interest rate decisions, statements, and the subsequent press conference by the BOJ Governor. Given the typical impact of these events on currency valuation—especially concerning the BOJ's stance on inflation and economic outlook—JPY could experience sharp fluctuations. Meanwhile, no major USD events today suggest that the focus remains predominantly on JPY-driven news.


Price Action:
USDJPY on the H4 chart continues moving within a bullish ascending channel, reflecting steady bullish momentum. Currently, the price is at the upper band of the bullish channel, potentially indicating a forthcoming sideways or consolidative market behavior. Recent candle formations have shown consistent bullish intent, though encountering resistance near the channel’s upper line, suggesting traders remain cautious for a possible pullback or consolidation.


Key Technical Indicators:
Bollinger Bands: Bollinger Bands on USDJPY indicate bullish sentiment as the price continues to remain above the middle band. However, the upper band proximity may lead to short-term consolidation. Traders should remain alert for price reactions near the upper band, indicating possible resistance and volatility expansions.
Stochastic (5,3,3): Currently reading at 70.58 and 65.16, the stochastic oscillator signals a mild bullish momentum, nearing overbought territory. This indicates potential slowing momentum and traders should monitor closely for potential bearish divergence signaling reversal risks.
Williams %R (14): With a current value of -22.36, Williams %R supports bullish bias but similarly hints at a potential pullback or consolidation. This aligns with stochastic signals, further reinforcing the need for caution at current price levels.


Support and Resistance:
Support: Immediate support is situated around the channel’s midline near 151.500, which previously served as a critical price reaction point.
Resistance: Immediate resistance is established at the upper channel boundary near 153.100, marking recent highs and potential price exhaustion points.


Conclusion and Consideration:
The USDJPY pair’s bullish channel indicates sustained bullish potential, supported by current technical indicators. Yet, the proximity to resistance levels and mild overbought conditions signals caution for possible consolidation or mild corrections. Traders should closely follow BOJ communications today, given their significant potential to alter short-term price action.


Disclaimer: The analysis provided for USD/JPY is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders are encouraged to perform their own analysis and research before making any trading decisions on USDJPY. Market conditions can change quickly, so staying informed with the latest data is essential.


FXGlory
10.30.2025

USDCAD H4 Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 10.31.2025





Time Zone: GMT +2
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:
The USD/CAD currency pair today is influenced primarily by a series of key U.S. Federal Reserve events, with several FOMC members including Lorie Logan, Raphael Bostic, and Beth Hammack scheduled to speak at the Evolving Landscape of Bank Funding Conference. Traders are closely monitoring their remarks for hints about future interest rate policy and potential shifts in the Fed’s stance toward inflation and economic growth. A more hawkish tone could strengthen the U.S. Dollar. Meanwhile, from the Canadian side, GDP data from Statistics Canada remains a key focus, with markets anticipating its next release later in November. Stronger-than-expected growth would support the Canadian Dollar, but today’s sentiment is likely to be dominated by U.S. policy commentary, keeping the USD/CAD exchange rate sensitive to Fed-related remarks and risk sentiment.


Price Action:
The USDCAD H4 chart shows that the pair continues to trade within a clear ascending channel, maintaining a bullish trend overall. Recently, the price bounced from the 1.39000 support level and rallied upward toward 1.40000, which acts as the first resistance near the regression channel’s midline. The market structure suggests steady bullish momentum, though short-term corrections are visible. A breakout above 1.40000 could pave the way toward 1.40600 resistance, while a failure to hold above the channel midpoint may lead to a retest of 1.39000 or deeper supports at 1.38000 and 1.37300.


Key Technical Indicators:
Stochastic (5,3,3): The Stochastic Oscillator is currently at 64.27 and 72.93, signaling that bullish momentum is still active but approaching overbought territory. This suggests possible short-term consolidation or mild retracement before the next upward move, especially if the pair fails to break the 1.40000 resistance cleanly.
Williams %R (14): The %R indicator stands at -24.37, which places it near the overbought zone. This reflects that buyers are in control but the pair may experience short-term exhaustion. If the indicator turns downward, a brief correction could follow, offering new entry opportunities near support levels within the channel.


Support and Resistance:
Support: The immediate support zone is around 1.39000, followed by deeper levels at 1.38000 and 1.37300, which historically have acted as strong demand areas.
Resistance: The nearest resistance is located at 1.40000, aligning with the channel’s midline. The next resistance stands at 1.40600, representing the upper boundary of the bullish channel and a potential breakout target.


Conclusion and Consideration:
The USDCAD H4 analysis indicates that the pair is trading in a bullish trend, supported by both price action and technical indicators. However, short-term caution is advised as the Stochastic and Williams %R approach overbought levels, which may lead to minor pullbacks before further gains. The overall bias remains bullish while the price stays above 1.39000. Traders should monitor today’s U.S. Fed speeches and market sentiment closely, as any hawkish commentary could reinforce USD strength and support a breakout above 1.40000.


Disclaimer: The analysis provided for USD/CAD is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders are encouraged to perform their own analysis and research before making any trading decisions on USDCAD. Market conditions can change quickly, so staying informed with the latest data is essential.


FXGlory
10.31.2025

NZDUSD H4 Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 11.05.2025





Time Zone: GMT +2
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:
The NZDUSD currency pair is influenced today by several key macroeconomic events from both New Zealand and the United States. On the New Zealand side, upcoming reports from Statistics New Zealand on employment change, unemployment rate, and private sector labor costs—alongside the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Financial Stability Report press conference with Governor Christian Hawkesby—are expected to bring notable market volatility. Traders will watch for any hawkish tone from the RBNZ that might strengthen the NZD, especially if employment data reveals job growth or stable labor costs. For the USD, focus turns to the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, S&P Global Services PMI, ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, and EIA Crude Oil Inventories. Strong labor and services data from the US could further bolster the dollar, maintaining pressure on the NZDUSD pair.


Price Action:
The NZDUSD pair on the H4 chart continues to trade within a well-defined bearish descending channel, showing consistent lower highs and lower lows. The candles have been moving along the channel with several breakout failures from both the upper and lower bands, confirming the prevailing downtrend. Given the recent sharp descent in price, the pair has now approached the lower boundary of the channel, suggesting the possibility of a minor corrective rebound before resuming its downward movement. However, a confirmed breakout below this lower band could signal further bearish extension, especially if US economic data outperforms expectations.


Key Technical Indicators:
Parabolic SAR: The dots are currently positioned above the candles, confirming ongoing bearish momentum. This alignment indicates that sellers remain dominant in the market, and the trend could persist unless a reversal signal occurs with dots flipping below the price.
RSI (28): The Relative Strength Index reads 30.98, hovering near the oversold territory. This suggests that the pair is approaching an area where buying interest could emerge, signaling a potential short-term correction or consolidation phase before the next directional move.
Stochastic (5,3,3): The Stochastic oscillator shows values of 2.90 (K) and 3.26 (D), both deep in oversold territory. This indicates extreme selling pressure, and although the downtrend remains strong, a technical rebound might occur soon if the indicator crosses upward, hinting at temporary bullish correction.


Support and Resistance:
Support: The nearest support level lies around 0.5630, aligning with the lower boundary of the descending channel and a recent swing low.
Resistance: The initial resistance is seen near 0.5740, coinciding with the upper band of the bearish channel and previous consolidation highs.


Conclusion and Consideration:
The NZDUSD H4 technical analysis suggests that the pair remains entrenched in a strong bearish trend, with price action confined within a downward channel. Although both RSI and Stochastic indicate oversold conditions, the Parabolic SAR supports continued bearish sentiment. Traders should watch for corrective pullbacks toward resistance levels, which may offer renewed selling opportunities if the overall bearish channel structure holds. From a fundamental perspective, upcoming New Zealand labor data and the RBNZ Governor’s remarks could inject volatility, while stronger-than-expected US employment and PMI data may further weigh on the NZD.


Disclaimer: The analysis provided for NZD/USD is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders are encouraged to perform their own analysis and research before making any trading decisions on NZDUSD. Market conditions can change quickly, so staying informed with the latest data is essential.


FXGlory
11.05.2025

USDCAD H4 Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 11.07.2025





Time Zone: GMT +2
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:
Today, USD will likely face notable volatility as Federal Reserve officials, including Governor Christopher Waller, Philadelphia President Anna Paulson, St. Louis President Alberto Musalem, New York President John Williams, and Governor Philip Jefferson, are set to speak. Hawkish commentary from these FOMC members could strengthen the USD by signaling tighter monetary policy. Concurrently, the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is also expected to experience volatility due to employment data and unemployment rates from Statistics Canada, which directly influences the economic outlook for Canada, potentially impacting CAD significantly.


Price Action:
USD/CAD H4 price action analysis illustrates a bullish trend, correcting the bearish momentum faced earlier in 2025. The pair currently trades in the upper half of the regression channel, demonstrating continued upward strength. The short MA (9, blue) recently crossed above the longer MA (21, orange), confirming bullish momentum. Recent candles are supported by Parabolic SAR dots appearing beneath the price action, further validating the bullish scenario.


Key Technical Indicators:
Moving Averages (MA9 & MA21): The short-term MA9 (blue) has recently crossed above the long-term MA21 (orange), signaling a strong bullish entry indication. The price continues to trade comfortably above both MAs, providing confidence in the current bullish outlook.
Parabolic SAR: The last three dots from the Parabolic SAR indicator are located beneath the candles, touching the long-term MA. This alignment confirms bullish momentum, suggesting ongoing upward potential in the USD CAD currency pair.
Average True Range (ATR): The ATR (14) currently stands at 0.00172, indicating relatively moderate volatility. This implies that significant price movements may still occur, but drastic swings are less likely in the immediate term, aiding traders in managing their stop-loss and take-profit strategies.


Support and Resistance:
Support: Immediate psychological support is identified at the 1.40500 level, with subsequent key supports at 1.40000 and deeper at 1.39000.
Resistance: The initial resistance level is at 1.41400, functioning as a significant psychological and technical barrier.


Conclusion and Consideration:
The technical analysis for the USD-CAD H4 chart maintains a bullish bias, supported by MAs and Parabolic SAR. However, today's key speeches from FOMC members and employment data from Canada introduce potential volatility. Traders should remain cautious and consider tightening their risk management approaches in response to fundamental news.


Disclaimer: The analysis provided for USD/CAD is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders are encouraged to perform their own analysis and research before making any trading decisions on USDCAD. Market conditions can change quickly, so staying informed with the latest data is essential.


FXGlory
11.07.2025

AUDUSD H4 Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 11.10.2025





Time Zone: GMT +2
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:
The AUD/USD pair remains under moderate pressure as traders focus on upcoming economic remarks from RBA Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser, who is expected to discuss Australia’s economic outlook at the UBS Australasia Conference. Markets will closely monitor his tone for any hawkish signals hinting at future rate hikes, which could strengthen the Australian Dollar (AUD). Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) gains support from upbeat domestic sentiment, reinforced by the Cleveland Fed’s inflation expectations survey and recent optimistic statements from the US President regarding strong economic performance, record investments, and a potential $2000 citizen dividend. Together, these developments suggest heightened volatility in the AUD/USD pair today, with fundamental forces pulling in opposite directions — RBA commentary possibly boosting the AUD, while strong USD rhetoric could cap gains.


Price Action:
In the AUDUSD H4 chart, the price has moved in a descending trend, forming lower highs since early September. However, after touching the ascending green support line, the pair has shown some bullish recovery with a series of small green candles. The market currently trades around 0.6493, approaching the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting potential short-term resistance ahead. The structure indicates that while buyers are attempting to reclaim control, the overall sentiment remains cautious, with sellers still dominant unless a breakout above the nearby resistance occurs.


Key Technical Indicators:
Parabolic SAR (0.05, 0.2): The Parabolic SAR dots are currently positioned above the candles, indicating that the bearish trend remains intact. However, the latest candles showing slight bullish momentum hint that a reversal could form if the SAR dots flip below the price. Until that confirmation occurs, traders should treat the current upward movement as a corrective phase within the broader downtrend.
Moving Averages (MA9 and MA21): The short-term blue MA (9) remains below the long-term orange MA (21), maintaining a bearish crossover. Nonetheless, the short MA line is curving upward, suggesting that short-term momentum is improving. A confirmed crossover above the long MA could signal a potential trend reversal, but as of now, the trend bias remains bearish to neutral.
MACD (12,26,9): The MACD histogram shows slightly diminishing bearish momentum, and the MACD line is curving closer to the signal line, indicating possible early signs of a bullish crossover. However, until that crossover is confirmed, the underlying momentum still favors the bears, with limited upside potential in the short term.


Support and Resistance:
Support: The first strong support is positioned around 0.6440, aligned with the green ascending trendline, and deeper support can be found near 0.6415, the recent swing low.
Resistance: Immediate resistance is near the 0.6500 psychological level, followed by the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at 0.6514, and stronger resistance around 0.6570–0.6600, where the 50% retracement and red descending trendline intersect.


Conclusion and Consideration:
The AUD/USD H4 technical analysis suggests a short-term recovery phase within a broader bearish trend. Despite minor bullish attempts supported by price action and the MACD’s flattening momentum, the prevailing market structure and the Parabolic SAR remain bearish. Traders should closely monitor 0.6500–0.6514 for rejection or breakout signals, as this region holds key importance for short-term direction. Fundamentally, both RBA and US developments today may induce heightened volatility and directional spikes. Caution is advised around the news events, with short-term traders potentially favoring range-bound strategies until a decisive breakout occurs.


Disclaimer: The analysis provided for AUD/USD is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders are encouraged to perform their own analysis and research before making any trading decisions on AUDUSD. Market conditions can change quickly, so staying informed with the latest data is essential.


FXGlory
11.10.2025

EURGBP H4 Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 11.11.2025





Time Zone: GMT +2
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:
Today's fundamental outlook for EUR/GBP includes critical economic news impacting both currencies. The British Pound (GBP) faces potential volatility from upcoming data releases, including British Retail Consortium (BRC) same-store sales, unemployment claims, average earnings including bonuses, and the ILO unemployment rate. Any positive data, surpassing forecasts, could strengthen GBP significantly. Moreover, external Bank of England (BOE) MPC member Megan Greene's speech at the UBS European Conference will be closely observed for hawkish monetary policy signals. Conversely, the Euro (EUR) could experience irregular volatility due to lower liquidity with French banks closed for Armistice Day, alongside the ZEW economic sentiment releases from Germany and the Eurozone, which could influence EUR sentiment notably.


Price Action:
EUR-GBP pair analysis in the H4 timeframe currently shows the price trending downward from the Fibonacci retracement level of 78.6 towards the 61.8 level. Recent price action has printed several consecutive red candles indicating bearish pressure, further confirmed by a crossover of the shorter MA (9 periods) below the longer MA (21 periods). The parabolic SAR indicator dots have moved above the candles, highlighting the ongoing bearish momentum in price action.


Key Technical Indicators:
Moving Averages: The short-term moving average (9-period MA) crossing below the longer-term moving average (21-period MA) signals a bearish crossover, indicating sellers' dominance in the EURGBP market.
Parabolic SAR: The indicator dots positioned above the current price candles confirm the bearish trend, suggesting a continuation of downward price action on the H4 timeframe.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD (12,26,9) indicator at 0.000529 and -0.000143 shows decreasing bullish momentum with a possible bearish crossover imminent, supporting further declines.


Support and Resistance:
Support: Immediate support is seen at the Fibonacci retracement level of 61.8, recently confirmed as robust support in the EURGBP market.
Resistance: Immediate resistance remains at the Fibonacci retracement level of 78.6, acting previously as both resistance and support over the past two weeks.


Conclusion and Consideration:
The EURGBP pair technical analysis and fundamental daily forecast indicate a prevailing bearish momentum supported by moving average crossover, MACD signals, and Parabolic SAR positioning. Traders should closely monitor GBP economic releases today for potential volatility spikes, particularly considering the BOE member speech that could influence price action significantly. Given the lower liquidity in EUR due to the French bank holiday, heightened caution is advised.


Disclaimer: The analysis provided for EUR/GBP is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders are encouraged to perform their own analysis and research before making any trading decisions on EURGBP. Market conditions can change quickly, so staying informed with the latest data is essential.


FXGlory
11.11.2025

EURUSD H4 Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 11.12.2025





Time Zone: GMT +2
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:
The EURUSD currency pair will likely experience increased volatility today due to key economic releases and significant central bank speeches. For EUR, traders will closely observe the Consumer Price Index (CPI), Wholesale Price Index (WPI), and Industrial Output data, each potentially influencing market expectations of future inflation and economic health. Additionally, outcomes from the Eurogroup meetings and the Bundesbank's Bund Auction could further impact the EUR. On the USD side, Federal Reserve speakers Michael Barr, John Williams, Anna Paulson, Christopher Waller, Raphael Bostic, and Stephen Miran are expected to deliver insights into the future trajectory of U.S. monetary policy, potentially causing substantial shifts in market sentiment.


Price Action:
EURUSD price action on the H4 timeframe indicates a shift from a prolonged bullish trend into a consistent bearish channel. Recent price behavior highlights a breakout above this bearish channel; however, current candles suggest a potential bearish re-entry. The Fibonacci expansion indicates a possible next lower low at the 61.8 level. Price action signals traders should anticipate possible retesting around the channel's mid-line as a key short-term target.


Key Technical Indicators:
RSI (28): The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 54.72, indicating moderate market strength. The current RSI value suggests that although buyers recently gained control, momentum is not significantly strong, leaving room for bearish pressure to resume.
Stochastic (6,3,3): Currently at 67.23 and 77.19, the Stochastic indicator suggests the market is nearing overbought territory but is not yet extreme. Traders should watch for a potential bearish crossover, which could confirm downward momentum and initiate selling pressure.


Support and Resistance:
Support: Immediate support for EURUSD stands around the recent low at 1.1520, aligned closely with previous price consolidation areas.
Resistance: The first major resistance level is at 1.1625, corresponding to the recent high and channel breakout point.


Conclusion and Consideration:
EURUSD analysis on the H4 chart reflects current bearish bias with notable caution due to recent breakout signals and fundamental data releases. Technical indicators like RSI and Stochastic support the scenario of cautious bearish momentum returning to the market. Traders should closely monitor today's significant economic releases and Federal Reserve speeches, which can trigger notable volatility and shifts in EURUSD price dynamics.


Disclaimer: The analysis provided for EUR/USD is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders are encouraged to perform their own analysis and research before making any trading decisions on EURUSD. Market conditions can change quickly, so staying informed with the latest data is essential.


FXGlory
11.12.2025

BTCUSD H4 Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 11.14.2025





Time Zone: GMT +2
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:
The BTC/USD pair is influenced today by significant USD news, with Federal Reserve speakers Jeffrey Schmid and Lorie Logan set to discuss the economic outlook and monetary policy at the Joint Energy Conference. Hawkish statements typically strengthen the USD, potentially exerting downward pressure on BTC-USD. Additionally, natural gas inventory data could impact the USD volatility further, with lower-than-forecasted inventories usually benefiting USD strength.


Price Action:
BTC/USD analysis on the H4 timeframe clearly shows a descending trend. Bitcoin recently broke below the significant psychological support at $100,000, marking its lowest price since May 2025. The current price has touched and is moving along the lower Bollinger Band, indicating strong bearish momentum. The last candle sits around the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, signaling potential for further bearish movement if this level is decisively broken, though oversold conditions suggest a possible correction soon.


Key Technical Indicators:
Bollinger Bands(20): The bands indicate increasing bearish volatility with BTC-USD consistently moving along the lower band. The middle and lower bands slope downward significantly, while the upper band remains relatively horizontal, emphasizing strong bearish dominance.
%R(14): Currently at -88.83, %R14 highlights a significantly oversold condition. Such low levels typically precede short-term bullish corrections, cautioning traders to watch for potential reversal signals.
Stochastic Oscillator (5,3,3): Presently at 10.10 and 18.83, the Stochastic indicates that BTC USD is deep in oversold territory. This signals an increased likelihood of a price correction or consolidation phase in the near term.


Support and Resistance:
Support: Immediate support is observed at the lower descending channel boundary near the $96,000 area, closely aligning with the 0 Fibonacci retracement level.
Resistance: The nearest resistance is at the former key support level of $100,000, coinciding with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.


Conclusion and Consideration:
The BTC/USD H4 chart demonstrates sustained bearish momentum, confirmed by key indicators such as Bollinger Bands, %R14, and Stochastic Oscillator. Although the trend remains bearish, the deeply oversold conditions suggest traders should be cautious about potential corrective rebounds. The USD news today could further exacerbate volatility, providing pivotal trading opportunities.


Disclaimer: The analysis provided for BTC/USD is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders are encouraged to perform their own analysis and research before making any trading decisions on BTCUSD. Market conditions can change quickly, so staying informed with the latest data is essential.


FXGlory
11.14.2025